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Serie A · Matchweek 9 · 28 October 2026 · 19:45

Genoa vs Juventus tip, odds and prediction, 28 October 2026, Serie A

WWWLW
2–0
1Genoa5.25
XDraw3.50
2Juventus1.85

Top odds available · Updated 28/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Genoa and Juventus meet on 28 October 2026 · 19:45 at Luigi Ferraris (Genoa), under referee Daniele Doveri. Juventus (53%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Genoa vs Juventus: tip and prediction
Result
Juventus to win
1.85
Goals
Over 1.5 goals
1.48
Combo
Juventus & over 2.5 goals
3.83
26% · fair combo odds
53%chance of the result
65%goals tip: chance
0–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Juventus (X2) – probability 81%, odds up to 1.18.

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Genoa vs Juventus: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available5.253.501.85
Market average5.113.391.83
Lowest odds5.003.251.80
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.481.4565.1%
Over 2.5 goals2.492.4439.1%
Under 2.5 goals1.571.5760.9%
Over 3.5 goals4.754.6320.3%
BTTS – yes2.202.2042.3%
BTTS – no1.621.6157.7%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 28/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 3.9%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Genoa 0–1 Juventus, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Genoa 11th (13 points), Juventus 7th (17 points).
  • Form in the competition: Genoa 2W 1D 5L (6:13), Juventus 4W 2D 2L (11:8).
  • H2H: 33 matches: Genoa 5W 6D 22L, goals 26–56.
  • Absences: Genoa 5, Juventus 9.

Who will win Genoa vs Juventus?

Genoa19%
Draw28%
Juventus53%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Genoa vs Juventus: more betting markets

Draw or Juventus (X2)81.1% · fair odds 1.23 · best 1.18
Likely
Under 3.5 goals79.7% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.20
Likely
Over 1.5 goals65.1% · fair odds 1.54 · best 1.48
Likely
Under 2.5 goals60.9% · fair odds 1.64 · best 1.57
Likely
Both teams score: no57.7% · fair odds 1.73 · best 1.62
Possible
Juventus to win52.7% · fair odds 1.90 · best 1.85
Possible
Both teams score: yes42.3% · fair odds 2.36 · best 2.20
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals39.1% · fair odds 2.56 · best 2.49
Outsider
Draw28.4% · fair odds 3.52 · best 3.50
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals20.3% · fair odds 4.92 · best 4.75
Outsider
Genoa to win18.9% · fair odds 5.30 · best 5.25
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 2.09 · Under 1.69
probability of over 44.6%
Cardsline 2.5 cards
Over 1.62 · Under 2.17
probability of over 57.2%

Most likely correct scores

0 : 116.1%
1 : 112.0%
0 : 211.6%
0 : 011.1%
1 : 28.7%
1 : 08.3%

Genoa vs Juventus: injuries, suspensions, absences

Genoa

  • E. Havelankle injury · will miss the match
  • L. Venturinoknee injury · will miss the match
  • K. Ehizibuemuscle injury · doubtful
  • D. Sowthigh injury · doubtful
  • S. Wiafemuscle injury · doubtful

Juventus

  • Z. Celikmuscle injury · will miss the match
  • F. Conceicaoshoulder injury · will miss the match
  • J. Ekhatormuscle injury · will miss the match
  • N. Gonzalezcalf injury · will miss the match
  • K. Grabaraknee injury · will miss the match
  • M. Locatelliknee injury · will miss the match
  • A. Miliknot in the squad · will miss the match
  • K. Thuramknee injury · will miss the match
  • K. Yildizfoot injury · will miss the match

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Genoa vs Juventus: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Lazio109-1-024:828
2Inter108-1-126:1325
3AS Roma107-3-028:1024
4Como107-2-118:823
5AC Milan106-3-121:1221
6Frosinone106-2-224:1420
7Juventus105-2-313:1017
8Napoli104-2-417:1314
9Bologna104-2-414:1314
10Torino104-1-514:1613
11Genoa104-1-510:1413
12Cagliari104-1-59:1513
13Atalanta93-2-416:1711
14Lecce103-0-711:219
15Sassuolo92-2-514:228
16Monza102-1-717:247
17Fiorentina91-2-611:215
18Parma91-2-65:155
19Udinese101-2-711:235
20Venezia101-0-96:203

