Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
AC Milan and Bologna meet on 28 October 2026 · 17:30 at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza (Milan), under referee Juan Luca Sacchi. AC Milan (55%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
AC Milan vs Bologna: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.78 | 3.81 | 5.33 |
| Market average | 1.73 | 3.67 | 5.10 |
| Lowest odds | 1.67 | 3.50 | 4.70 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.35 | 1.33 | 71.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.12 | 2.05 | 46.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.84 | 1.78 | 53.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.80 | 3.60 | 26.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.95 | 1.92 | 48.5% |
| BTTS – no | 1.87 | 1.81 | 51.5% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 28/10/26, 16:28. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: AC Milan 1–0 Bologna, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: AC Milan 5th (21 points), Bologna 9th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: AC Milan 5W 3D 0L (16:7), Bologna 2W 2D 4L (8:10).
- H2H: 32 matches: AC Milan 21W 7D 4L, goals 60–29.
- Absences: AC Milan 7, Bologna 4.
Who will win AC Milan vs Bologna?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
AC Milan vs Bologna: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
AC Milan vs Bologna: injuries, suspensions, absences
AC Milan
- S. Chukwuezehip injury · will miss the match
- M. Gabbiathigh injury · will miss the match
- M. Gilaankle injury · will miss the match
- R. Loftus-Cheekthigh injury · will miss the match
- D. Moreirathigh injury · will miss the match
- A. Rabiotcalf injury · will miss the match
- A. Saelemaekersankle injury · will miss the match
Bologna
- E. Holmthigh injury · will miss the match
- R. Orsolinithigh injury · will miss the match
- R. Piccolihamstring injury · will miss the match
- J. EnemAchilles tendon injury · doubtful
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
AC Milan vs Bologna: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 | Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 9 | 3-2-4 | 16:17 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Sassuolo | 9 | 2-2-5 | 14:22 | 8 |
| 16 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 17 |  Fiorentina | 9 | 1-2-6 | 11:21 | 5 |
| 18 |  Parma | 9 | 1-2-6 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
AC Milan
Home and away
AC Milan vs Bologna: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. AC Milan: 5th, 21 points from 10 matches (6W 3D 1L). Bologna: 9th, 14 points (4W 2D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: AC Milan 2.0 scored and 0.9 conceded, Bologna 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. AC Milan: 5W 3D 0L, goals 16–7; Bologna: 2W 2D 4L, goals 8–10.
- Head to head. Head to head over 32 meetings: AC Milan 21 wins, Bologna 4 wins, plus 7 draws; goals 60–29.
What to expect
We make AC Milan the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–0 (13.5%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.84), with a probability of 53% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 49% and over 2.5 goals is 47%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 32; AC Milan 21 wins, 7 draws, Bologna 4 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.8 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: AC Milan 16–7, Bologna 8–10.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 47%.
- Not available: AC Milan 7, Bologna 4.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: no
Other option: Both teams score: no (probability 51%, odds up to 1.87). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for AC Milan: S. Chukwueze, M. Gabbia, M. Gila, R. Loftus-Cheek, D. Moreira, A. Rabiot, A. Saelemaekers. Not available for Bologna: E. Holm, R. Orsolini, R. Piccoli, J. Enem. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
AC Milan vs Bologna: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
AC MilanWLWWDBolognaWWWLWAC Milan vs Bologna: head to head
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AC Milan vs Bologna: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for AC Milan vs Bologna?
On the result, our pick is AC Milan to win (1.78); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.84). Prefer less risk? Go for AC Milan or draw (1X).
Who will win AC Milan vs Bologna?
As we see it: AC Milan to win 55%, the draw 26%, Bologna to win 19%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
28 October 2026, 17:30, at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan. Referee: Juan Luca Sacchi.
Who will be missing?
AC Milan: S. Chukwueze, M. Gabbia, M. Gila, R. Loftus-Cheek, D. Moreira, A. Rabiot, A. Saelemaekers. Bologna: E. Holm, R. Orsolini, R. Piccoli, J. Enem. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 47% chance (odds 2.12), against 53% for under 2.5 (odds 1.84).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 49% (odds 1.95).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–0 (13.5%), 1–1 (11.5%), 2–0 (11.2%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.