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Primeira Liga · Matchweek 10 · 1 November 2026 · 18:00

Marítimo vs Santa Clara tip, odds and prediction, 1 November 2026, Primeira Liga

0–2
1Marítimo3.35
XDraw3.18
2Santa Clara2.48

Top odds available · Updated 1/11/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Marítimo and Santa Clara meet on 1 November 2026 · 18:00 at Estádio do Marítimo (Funchal), under referee Carlos Macedo. We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Marítimo vs Santa Clara: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or Santa Clara (X2)
1.38
Goals
Over 1.5 goals
1.52
71%chance of the result
64%goals tip: chance
0–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Marítimo vs Santa Clara: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available3.353.182.48
Market average3.183.032.35
Lowest odds3.102.882.20
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.521.4664.1%
Over 2.5 goals2.572.4338.8%
Under 2.5 goals1.621.5461.2%
Over 3.5 goals5.134.6820.0%
BTTS – yes2.052.0046.4%
BTTS – no1.821.7353.6%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 1/11/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.9%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Marítimo 0–1 Santa Clara, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Marítimo 14th (8 points), Santa Clara 4th (21 points).
  • Form in the competition: Marítimo 2W 2D 5L (9:19), Santa Clara 5W 3D 1L (13:6).
  • H2H: 13 matches: Marítimo 6W 3D 4L, goals 18–14.
  • Absences: Marítimo 0, Santa Clara 0.

Who will win Marítimo vs Santa Clara?

Marítimo29%
Draw31%
Santa Clara40%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Marítimo vs Santa Clara: more betting markets

Under 3.5 goals80.0% · fair odds 1.25 · best 1.22
Likely
Draw or Santa Clara (X2)70.6% · fair odds 1.42 · best 1.38
Likely
Over 1.5 goals64.1% · fair odds 1.56 · best 1.52
Likely
Under 2.5 goals61.2% · fair odds 1.63 · best 1.62
Likely
Both teams score: no53.6% · fair odds 1.87 · best 1.82
Possible
Both teams score: yes46.4% · fair odds 2.15 · best 2.05
Outsider
Santa Clara to win39.7% · fair odds 2.52 · best 2.48
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals38.8% · fair odds 2.58 · best 2.57
Outsider
Draw30.9% · fair odds 3.24 · best 3.18
Outsider
Marítimo to win29.4% · fair odds 3.40 · best 3.35
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals20.0% · fair odds 4.99 · best 5.13
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 8.5 corners
Over 1.91 · Under 1.86
probability of over 49.4%

Most likely correct scores

0 : 113.3%
1 : 113.3%
1 : 011.1%
0 : 011.1%
1 : 28.0%
0 : 28.0%

Marítimo vs Santa Clara: injuries, suspensions, absences

Marítimo

  • No reported absences

Santa Clara

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Marítimo vs Santa Clara: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1FC Porto1010-0-025:430
2Benfica97-1-126:822
3Sporting CP106-3-123:1121
4Santa Clara106-3-115:621
5Arouca106-2-213:720
6Académico Viseu106-2-215:1220
7GIL Vicente94-2-38:714
8SC Braga104-2-412:1114
9Moreirense104-2-413:1714
10Alverca93-2-413:1311
11Famalicão102-4-414:1410
12Estrela102-4-415:1910
13Vitória SC92-2-510:108
14Marítimo102-2-69:218
15Nacional102-1-710:197
16Rio Ave102-1-79:237
17Casa Pia102-1-75:197
18Estoril100-2-85:192

Recent matches

Marítimo

1 NovLMarítimo 0–2 Santa Clara
23 OctLVitória SC 5–0 Marítimo
10 OctLMarítimo 1–2 FC Porto
19 SeptDGIL Vicente 1–1 Marítimo
14 SeptLMoreirense 3–1 Marítimo

Santa Clara

1 NovWMarítimo 0–2 Santa Clara
26 OctLSanta Clara 1–2 Benfica
10 OctWCasa Pia 0–1 Santa Clara
20 SeptDSanta Clara 0–0 SC Braga
13 SeptWArouca 1–2 Santa Clara

Home and away

Marítimo at home5 matches: 1W 1D 3L, goals 4–9
Santa Clara away5 matches: 4W 1D 0L, goals 7–2

Marítimo vs Santa Clara: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Marítimo: 14th, 8 points from 10 matches (2W 2D 6L). Santa Clara: 4th, 21 points (6W 3D 1L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Marítimo 1.0 scored and 2.1 conceded, Santa Clara 1.4 scored and 0.7 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Marítimo: 2W 2D 5L, goals 9–19; Santa Clara: 5W 3D 1L, goals 13–6.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 13 meetings: Marítimo 6 wins, Santa Clara 4 wins, plus 3 draws; goals 18–14.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–1 (13.3%). We see a fairly level contest.

On goals we like Over 1.5 goals (odds 1.52), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 46% and over 2.5 goals is 39%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 13; Marítimo 6 wins, 3 draws, Santa Clara 4 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.5 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Marítimo 9–19, Santa Clara 13–6.
  4. Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 39%.
  5. Not available: Marítimo 0, Santa Clara 0.

Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals

Other option: Under 2.5 goals (probability 61%, odds up to 1.62). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Marítimo: no absences. Not available for Santa Clara: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Marítimo vs Santa Clara: the numbers side by side

MarítimoSanta Clara
9%Form91%
27%Attack73%
18%Defence82%
50%Head to head50%
55%Goals45%
30.0%Overall70.0%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

MarítimoLLLDL
Santa ClaraWLWDW

Marítimo vs Santa Clara: head to head

All matches
6Marítimo
3Draws
4Santa Clara
14/4/24 · Marítimo 0–0 Santa Clara
3/12/23 · Santa Clara 2–1 Marítimo
25/2/23 · Marítimo 3–1 Santa Clara
4/9/22 · Santa Clara 2–1 Marítimo
29/7/22 · Marítimo 1–0 Santa Clara
23/4/22 · Santa Clara 2–2 Marítimo

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.9%

Marítimo vs Santa Clara: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Marítimo vs Santa Clara?

On the result, our pick is Draw or Santa Clara (X2) (1.38); on goals, Over 1.5 goals (1.52). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Santa Clara (X2).

Who will win Marítimo vs Santa Clara?

As we see it: Marítimo to win 29%, the draw 31%, Santa Clara to win 40%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

1 November 2026, 18:00, at Estádio do Marítimo, Funchal. Referee: Carlos Macedo.

Who will be missing?

Marítimo: no absences. Santa Clara: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 39% chance (odds 2.57), against 61% for under 2.5 (odds 1.62).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 46% (odds 2.05).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 0–1 (13.3%), 1–1 (13.3%), 1–0 (11.1%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Benfica vs Alverca 2 NovGIL Vicente vs Vitória SC 2 NovFamalicão vs Arouca 6 NovNacional vs Académico Viseu 7 NovSporting CP vs Moreirense 7 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.