Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Bournemouth v AC Milan takes place on 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at Vitality Stadium (Bournemouth); Vassilis Fotias will referee. We back Bournemouth (51%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Bournemouth vs AC Milan: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.14 | 4.02 | 4.19 |
| Market average | 1.87 | 3.81 | 3.93 |
| Lowest odds | 1.80 | 3.58 | 3.30 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 1.21 | 77.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.72 | 55.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.13 | 44.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.81 | 2.73 | 34.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.64 | 56.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.15 | 43.3% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 22/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Bournemouth 1–1 AC Milan, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Bournemouth 3rd (9 points), AC Milan 24th (3 points).
- H2H: 1 match: Bournemouth 1W 0D 0L, goals 3–0.
- Absences: Bournemouth 0, AC Milan 0.
Who will win Bournemouth vs AC Milan?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Bournemouth vs AC Milan: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Bournemouth vs AC Milan: injuries, suspensions, absences
Bournemouth
- No reported absences
AC Milan
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Bournemouth vs AC Milan: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 3 | Bournemouth | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 4 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 5 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3-0-0 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2-1-0 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lyon | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 13 |  Rennes | 3 | 1-2-0 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 24 | AC Milan | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Lillestrøm | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 32 |  Lech Poznań | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 33 |  Plzeň | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0-0-3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Recent matches
Bournemouth
Home and away
Bournemouth vs AC Milan: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Bournemouth: 3rd, 9 points from 3 matches (3W 0D 0L). AC Milan: 24th, 3 points (1W 0D 2L).
- Head to head. Head to head over 1 meetings: Bournemouth 1 win, AC Milan 0 wins, plus 0 draws; goals 3–0.
What to expect
We make Bournemouth the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.1%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), with a probability of 66% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 57% and over 2.5 goals is 55%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 1; Bournemouth 1 win, 0 draws, AC Milan 0 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.0 per match.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 55%.
- Not available: Bournemouth 0, AC Milan 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 57%, odds up to 1.67). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Bournemouth: no absences. Not available for AC Milan: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Bournemouth vs AC Milan: head to head
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Bournemouth vs AC Milan: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Bournemouth vs AC Milan?
On the result, our pick is Bournemouth to win (2.14); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.47). Prefer less risk? Go for Bournemouth or draw (1X).
Who will win Bournemouth vs AC Milan?
As we see it: Bournemouth to win 51%, the draw 25%, AC Milan to win 24%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
22 October 2026, 20:00, at Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth. Referee: Vassilis Fotias.
Who will be missing?
Bournemouth: no absences. AC Milan: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 55% chance (odds 1.75), against 45% for under 2.5 (odds 2.20).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 57% (odds 1.67).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.1%), 2–1 (9.7%), 1–0 (9.6%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.