Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Udinese entertain AC Milan on 25 October 2026 · 19:45 at Bluenergy Stadium (Udine), with Matteo Marcenaro the man in the middle. AC Milan (53%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Udinese vs AC Milan: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 4.95 | 3.84 | 1.86 |
| Market average | 4.55 | 3.65 | 1.80 |
| Lowest odds | 4.28 | 3.40 | 1.75 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.29 | 1.27 | 74.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.93 | 1.87 | 51.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.06 | 1.96 | 48.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.30 | 3.09 | 30.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.74 | 53.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.01 | 46.4% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 25/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Udinese 1–1 AC Milan, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Udinese 19th (5 points), AC Milan 5th (21 points).
- Form in the competition: Udinese 1W 1D 5L (9:16), AC Milan 4W 3D 0L (14:7).
- H2H: 33 matches: Udinese 9W 9D 15L, goals 39–50.
- Absences: Udinese 5, AC Milan 6.
Who will win Udinese vs AC Milan?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Udinese vs AC Milan: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Udinese vs AC Milan: injuries, suspensions, absences
Udinese
- D. Alabacalf injury · will miss the match
- V. Bayothigh injury · will miss the match
- I. Gueyeankle injury · will miss the match
- A. Zanolimuscle injury · will miss the match
- O. Soletmuscle injury · doubtful
AC Milan
- S. Chukwuezehip injury · will miss the match
- M. Gabbiathigh injury · will miss the match
- M. Gilaankle injury · will miss the match
- D. Moreirathigh injury · will miss the match
- A. Rabiotcalf injury · will miss the match
- A. Saelemaekersankle injury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Udinese vs AC Milan: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 9 | 3-2-4 | 16:17 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Sassuolo | 9 | 2-2-5 | 14:22 | 8 |
| 16 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 17 |  Fiorentina | 9 | 1-2-6 | 11:21 | 5 |
| 18 |  Parma | 9 | 1-2-6 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 19 | Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Udinese
Home and away
Udinese vs AC Milan: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Udinese: 19th, 5 points from 10 matches (1W 2D 7L). AC Milan: 5th, 21 points (6W 3D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Udinese 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded, AC Milan 2.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Udinese: 1W 1D 5L, goals 9–16; AC Milan: 4W 3D 0L, goals 14–7.
- Head to head. Head to head over 33 meetings: Udinese 9 wins, AC Milan 15 wins, plus 9 draws; goals 39–50.
What to expect
We make AC Milan the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.4%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.80), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 54% and over 2.5 goals is 51%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 33; Udinese 9 wins, 9 draws, AC Milan 15 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.7 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Udinese 9–16, AC Milan 14–7.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 51%.
- Not available: Udinese 5, AC Milan 6.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 54%, odds up to 1.80). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Udinese: D. Alaba, V. Bayo, I. Gueye, A. Zanoli, O. Solet. Not available for AC Milan: S. Chukwueze, M. Gabbia, M. Gila, D. Moreira, A. Rabiot, A. Saelemaekers. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Udinese vs AC Milan: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
UdineseLDLLLAC MilanWLWWDUdinese vs AC Milan: head to head
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Udinese vs AC Milan: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Udinese vs AC Milan?
On the result, our pick is AC Milan to win (1.86); on goals, Both teams to score (1.80). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or AC Milan (X2).
Who will win Udinese vs AC Milan?
As we see it: Udinese to win 21%, the draw 26%, AC Milan to win 53%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
25 October 2026, 19:45, at Bluenergy Stadium, Udine. Referee: Matteo Marcenaro.
Who will be missing?
Udinese: D. Alaba, V. Bayo, I. Gueye, A. Zanoli, O. Solet. AC Milan: S. Chukwueze, M. Gabbia, M. Gila, D. Moreira, A. Rabiot, A. Saelemaekers. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 51% chance (odds 1.93), against 49% for under 2.5 (odds 2.06).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 54% (odds 1.80).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.4%), 0–1 (11.4%), 1–2 (9.7%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.