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UEFA Champions League · league phase, matchday 3 · 21 October 2026 · 17:45

Lille vs Galatasaray tip, odds and prediction, 21 October 2026, UEFA Champions League

2–4
1Lille2.59
XDraw3.60
2Galatasaray2.99

Top odds available · Updated 21/10/26, 16:39

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Played: final score 2–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Lille and Galatasaray meet on 21 October 2026 · 17:45 at Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Lille), under referee Rade Obrenović. We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Lille vs Galatasaray: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Lille or draw (1X)
1.47
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.51
66%chance of the result
64%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Lille vs Galatasaray: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.593.602.99
Market average2.493.502.80
Lowest odds2.213.402.70
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.241.2178.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.751.7056.3%
Under 2.5 goals2.312.1943.7%
Over 3.5 goals2.802.6535.7%
BTTS – yes1.571.5360.8%
BTTS – no2.502.3839.2%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 21/10/26, 16:39. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.6%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Lille 1–1 Galatasaray, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Lille 35th (0 points), Galatasaray 23rd (3 points).
  • H2H: 1 match: Lille 0W 0D 1L, goals 2–4.
  • Absences: Lille 0, Galatasaray 0.

Who will win Lille vs Galatasaray?

Lille38%
Draw27%
Galatasaray34%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Lille vs Galatasaray: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals78.0% · fair odds 1.28 · best 1.24
Likely
Lille or draw (1X)65.8% · fair odds 1.52 · best 1.47
Likely
Under 3.5 goals64.3% · fair odds 1.55 · best 1.51
Likely
Both teams score: yes60.8% · fair odds 1.64 · best 1.57
Likely
Over 2.5 goals56.3% · fair odds 1.78 · best 1.75
Possible
Under 2.5 goals43.7% · fair odds 2.29 · best 2.31
Outsider
Both teams score: no39.2% · fair odds 2.55 · best 2.50
Outsider
Lille to win38.5% · fair odds 2.60 · best 2.59
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals35.7% · fair odds 2.80 · best 2.80
Outsider
Galatasaray to win34.2% · fair odds 2.93 · best 2.99
Outsider
Draw27.4% · fair odds 3.65 · best 3.60
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.97 · Under 1.78
probability of over 47.5%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 2.00 · Under 1.74
probability of over 46.6%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.6%
2 : 18.7%
1 : 08.3%
1 : 28.1%
0 : 17.7%
2 : 06.2%

Lille vs Galatasaray: injuries, suspensions, absences

Lille

  • No reported absences

Galatasaray

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Lille vs Galatasaray: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain33-0-014:59
2Aston Villa33-0-012:39
3Liverpool33-0-012:79
4Real Madrid33-0-010:59
5Real Betis33-0-07:49
6VfB Stuttgart32-1-07:27
7Arsenal32-1-06:27
8Barcelona32-0-111:66
9Como32-0-110:56
10Manchester City32-0-19:56
11Club Brugge KV32-0-19:66
12Sporting CP32-0-17:46
13Borussia Dortmund32-0-15:46
14Bayern München31-2-010:55
15AS Roma31-1-18:54
16Atlético Madrid31-1-14:34
17Shakhtar Donetsk31-1-14:34
18PSV Eindhoven31-1-12:24
19Villarreal31-0-28:83
20Inter31-0-25:63
21Manchester United31-0-25:63
22Napoli31-0-25:73
23Galatasaray31-0-26:93
24Lask Linz31-0-26:93
25Sabah FA31-0-23:63
26Feyenoord31-0-24:83
27Lens31-0-23:73
28Bodø/Glimt31-0-24:93
29AEK Athens FC31-0-23:83
30RB Leipzig31-0-23:83
31Fenerbahçe30-2-13:92
32Slavia Praha30-1-24:71
33Viking30-1-25:91
34FC Porto30-0-32:60
35Lille30-0-34:100
36Slovan Bratislava30-0-31:130

Recent matches

Lille

30 OctWLille 1–0 Lens
25 OctDMonaco 1–1 Lille
21 OctLLille 2–4 Galatasaray
17 OctDLille 1–1 Stade Brestois 29
13 OctLArsenal 3–0 Lille

Galatasaray

21 OctWLille 2–4 Galatasaray
13 OctLGalatasaray 1–4 Barcelona
9 SeptLSporting CP 3–1 Galatasaray

Home and away

Lille at home2 matches: 0W 0D 2L, goals 4–7
Galatasaray away2 matches: 1W 0D 1L, goals 5–5

Lille vs Galatasaray: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Lille: 35th, 0 points from 3 matches (0W 0D 3L). Galatasaray: 23rd, 3 points (1W 0D 2L).
  2. Head to head. Head to head over 1 meetings: Lille 0 wins, Galatasaray 1 win, plus 0 draws; goals 2–4.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.6%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.51), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 61% and over 2.5 goals is 56%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 1; Lille 0 wins, 0 draws, Galatasaray 1 win.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 6.0 per match.
  3. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 56%.
  4. Not available: Lille 0, Galatasaray 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 61%, odds up to 1.57). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Lille: no absences. Not available for Galatasaray: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Lille vs Galatasaray: head to head

All matches
0Lille
0Draws
1Galatasaray
21/10/26 · Lille 2–4 Galatasaray

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.6%

Lille vs Galatasaray: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Lille vs Galatasaray?

On the result, our pick is Lille or draw (1X) (1.47); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.51). Prefer less risk? Go for Lille or draw (1X).

Who will win Lille vs Galatasaray?

As we see it: Lille to win 38%, the draw 27%, Galatasaray to win 34%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

21 October 2026, 17:45, at Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille. Referee: Rade Obrenović.

Who will be missing?

Lille: no absences. Galatasaray: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 56% chance (odds 1.75), against 44% for under 2.5 (odds 2.31).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 61% (odds 1.57).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (11.6%), 2–1 (8.7%), 1–0 (8.3%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.