Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
West Ham and Southampton meet on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at London Stadium (London), under referee Michael Salisbury, England. West Ham (56%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
West Ham vs Southampton: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.75 | 4.30 | 4.60 |
| Market average | 1.69 | 4.14 | 4.43 |
| Lowest odds | 1.65 | 4.00 | 4.30 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.16 | 1.13 | 83.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.53 | 1.46 | 63.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.75 | 2.58 | 36.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.35 | 2.18 | 43.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.48 | 62.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.70 | 2.50 | 37.2% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 13:58. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: West Ham 2–1 Southampton, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: West Ham 8th (22 points), Southampton 5th (23 points).
- Form in the competition: West Ham 6W 4D 1L (30:12), Southampton 6W 3D 2L (21:10).
- H2H: 29 matches: West Ham 13W 8D 8L, goals 45–31.
- Absences: West Ham 1, Southampton 3.
Who will win West Ham vs Southampton?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
West Ham vs Southampton: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
West Ham vs Southampton: injuries, suspensions, absences
West Ham
- K. Lamadridinjury · will miss the match
Southampton
- M. Roerslev Rasmussenabsence · will miss the match
- F. Downesankle injury · doubtful
- C. Larinhamstring injury · doubtful
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
West Ham vs Southampton: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 | Southampton | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 |  Birmingham | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 | West Ham | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 |  QPR | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 |  Millwall | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
West Ham
Home and away
West Ham vs Southampton: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. West Ham: 8th, 22 points from 13 matches (6W 4D 3L). Southampton: 5th, 23 points (8W 3D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: West Ham 2.7 scored and 1.1 conceded, Southampton 1.9 scored and 0.9 conceded.
- Form in the competition. West Ham: 6W 4D 1L, goals 30–12; Southampton: 6W 3D 2L, goals 21–10.
- Head to head. Head to head over 29 meetings: West Ham 13 wins, Southampton 8 wins, plus 8 draws; goals 45–31.
What to expect
We make West Ham the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.8%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.53), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 63% and over 2.5 goals is 64%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 29; West Ham 13 wins, 8 draws, Southampton 8 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.6 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: West Ham 30–12, Southampton 21–10.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 64%.
- Not available: West Ham 1, Southampton 3.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 63%, odds up to 1.50). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for West Ham: K. Lamadrid. Not available for Southampton: M. Roerslev Rasmussen, F. Downes, C. Larin. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
West Ham vs Southampton: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
West HamLLWWDSouthamptonWWDWWWest Ham vs Southampton: head to head
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West Ham vs Southampton: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for West Ham vs Southampton?
On the result, our pick is West Ham to win (1.75); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.53). Prefer less risk? Go for West Ham or draw (1X).
Who will win West Ham vs Southampton?
As we see it: West Ham to win 56%, the draw 23%, Southampton to win 21%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
24 October 2026, 15:00, at London Stadium, London. Referee: Michael Salisbury, England.
Who will be missing?
West Ham: K. Lamadrid. Southampton: M. Roerslev Rasmussen, F. Downes, C. Larin. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 64% chance (odds 1.53), against 36% for under 2.5 (odds 2.75).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 63% (odds 1.50).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–1 (9.8%), 1–1 (9.5%), 2–0 (8.1%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.