Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Southampton and Bolton meet on 17 October 2026 · 15:00 at St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton), under referee Matt Donohue, England. Southampton (66%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Southampton vs Bolton: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.48 | 5.25 | 6.62 |
| Market average | 1.42 | 4.90 | 6.25 |
| Lowest odds | 1.40 | 4.75 | 6.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.10 | 84.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.45 | 1.40 | 66.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.76 | 33.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.14 | 2.03 | 46.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.55 | 59.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.30 | 40.2% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 17/10/26, 12:01. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Southampton 2–1 Bolton, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Southampton 5th (23 points), Bolton 19th (14 points).
- Absences: Southampton 0, Bolton 0.
Who will win Southampton vs Bolton?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Southampton vs Bolton: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Southampton vs Bolton: injuries, suspensions, absences
Southampton
- No reported absences
Bolton
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Southampton vs Bolton: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 | Southampton | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 |  Birmingham | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 |  QPR | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 |  Millwall | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 | Bolton | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Southampton
Home and away
Southampton vs Bolton: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Southampton: 5th, 23 points from 13 matches (8W 3D 2L). Bolton: 19th, 14 points (4W 2D 7L).
What to expect
We make Southampton the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.7%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.45), with a probability of 66% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 60% and over 2.5 goals is 66%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 66%.
- Not available: Southampton 0, Bolton 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 60%, odds up to 1.57). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Southampton: no absences. Not available for Bolton: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
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Southampton vs Bolton: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Southampton vs Bolton?
On the result, our pick is Southampton to win (1.48); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.45). Prefer less risk? Go for Southampton or draw (1X).
Who will win Southampton vs Bolton?
As we see it: Southampton to win 66%, the draw 19%, Bolton to win 15%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
17 October 2026, 15:00, at St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton. Referee: Matt Donohue, England.
Who will be missing?
Southampton: no absences. Bolton: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 66% chance (odds 1.45), against 34% for under 2.5 (odds 3.00).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 60% (odds 1.57).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–1 (9.7%), 2–0 (9.2%), 1–1 (8.2%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.