Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Genoa and Juventus meet on 28 October 2026 · 19:45 at Luigi Ferraris (Genoa), under referee Daniele Doveri. Juventus (53%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Genoa vs Juventus: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 5.25 | 3.50 | 1.85 |
| Market average | 5.11 | 3.39 | 1.83 |
| Lowest odds | 5.00 | 3.25 | 1.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.48 | 1.45 | 65.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.49 | 2.44 | 39.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.57 | 60.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.75 | 4.63 | 20.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.20 | 2.20 | 42.3% |
| BTTS – no | 1.62 | 1.61 | 57.7% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 28/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 3.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Genoa 0–1 Juventus, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Genoa 11th (13 points), Juventus 7th (17 points).
- Form in the competition: Genoa 2W 1D 5L (6:13), Juventus 4W 2D 2L (11:8).
- H2H: 33 matches: Genoa 5W 6D 22L, goals 26–56.
- Absences: Genoa 5, Juventus 9.
Who will win Genoa vs Juventus?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Genoa vs Juventus: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Genoa vs Juventus: injuries, suspensions, absences
Genoa
- E. Havelankle injury · will miss the match
- L. Venturinoknee injury · will miss the match
- K. Ehizibuemuscle injury · doubtful
- D. Sowthigh injury · doubtful
- S. Wiafemuscle injury · doubtful
Juventus
- Z. Celikmuscle injury · will miss the match
- F. Conceicaoshoulder injury · will miss the match
- J. Ekhatormuscle injury · will miss the match
- N. Gonzalezcalf injury · will miss the match
- K. Grabaraknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Locatelliknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Miliknot in the squad · will miss the match
- K. Thuramknee injury · will miss the match
- K. Yildizfoot injury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Genoa vs Juventus: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 | |
| 2 | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 | |
| 3 | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 | |
| 4 | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 | |
| 6 | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 | |
| 7 | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 | |
| 8 | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 | |
| 9 | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 | |
| 10 | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 | |
| 11 | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 | |
| 12 | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3-2-4 | 16:17 | 11 | |
| 14 | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2-2-5 | 14:22 | 8 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1-2-6 | 11:21 | 5 | |
| 18 | 9 | 1-2-6 | 5:15 | 5 | |
| 19 | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 | |
| 20 | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Genoa
Home and away
Genoa vs Juventus: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Genoa: 11th, 13 points from 10 matches (4W 1D 5L). Juventus: 7th, 17 points (5W 2D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Genoa 0.8 scored and 1.6 conceded, Juventus 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Genoa: 2W 1D 5L, goals 6–13; Juventus: 4W 2D 2L, goals 11–8.
- Head to head. Head to head over 33 meetings: Genoa 5 wins, Juventus 22 wins, plus 6 draws; goals 26–56.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–1 (16.1%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Over 1.5 goals (odds 1.48), with a probability of 65% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 42% and over 2.5 goals is 39%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 33; Genoa 5 wins, 6 draws, Juventus 22 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.5 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Genoa 6–13, Juventus 11–8.
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 39%.
- Not available: Genoa 5, Juventus 9.
Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals
Other option: Under 2.5 goals (probability 61%, odds up to 1.57). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Genoa: E. Havel, L. Venturino, K. Ehizibue, D. Sow, S. Wiafe. Not available for Juventus: Z. Celik, F. Conceicao, J. Ekhator, N. Gonzalez, K. Grabara, M. Locatelli, A. Milik, K. Thuram, K. Yildiz. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Genoa vs Juventus: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Genoa vs Juventus: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Genoa vs Juventus: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Genoa vs Juventus?
On the result, our pick is Juventus to win (1.85); on goals, Over 1.5 goals (1.48). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Juventus (X2).
Who will win Genoa vs Juventus?
As we see it: Genoa to win 19%, the draw 28%, Juventus to win 53%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
28 October 2026, 19:45, at Luigi Ferraris, Genoa. Referee: Daniele Doveri.
Who will be missing?
Genoa: E. Havel, L. Venturino, K. Ehizibue, D. Sow, S. Wiafe. Juventus: Z. Celik, F. Conceicao, J. Ekhator, N. Gonzalez, K. Grabara, M. Locatelli, A. Milik, K. Thuram, K. Yildiz. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 39% chance (odds 2.49), against 61% for under 2.5 (odds 1.57).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 42% (odds 2.20).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 0–1 (16.1%), 1–1 (12.0%), 0–2 (11.6%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.
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