Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Santa Clara v Benfica takes place on 26 October 2026 · 18:45 at Estádio de São Miguel (Ponta Delgada); C. Pereira will referee. We back Benfica (70%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Santa Clara vs Benfica: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 9.50 | 5.40 | 1.42 |
| Market average | 8.00 | 5.05 | 1.35 |
| Lowest odds | 7.50 | 4.75 | 1.30 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.18 | 79.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.66 | 1.62 | 58.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.38 | 2.28 | 41.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.67 | 2.54 | 36.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.00 | 1.87 | 49.7% |
| BTTS – no | 1.90 | 1.85 | 50.3% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 26/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Santa Clara 0–2 Benfica, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Santa Clara 4th (21 points), Benfica 2nd (22 points).
- Form in the competition: Santa Clara 5W 3D 0L (12:4), Benfica 6W 1D 1L (24:7).
- H2H: 16 matches: Santa Clara 1W 2D 13L, goals 13–40.
- Absences: Santa Clara 0, Benfica 0.
Who will win Santa Clara vs Benfica?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Santa Clara vs Benfica: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Santa Clara vs Benfica: injuries, suspensions, absences
Santa Clara
- No reported absences
Benfica
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Santa Clara vs Benfica: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 10 | 10-0-0 | 25:4 | 30 |
| 2 | Benfica | 9 | 7-1-1 | 26:8 | 22 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | 6-3-1 | 23:11 | 21 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 10 | 6-3-1 | 15:6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 10 | 6-2-2 | 13:7 | 20 |
| 6 |  Académico Viseu | 10 | 6-2-2 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 9 | 4-2-3 | 8:7 | 14 |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 10 | 4-2-4 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 9 |  Moreirense | 10 | 4-2-4 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 9 | 3-2-4 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 11 |  Famalicão | 10 | 2-4-4 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 12 |  Estrela | 10 | 2-4-4 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitória SC | 9 | 2-2-5 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 14 |  Marítimo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:19 | 7 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 10 | 2-1-7 | 9:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 10 | 2-1-7 | 5:19 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 10 | 0-2-8 | 5:19 | 2 |
Recent matches
Santa Clara
Home and away
Santa Clara vs Benfica: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Santa Clara: 4th, 21 points from 10 matches (6W 3D 1L). Benfica: 2nd, 22 points (7W 1D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Santa Clara 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded, Benfica 3.0 scored and 0.9 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Santa Clara: 5W 3D 0L, goals 12–4; Benfica: 6W 1D 1L, goals 24–7.
- Head to head. Head to head over 16 meetings: Santa Clara 1 win, Benfica 13 wins, plus 2 draws; goals 13–40.
What to expect
We make Benfica the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–2 (12.0%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), with a probability of 63% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 50% and over 2.5 goals is 59%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 16; Santa Clara 1 win, 2 draws, Benfica 13 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.3 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Santa Clara 12–4, Benfica 24–7.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 59%.
- Not available: Santa Clara 0, Benfica 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Other option: Over 2.5 goals (probability 59%, odds up to 1.66). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Santa Clara: no absences. Not available for Benfica: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Santa Clara vs Benfica: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Santa ClaraWLWDWBenficaWWLWWSanta Clara vs Benfica: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Santa Clara vs Benfica: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Santa Clara vs Benfica?
On the result, our pick is Benfica to win (1.42); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.53). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Benfica (X2).
Who will win Santa Clara vs Benfica?
As we see it: Santa Clara to win 12%, the draw 19%, Benfica to win 70%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
26 October 2026, 18:45, at Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada. Referee: C. Pereira.
Who will be missing?
Santa Clara: no absences. Benfica: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 59% chance (odds 1.66), against 41% for under 2.5 (odds 2.38).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 50% (odds 2.00).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 0–2 (12.0%), 0–1 (10.7%), 1–2 (9.6%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.