Bet with MINO CASINO →Atalanta and Parma meet on 2 November 2026 · 19:45 at New Balance Arena (Bergamo), under referee Valerio Crezzini. Atalanta (63%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Atalanta vs Parma: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.56 | 4.70 | 6.30 |
| Market average | 1.52 | 4.49 | 5.91 |
| Lowest odds | 1.46 | 4.00 | 5.22 |
| Megapari | 1.55 | 4.72 | 6.24 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.18 | 80.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.60 | 59.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.35 | 40.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.54 | 2.47 | 38.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.68 | 55.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.09 | 44.6% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:26. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.3%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 14:39. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Atalanta 2–1 Parma, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Atalanta 13th (11 points), Parma 18th (5 points).
- Form in the competition: Atalanta 3W 2D 4L (16:17), Parma 1W 2D 6L (5:15).
- H2H: 19 matches: Atalanta 11W 3D 5L, goals 41–26.
- Absences: Atalanta 9, Parma 2.
Who will win Atalanta vs Parma?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Atalanta vs Parma: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Atalanta vs Parma: injuries, suspensions, absences
Atalanta
- R. Bellanovathigh injury · will miss the match
- G. Gaetanomuscle injury · will miss the match
- I. Hienmuscle injury · will miss the match
- F. Kessiecalf injury · will miss the match
- S. Kolasinacthigh injury · will miss the match
- O. Kossounouthigh injury · will miss the match
- T. Kristensenmuscle injury · will miss the match
- G. Raspadorithigh injury · will miss the match
- G. Scamaccathigh injury · will miss the match
Parma
- A. Bernabenot in the squad · will miss the match
- L. Valentiabsence · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Atalanta vs Parma: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 | Atalanta | 9 | 3-2-4 | 16:17 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Sassuolo | 9 | 2-2-5 | 14:22 | 8 |
| 16 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 17 |  Fiorentina | 9 | 1-2-6 | 11:21 | 5 |
| 18 | Parma | 9 | 1-2-6 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Atalanta
Home and away
Atalanta vs Parma: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Atalanta: 13th, 11 points from 9 matches (3W 2D 4L). Parma: 18th, 5 points (1W 2D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Atalanta 1.8 scored and 1.9 conceded, Parma 0.6 scored and 1.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Atalanta: 3W 2D 4L, goals 16–17; Parma: 1W 2D 6L, goals 5–15.
- Head to head. Head to head over 19 meetings: Atalanta 11 wins, Parma 5 wins, plus 3 draws; goals 41–26.
What to expect
We make Atalanta the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.9%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.56), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 55% and over 2.5 goals is 59%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 19; Atalanta 11 wins, 3 draws, Parma 5 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.5 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Atalanta 16–17, Parma 5–15.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 59%.
- Not available: Atalanta 9, Parma 2.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Other option: Over 2.5 goals (probability 59%, odds up to 1.67). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Atalanta: R. Bellanova, G. Gaetano, I. Hien, F. Kessie, S. Kolasinac, O. Kossounou, T. Kristensen, G. Raspadori, G. Scamacca. Not available for Parma: A. Bernabe, L. Valenti. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Atalanta vs Parma: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
AtalantaDDLWLParmaDLLLWAtalanta vs Parma: head to head
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Atalanta vs Parma: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Atalanta vs Parma?
On the result, our pick is Atalanta to win (1.56); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.56). Prefer less risk? Go for Atalanta or draw (1X).
Who will win Atalanta vs Parma?
As we see it: Atalanta to win 63%, the draw 21%, Parma to win 16%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
2 November 2026, 19:45, at New Balance Arena, Bergamo. Referee: Valerio Crezzini.
Who will be missing?
Atalanta: R. Bellanova, G. Gaetano, I. Hien, F. Kessie, S. Kolasinac, O. Kossounou, T. Kristensen, G. Raspadori, G. Scamacca. Parma: A. Bernabe, L. Valenti. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 59% chance (odds 1.67), against 41% for under 2.5 (odds 2.40).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 55% (odds 1.70).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–1 (9.9%), 2–0 (9.9%), 1–1 (9.5%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.