Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Lyon entertain Nice on 18 October 2026 · 19:45 at Parc Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon), with François Letexier, France the man in the middle. Lyon (52%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Lyon vs Nice: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.86 | 4.00 | 4.44 |
| Market average | 1.83 | 3.89 | 4.20 |
| Lowest odds | 1.80 | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.19 | 78.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.69 | 56.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.26 | 2.20 | 43.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.70 | 2.63 | 35.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.65 | 1.62 | 57.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.20 | 42.3% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 18/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Lyon 1–1 Nice, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Lyon 3rd (17 points), Nice 8th (14 points).
- Absences: Lyon 0, Nice 0.
Who will win Lyon vs Nice?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Lyon vs Nice: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Lyon vs Nice: injuries, suspensions, absences
Lyon
- No reported absences
Nice
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Lyon vs Nice: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 | Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Lorient | 8 | 3-3-2 | 7:6 | 12 |
| 11 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 12 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 13 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 14 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 14:12 | 9 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Lyon
Home and away
Lyon vs Nice: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Lyon: 3rd, 17 points from 9 matches (5W 2D 2L). Nice: 8th, 14 points (4W 2D 3L).
What to expect
We make Lyon the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.8%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 58% and over 2.5 goals is 57%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 57%.
- Not available: Lyon 0, Nice 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 58%, odds up to 1.65). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Lyon: no absences. Not available for Nice: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Returns calculator
Lyon vs Nice: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Lyon vs Nice?
On the result, our pick is Lyon to win (1.86); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Lyon or draw (1X).
Who will win Lyon vs Nice?
As we see it: Lyon to win 52%, the draw 25%, Nice to win 23%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
18 October 2026, 19:45, at Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Lyon. Referee: François Letexier, France.
Who will be missing?
Lyon: no absences. Nice: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 57% chance (odds 1.75), against 43% for under 2.5 (odds 2.26).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 58% (odds 1.65).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.8%), 2–1 (9.8%), 1–0 (9.4%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.