Bet with MINO CASINO →Sassuolo entertain Fiorentina on 2 November 2026 · 17:30 at Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia), with Matteo Marcenaro the man in the middle. We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.94 | 3.78 | 2.43 |
| Market average | 2.83 | 3.61 | 2.35 |
| Lowest odds | 2.54 | 3.26 | 2.30 |
| Megapari | 2.92 | 3.79 | 2.45 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.16 | 81.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.56 | 60.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.43 | 39.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.46 | 2.35 | 40.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.47 | 1.44 | 64.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.80 | 2.60 | 35.7% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:26. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.8%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Sassuolo 1–1 Fiorentina, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Sassuolo 15th (8 points), Fiorentina 17th (5 points).
- Form in the competition: Sassuolo 2W 2D 5L (14:22), Fiorentina 1W 2D 6L (11:21).
- H2H: 24 matches: Sassuolo 8W 7D 9L, goals 34–40.
- Absences: Sassuolo 5, Fiorentina 5.
Who will win Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina: injuries, suspensions, absences
Sassuolo
- D. Bolocamuscle injury · will miss the match
- I. Konebroken leg · will miss the match
- F. Leysenknee injury · will miss the match
- Y. Pazknee injury · will miss the match
- K. Thorstvedtred card · will miss the match
Fiorentina
- A. Attaabsence · will miss the match
- F. Parisiknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Pongracicmuscle injury · will miss the match
- L. Ranieriabsence · will miss the match
- R. Sottilback injury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 9 | 3-2-4 | 16:17 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 | Sassuolo | 9 | 2-2-5 | 14:22 | 8 |
| 16 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 9 | 1-2-6 | 11:21 | 5 |
| 18 |  Parma | 9 | 1-2-6 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Sassuolo
Home and away
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Sassuolo: 15th, 8 points from 9 matches (2W 2D 5L). Fiorentina: 17th, 5 points (1W 2D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Sassuolo 1.6 scored and 2.4 conceded, Fiorentina 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Sassuolo: 2W 2D 5L, goals 14–22; Fiorentina: 1W 2D 6L, goals 11–21.
- Head to head. Head to head over 24 meetings: Sassuolo 8 wins, Fiorentina 9 wins, plus 7 draws; goals 34–40.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–2, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.6%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.47), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 64% and over 2.5 goals is 61%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 24; Sassuolo 8 wins, 7 draws, Fiorentina 9 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.1 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Sassuolo 14–22, Fiorentina 11–21.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 61%.
- Not available: Sassuolo 5, Fiorentina 5.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Other option: Over 2.5 goals (probability 61%, odds up to 1.60). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Sassuolo: D. Boloca, I. Kone, F. Leysen, Y. Paz, K. Thorstvedt. Not available for Fiorentina: A. Atta, F. Parisi, M. Pongracic, L. Ranieri, R. Sottil. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
SassuoloLLLDLFiorentinaDLLLDSassuolo vs Fiorentina: head to head
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Sassuolo vs Fiorentina: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?
On the result, our pick is Draw or Fiorentina (X2) (1.46); on goals, Both teams to score (1.47). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Fiorentina (X2).
Who will win Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?
As we see it: Sassuolo to win 34%, the draw 26%, Fiorentina to win 40%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
2 November 2026, 17:30, at Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia. Referee: Matteo Marcenaro.
Who will be missing?
Sassuolo: D. Boloca, I. Kone, F. Leysen, Y. Paz, K. Thorstvedt. Fiorentina: A. Atta, F. Parisi, M. Pongracic, L. Ranieri, R. Sottil. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 61% chance (odds 1.60), against 39% for under 2.5 (odds 2.55).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 64% (odds 1.47).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.6%), 1–2 (8.7%), 2–1 (8.0%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.