Played: final score 1–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Omonia Nicosia v Benfica takes place on 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at GSP Stadium (Nicosia); Jasper Vergoote will referee. We back Benfica (73%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 9.50 | 6.07 | 1.33 |
| Market average | 9.02 | 5.72 | 1.30 |
| Lowest odds | 7.91 | 5.00 | 1.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.14 | 82.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.52 | 1.48 | 63.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.64 | 2.57 | 36.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.27 | 2.22 | 42.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.85 | 1.81 | 51.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.92 | 48.6% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 22/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Omonia Nicosia 0–2 Benfica, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Omonia Nicosia 11th (6 points), Benfica 1st (9 points).
- H2H: 1 match: Omonia Nicosia 0W 0D 1L, goals 1–4.
- Absences: Omonia Nicosia 0, Benfica 0.
Who will win Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica: injuries, suspensions, absences
Omonia Nicosia
- No reported absences
Benfica
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:2 | 9 | |
| 2 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:0 | 9 | |
| 3 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:1 | 9 | |
| 4 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 | |
| 5 | 3 | 3-0-0 | 4:1 | 9 | |
| 6 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 8:1 | 7 | |
| 7 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:3 | 7 | |
| 8 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:5 | 7 | |
| 9 | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:2 | 7 | |
| 10 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:2 | 6 | |
| 11 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 | |
| 12 | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:6 | 6 | |
| 13 | 3 | 1-2-0 | 4:3 | 5 | |
| 14 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:3 | 4 | |
| 15 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 | |
| 16 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:3 | 4 | |
| 17 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:3 | 4 | |
| 18 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:4 | 4 | |
| 19 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:3 | 4 | |
| 20 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:8 | 4 | |
| 21 | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:6 | 4 | |
| 22 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:3 | 3 | |
| 23 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:5 | 3 | |
| 24 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:5 | 3 | |
| 25 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 | |
| 26 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 | |
| 27 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:6 | 3 | |
| 28 | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:7 | 3 | |
| 29 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:7 | 1 | |
| 30 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:6 | 1 | |
| 31 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:9 | 1 | |
| 32 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:9 | 1 | |
| 33 | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 | |
| 34 | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:6 | 0 | |
| 35 | 3 | 0-0-3 | 3:9 | 0 | |
| 36 | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Recent matches
Omonia Nicosia
Home and away
Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Omonia Nicosia: 11th, 6 points from 3 matches (2W 0D 1L). Benfica: 1st, 9 points (3W 0D 0L).
- Head to head. Head to head over 1 meetings: Omonia Nicosia 0 wins, Benfica 1 win, plus 0 draws; goals 1–4.
What to expect
We make Benfica the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–2 (11.1%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.52), with a probability of 63% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 51% and over 2.5 goals is 63%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 1; Omonia Nicosia 0 wins, 0 draws, Benfica 1 win.
- Average goals in their meetings: 5.0 per match.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 63%.
- Not available: Omonia Nicosia 0, Benfica 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 57%, odds up to 1.69). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Omonia Nicosia: no absences. Not available for Benfica: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica: head to head
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Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica?
On the result, our pick is Benfica to win (1.33); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.52). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Benfica (X2).
Who will win Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica?
As we see it: Omonia Nicosia to win 11%, the draw 17%, Benfica to win 73%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
22 October 2026, 20:00, at GSP Stadium, Nicosia. Referee: Jasper Vergoote.
Who will be missing?
Omonia Nicosia: no absences. Benfica: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 63% chance (odds 1.52), against 37% for under 2.5 (odds 2.64).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 51% (odds 1.85).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 0–2 (11.1%), 1–2 (9.4%), 0–3 (9.0%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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