Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
AC Milan and Inter meet on 31 October 2026 · 19:45 at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza (Milan), under referee Marco Guida. Inter (47%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
AC Milan vs Inter: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 3.70 | 3.80 | 2.11 |
| Market average | 3.55 | 3.55 | 2.04 |
| Lowest odds | 3.11 | 3.31 | 1.98 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 1.22 | 77.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.83 | 1.74 | 54.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.18 | 2.11 | 45.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.86 | 2.76 | 34.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.59 | 58.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.24 | 41.6% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 31/10/26, 16:59. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: AC Milan 1–1 Inter, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: AC Milan 5th (21 points), Inter 2nd (25 points).
- Form in the competition: AC Milan 5W 3D 1L (18:11), Inter 8W 1D 0L (25:10).
- H2H: 44 matches: AC Milan 14W 11D 19L, goals 50–61.
- Absences: AC Milan 5, Inter 5.
Who will win AC Milan vs Inter?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
AC Milan vs Inter: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
AC Milan vs Inter: injuries, suspensions, absences
AC Milan
- S. Chukwuezehip injury · will miss the match
- M. Gabbiathigh injury · will miss the match
- R. Loftus-Cheekthigh injury · will miss the match
- A. Saelemaekersankle injury · will miss the match
- F. Tomorimuscle injury · will miss the match
Inter
- C. Jonesthigh injury · will miss the match
- Luis Henriquethigh injury · will miss the match
- L. Martinezthigh injury · will miss the match
- B. Pavardthigh injury · will miss the match
- J. Stonesmuscle injury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
AC Milan vs Inter: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 | Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 9 | 3-2-4 | 16:17 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Sassuolo | 9 | 2-2-5 | 14:22 | 8 |
| 16 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 17 |  Fiorentina | 9 | 1-2-6 | 11:21 | 5 |
| 18 |  Parma | 9 | 1-2-6 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
AC Milan
Home and away
AC Milan vs Inter: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. AC Milan: 5th, 21 points from 10 matches (6W 3D 1L). Inter: 2nd, 25 points (8W 1D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: AC Milan 2.0 scored and 1.2 conceded, Inter 2.8 scored and 1.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. AC Milan: 5W 3D 1L, goals 18–11; Inter: 8W 1D 0L, goals 25–10.
- Head to head. Head to head over 44 meetings: AC Milan 14 wins, Inter 19 wins, plus 11 draws; goals 50–61.
What to expect
We make Inter the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.5%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), with a probability of 66% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 58% and over 2.5 goals is 55%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 44; AC Milan 14 wins, 11 draws, Inter 19 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.5 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: AC Milan 18–11, Inter 25–10.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 55%.
- Not available: AC Milan 5, Inter 5.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 58%, odds up to 1.62). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for AC Milan: S. Chukwueze, M. Gabbia, R. Loftus-Cheek, A. Saelemaekers, F. Tomori. Not available for Inter: C. Jones, Luis Henrique, L. Martinez, B. Pavard, J. Stones. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
AC Milan vs Inter: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
AC MilanWLWWDInterLWWWWAC Milan vs Inter: head to head
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AC Milan vs Inter: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for AC Milan vs Inter?
On the result, our pick is Inter to win (2.11); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.47). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Inter (X2).
Who will win AC Milan vs Inter?
As we see it: AC Milan to win 27%, the draw 27%, Inter to win 47%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
31 October 2026, 19:45, at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan. Referee: Marco Guida.
Who will be missing?
AC Milan: S. Chukwueze, M. Gabbia, R. Loftus-Cheek, A. Saelemaekers, F. Tomori. Inter: C. Jones, Luis Henrique, L. Martinez, B. Pavard, J. Stones. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 55% chance (odds 1.83), against 45% for under 2.5 (odds 2.18).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 58% (odds 1.62).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.5%), 0–1 (9.5%), 1–2 (9.4%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.