Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Bolton v Bristol City takes place on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at Toughsheet Community Stadium (Horwich); Bobby Madley will referee. We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Bolton vs Bristol City: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 3.05 | 3.52 | 2.40 |
| Market average | 2.94 | 3.40 | 2.30 |
| Lowest odds | 2.64 | 3.08 | 2.23 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.24 | 75.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.87 | 1.80 | 52.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.04 | 1.99 | 47.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.15 | 2.96 | 31.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.63 | 57.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.17 | 42.9% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 31/10/26, 13:40. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Bolton 1–1 Bristol City, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Bolton 19th (14 points), Bristol City 14th (18 points).
- Form in the competition: Bolton 4W 2D 6L (16:23), Bristol City 4W 3D 5L (12:15).
- H2H: 10 matches: Bolton 3W 2D 5L, goals 12–20.
- Absences: Bolton 5, Bristol City 4.
Who will win Bolton vs Bristol City?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Bolton vs Bristol City: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Bolton vs Bristol City: injuries, suspensions, absences
Bolton
- E. Erhahonthigh injury · will miss the match
- R. Hardiehamstring injury · will miss the match
- J. McAteeknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Nelsonnot in the squad · will miss the match
- C. Forino-Josephgroin injury · doubtful
Bristol City
- N. Eileillness · will miss the match
- E. Adebayonot in the squad · doubtful
- R. Dickieknee injury · doubtful
- L. Tolajabsence · doubtful
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Bolton vs Bristol City: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 |  Southampton | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 |  Birmingham | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 |  QPR | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 |  Millwall | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 | Bolton | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Bolton
Home and away
Bolton vs Bristol City: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Bolton: 19th, 14 points from 13 matches (4W 2D 7L). Bristol City: 14th, 18 points (5W 3D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Bolton 1.3 scored and 1.9 conceded, Bristol City 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Bolton: 4W 2D 6L, goals 16–23; Bristol City: 4W 3D 5L, goals 12–15.
- Head to head. Head to head over 10 meetings: Bolton 3 wins, Bristol City 5 wins, plus 2 draws; goals 12–20.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.2%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.67), with a probability of 57% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 57% and over 2.5 goals is 52%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 10; Bolton 3 wins, 2 draws, Bristol City 5 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.2 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Bolton 16–23, Bristol City 12–15.
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 52%.
- Not available: Bolton 5, Bristol City 4.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 57%, odds up to 1.67). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Bolton: E. Erhahon, R. Hardie, J. McAtee, J. Nelson, C. Forino-Joseph. Not available for Bristol City: N. Eile, E. Adebayo, R. Dickie, L. Tolaj. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Bolton vs Bristol City: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
BoltonLLDWLBristol CityWDLLDBolton vs Bristol City: head to head
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Bolton vs Bristol City: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Bolton vs Bristol City?
On the result, our pick is Draw or Bristol City (X2) (1.40); on goals, Both teams to score (1.67). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Bristol City (X2).
Who will win Bolton vs Bristol City?
As we see it: Bolton to win 32%, the draw 28%, Bristol City to win 41%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
31 October 2026, 15:00, at Toughsheet Community Stadium, Horwich. Referee: Bobby Madley.
Who will be missing?
Bolton: E. Erhahon, R. Hardie, J. McAtee, J. Nelson, C. Forino-Joseph. Bristol City: N. Eile, E. Adebayo, R. Dickie, L. Tolaj. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 52% chance (odds 1.87), against 48% for under 2.5 (odds 2.04).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 57% (odds 1.67).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (12.2%), 0–1 (9.7%), 1–2 (8.8%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.