Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Genoa entertain Venezia on 25 October 2026 · 14:00 at Luigi Ferraris (Genoa), with Simone Sozza the man in the middle. We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Genoa vs Venezia: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.28 | 3.35 | 3.68 |
| Market average | 2.21 | 3.25 | 3.49 |
| Lowest odds | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.34 | 1.31 | 71.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.07 | 1.99 | 47.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.89 | 1.82 | 52.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.56 | 3.34 | 28.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.74 | 53.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.01 | 46.3% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 25/10/26, 12:54. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Genoa 1–1 Venezia, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Genoa 11th (13 points), Venezia 20th (3 points).
- Form in the competition: Genoa 1W 1D 5L (5:13), Venezia 1W 0D 6L (6:16).
- H2H: 9 matches: Genoa 5W 2D 2L, goals 11–9.
- Absences: Genoa 3, Venezia 4.
Who will win Genoa vs Venezia?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Genoa vs Venezia: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Genoa vs Venezia: injuries, suspensions, absences
Genoa
- E. Havelankle injury · will miss the match
- D. Sowthigh injury · will miss the match
- L. Venturinoknee injury · will miss the match
Venezia
- A. Adoranteabsence · will miss the match
- T. Correiathigh injury · will miss the match
- B. Franjicshoulder injury · will miss the match
- M. Sverkohip injury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Genoa vs Venezia: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 | Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 9 | 3-2-4 | 16:17 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Sassuolo | 9 | 2-2-5 | 14:22 | 8 |
| 16 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 17 |  Fiorentina | 9 | 1-2-6 | 11:21 | 5 |
| 18 |  Parma | 9 | 1-2-6 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 | Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Genoa
Home and away
Genoa vs Venezia: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Genoa: 11th, 13 points from 10 matches (4W 1D 5L). Venezia: 20th, 3 points (1W 0D 9L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Genoa 0.7 scored and 1.9 conceded, Venezia 0.9 scored and 2.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Genoa: 1W 1D 5L, goals 5–13; Venezia: 1W 0D 6L, goals 6–16.
- Head to head. Head to head over 9 meetings: Genoa 5 wins, Venezia 2 wins, plus 2 draws; goals 11–9.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.5%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.80), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 54% and over 2.5 goals is 48%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 9; Genoa 5 wins, 2 draws, Venezia 2 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.2 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Genoa 5–13, Venezia 6–16.
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 48%.
- Not available: Genoa 3, Venezia 4.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 54%, odds up to 1.80). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Genoa: E. Havel, D. Sow, L. Venturino. Not available for Venezia: A. Adorante, T. Correia, B. Franjic, M. Sverko. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Genoa vs Venezia: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
GenoaWWWLWVeneziaLLLWLGenoa vs Venezia: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Genoa vs Venezia: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Genoa vs Venezia?
On the result, our pick is Genoa or draw (1X) (1.34); on goals, Both teams to score (1.80). Prefer less risk? Go for Genoa or draw (1X).
Who will win Genoa vs Venezia?
As we see it: Genoa to win 43%, the draw 29%, Venezia to win 27%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
25 October 2026, 14:00, at Luigi Ferraris, Genoa. Referee: Simone Sozza.
Who will be missing?
Genoa: E. Havel, D. Sow, L. Venturino. Venezia: A. Adorante, T. Correia, B. Franjic, M. Sverko. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 48% chance (odds 2.07), against 52% for under 2.5 (odds 1.89).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 54% (odds 1.80).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (12.5%), 1–0 (11.3%), 2–1 (9.0%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.