Recent matches

Genoa

1 NovWLecce 1–2 Genoa
28 OctWGenoa 2–0 Juventus
25 OctWGenoa 1–0 Venezia
17 OctLAS Roma 2–0 Genoa
10 OctWGenoa 2–1 Fiorentina

Juventus

1 NovWJuventus 2–0 Napoli
28 OctLGenoa 2–0 Juventus
25 OctWLecce 0–2 Juventus
22 OctDJuventus 2–2 Rennes
18 OctLJuventus 0–3 Lazio

Home and away

Genoa at home6 matches: 3W 1D 2L, goals 7–8
Juventus away5 matches: 2W 1D 2L, goals 6–6

Genoa vs Juventus: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Genoa: 11th, 13 points from 10 matches (4W 1D 5L). Juventus: 7th, 17 points (5W 2D 3L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Genoa 0.8 scored and 1.6 conceded, Juventus 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Genoa: 2W 1D 5L, goals 6–13; Juventus: 4W 2D 2L, goals 11–8.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 33 meetings: Genoa 5 wins, Juventus 22 wins, plus 6 draws; goals 26–56.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–1 (16.1%). We see a fairly level contest.

On goals we like Over 1.5 goals (odds 1.48), with a probability of 65% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 42% and over 2.5 goals is 39%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 33; Genoa 5 wins, 6 draws, Juventus 22 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.5 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Genoa 6–13, Juventus 11–8.
  4. Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 39%.
  5. Not available: Genoa 5, Juventus 9.

Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals

Other option: Under 2.5 goals (probability 61%, odds up to 1.57). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Genoa: E. Havel, L. Venturino, K. Ehizibue, D. Sow, S. Wiafe. Not available for Juventus: Z. Celik, F. Conceicao, J. Ekhator, N. Gonzalez, K. Grabara, M. Locatelli, A. Milik, K. Thuram, K. Yildiz. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Genoa vs Juventus: the numbers side by side

GenoaJuventus
50%Form50%
42%Attack58%
54%Defence46%
7%Head to head93%
0%Goals100%
36.2%Overall63.8%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

GenoaWWWLW
JuventusWLWLD

Genoa vs Juventus: head to head

All matches
5Genoa
6Draws
22Juventus
28/10/26 · Genoa 2–0 Juventus
6/4/26 · Juventus 2–0 Genoa
31/8/25 · Genoa 0–1 Juventus
29/3/25 · Juventus 1–0 Genoa
28/9/24 · Genoa 0–3 Juventus
17/3/24 · Juventus 0–0 Genoa

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin3.9%

Genoa vs Juventus: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Genoa vs Juventus?

On the result, our pick is Juventus to win (1.85); on goals, Over 1.5 goals (1.48). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Juventus (X2).

Who will win Genoa vs Juventus?

As we see it: Genoa to win 19%, the draw 28%, Juventus to win 53%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

28 October 2026, 19:45, at Luigi Ferraris, Genoa. Referee: Daniele Doveri.

Who will be missing?

Genoa: E. Havel, L. Venturino, K. Ehizibue, D. Sow, S. Wiafe. Juventus: Z. Celik, F. Conceicao, J. Ekhator, N. Gonzalez, K. Grabara, M. Locatelli, A. Milik, K. Thuram, K. Yildiz. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 39% chance (odds 2.49), against 61% for under 2.5 (odds 1.57).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 42% (odds 2.20).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 0–1 (16.1%), 1–1 (12.0%), 0–2 (11.6%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina 2 NovAtalanta vs Parma 2 NovVenezia vs Udinese 6 NovCagliari vs Frosinone 7 NovTorino vs Lecce 7 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.