Bet with MINO CASINO →Genoa and AC Milan meet on 8 November 2026 · 14:00 at Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa). AC Milan (52%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Genoa vs AC Milan: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 4.84 | 3.72 | 1.85 |
| Market average | 4.48 | 3.51 | 1.80 |
| Lowest odds | 3.92 | 3.14 | 1.75 |
| Megapari | 4.84 | 3.73 | 1.85 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.38 | 1.36 | 69.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.16 | 2.09 | 45.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.81 | 1.75 | 54.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.90 | 3.69 | 25.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.95 | 1.91 | 48.6% |
| BTTS – no | 1.85 | 1.81 | 51.4% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:26. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.5%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Genoa 0–1 AC Milan, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Genoa 11th (13 points), AC Milan 5th (21 points).
- Form in the competition: Genoa 3W 1D 5L (8:13), AC Milan 6W 3D 1L (21:12).
- H2H: 31 matches: Genoa 5W 7D 19L, goals 26–44.
- Absences: Genoa 1, AC Milan 0.
Who will win Genoa vs AC Milan?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Genoa vs AC Milan: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Genoa vs AC Milan: injuries, suspensions, absences
Genoa
- L. Venturinoabsence · will miss the match
AC Milan
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Genoa vs AC Milan: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 | Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 9 | 3-2-4 | 16:17 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Sassuolo | 9 | 2-2-5 | 14:22 | 8 |
| 16 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 17 |  Fiorentina | 9 | 1-2-6 | 11:21 | 5 |
| 18 |  Parma | 9 | 1-2-6 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Genoa
Home and away
Genoa vs AC Milan: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Genoa: 11th, 13 points from 10 matches (4W 1D 5L). AC Milan: 5th, 21 points (6W 3D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Genoa 0.9 scored and 1.4 conceded, AC Milan 2.1 scored and 1.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Genoa: 3W 1D 5L, goals 8–13; AC Milan: 6W 3D 1L, goals 21–12.
- Head to head. Head to head over 31 meetings: Genoa 5 wins, AC Milan 19 wins, plus 7 draws; goals 26–44.
What to expect
We make AC Milan the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–1 (13.4%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.81), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 49% and over 2.5 goals is 46%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 31; Genoa 5 wins, 7 draws, AC Milan 19 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.3 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Genoa 8–13, AC Milan 21–12.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 46%.
- Not available: Genoa 1, AC Milan 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: no
Other option: Both teams score: no (probability 51%, odds up to 1.85). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Genoa: L. Venturino. Not available for AC Milan: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Genoa vs AC Milan: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
GenoaWWWLWAC MilanWLWWDGenoa vs AC Milan: head to head
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Genoa vs AC Milan: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Genoa vs AC Milan?
On the result, our pick is AC Milan to win (1.85); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.81). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or AC Milan (X2).
Who will win Genoa vs AC Milan?
As we see it: Genoa to win 21%, the draw 27%, AC Milan to win 52%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
8 November 2026, 14:00, at Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa.
Who will be missing?
Genoa: L. Venturino. AC Milan: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 46% chance (odds 2.16), against 54% for under 2.5 (odds 1.81).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 49% (odds 1.95).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 0–1 (13.4%), 1–1 (12.0%), 0–2 (10.4%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.