Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
AS Roma v Genoa takes place on 17 October 2026 · 19:45 at Stadio Olimpico (Rome); Rosario Abisso, Italy will referee. We back AS Roma (59%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
AS Roma vs Genoa: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.66 | 4.06 | 6.00 |
| Market average | 1.61 | 3.92 | 5.80 |
| Lowest odds | 1.55 | 3.75 | 5.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.28 | 72.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.01 | 1.95 | 49.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.93 | 1.88 | 50.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.46 | 3.28 | 28.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.95 | 1.93 | 48.1% |
| BTTS – no | 1.80 | 1.79 | 51.9% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 17/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: AS Roma 1–0 Genoa, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: AS Roma 3rd (24 points), Genoa 11th (13 points).
- Absences: AS Roma 0, Genoa 0.
Who will win AS Roma vs Genoa?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
AS Roma vs Genoa: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
AS Roma vs Genoa: injuries, suspensions, absences
AS Roma
- No reported absences
Genoa
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
AS Roma vs Genoa: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 | Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 9 | 3-2-4 | 16:17 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Sassuolo | 9 | 2-2-5 | 14:22 | 8 |
| 16 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 17 |  Fiorentina | 9 | 1-2-6 | 11:21 | 5 |
| 18 |  Parma | 9 | 1-2-6 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
AS Roma
Home and away
AS Roma vs Genoa: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. AS Roma: 3rd, 24 points from 10 matches (7W 3D 0L). Genoa: 11th, 13 points (4W 1D 5L).
What to expect
We make AS Roma the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–0 (12.7%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like At least one team fails to score (odds 1.80), with a probability of 52% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 48% and over 2.5 goals is 49%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 49%.
- Not available: AS Roma 0, Genoa 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: no
Other option: Both teams score: no (probability 52%, odds up to 1.80). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for AS Roma: no absences. Not available for Genoa: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
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AS Roma vs Genoa: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for AS Roma vs Genoa?
On the result, our pick is AS Roma to win (1.66); on goals, At least one team fails to score (1.80). Prefer less risk? Go for AS Roma or draw (1X).
Who will win AS Roma vs Genoa?
As we see it: AS Roma to win 59%, the draw 24%, Genoa to win 17%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
17 October 2026, 19:45, at Stadio Olimpico, Rome. Referee: Rosario Abisso, Italy.
Who will be missing?
AS Roma: no absences. Genoa: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 49% chance (odds 2.01), against 51% for under 2.5 (odds 1.93).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 48% (odds 1.95).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–0 (12.7%), 2–0 (11.4%), 1–1 (10.8%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.