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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 9 · 30 October 2026 · 18:00

Nice vs Rennes tip, odds and prediction, 30 October 2026, Ligue 1

WWLWW
5–2
LWLWL
1Nice2.77
XDraw3.70
2Rennes2.78

Top odds available · Updated 30/10/26, 18:00

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TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesTableAnalysisComparisonH2HFAQ

Played: final score 5–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Nice and Rennes meet on 30 October 2026 · 18:00 at Allianz Riviera (Nice), under referee Eric Wattellier. We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Nice vs Rennes: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or Rennes (X2)
1.56
Goals
Both teams to score
1.53
63%chance of the result
63%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match

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Nice vs Rennes: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.773.702.78
Market average2.593.572.57
Lowest odds2.463.312.36
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.201.1779.8%
Over 2.5 goals1.671.6059.2%
Under 2.5 goals2.422.3240.8%
Over 3.5 goals2.622.4538.7%
BTTS – yes1.531.4862.8%
BTTS – no2.632.5037.2%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 30/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.7%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Nice 1–1 Rennes, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: Nice 8th (14 points), Rennes 5th (16 points).
  • Form in the competition: Nice 3W 2D 3L (8:10), Rennes 5W 1D 2L (18:14).
  • H2H: 36 matches: Nice 18W 8D 10L, goals 55–44.
  • Absences: Nice 5, Rennes 2.

Who will win Nice vs Rennes?

Nice37%
Draw27%
Rennes37%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Nice vs Rennes: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals79.8% · fair odds 1.25 · best 1.20
Likely
Draw or Rennes (X2)63.4% · fair odds 1.58 · best 1.56
Likely
Both teams score: yes62.8% · fair odds 1.59 · best 1.53
Likely
Under 3.5 goals61.3% · fair odds 1.63 · best 1.60
Likely
Over 2.5 goals59.2% · fair odds 1.69 · best 1.67
Possible
Under 2.5 goals40.8% · fair odds 2.45 · best 2.42
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals38.7% · fair odds 2.59 · best 2.62
Outsider
Both teams score: no37.2% · fair odds 2.69 · best 2.63
Outsider
Rennes to win36.9% · fair odds 2.71 · best 2.78
Outsider
Nice to win36.6% · fair odds 2.73 · best 2.77
Outsider
Draw26.5% · fair odds 3.77 · best 3.70
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.71 · Under 2.03
probability of over 54.3%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.93 · Under 1.84
probability of over 48.8%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.2%
1 : 28.4%
2 : 18.4%
0 : 17.5%
1 : 07.5%
2 : 26.3%

Nice vs Rennes: injuries, suspensions, absences

Nice

  • L. Abergelknee injury · will miss the match
  • M. Bombitoabsence · will miss the match
  • A. Mendyknee injury · will miss the match
  • A. Seiduabsence · will miss the match
  • A. Abdimuscle injury · doubtful

Rennes

  • E. Lepaulankle injury · will miss the match
  • B. Sambathigh injury · will miss the match

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Nice vs Rennes: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain96-2-121:1020
2Lille95-3-112:618
3Lyon95-2-215:717
4Paris FC95-2-216:1017
5Rennes95-1-320:1916
6Marseille95-0-420:1315
7Monaco94-3-212:1015
8Nice94-2-313:1214
9Lens94-1-416:1313
10Lorient83-3-27:612
11Toulouse92-4-312:1310
12Strasbourg93-1-517:1910
13Auxerre93-1-513:2310
14Stade Brestois 2982-3-314:129
15Angers92-2-59:178
16Estac Troyes92-2-57:168
17Le Mans91-4-411:187
18Le Havre90-2-79:202

Recent matches

Nice

30 OctWNice 5–2 Rennes
23 OctWStade Brestois 29 1–2 Nice
18 OctLLyon 2–1 Nice
11 OctWNice 2–1 Strasbourg
20 SeptWNice 2–1 Lille

Rennes

30 OctLNice 5–2 Rennes
25 OctWRennes 3–0 Strasbourg
22 OctDJuventus 2–2 Rennes
18 OctLParis FC 4–3 Rennes
15 OctWRennes 2–1 OFI

Home and away

Nice at home5 matches: 3W 2D 0L, goals 10–5
Rennes away4 matches: 1W 0D 3L, goals 7–14

Nice vs Rennes: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Nice: 8th, 14 points from 9 matches (4W 2D 3L). Rennes: 5th, 16 points (5W 1D 3L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Nice 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded, Rennes 2.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Nice: 3W 2D 3L, goals 8–10; Rennes: 5W 1D 2L, goals 18–14.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 36 meetings: Nice 18 wins, Rennes 10 wins, plus 8 draws; goals 55–44.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–2, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.2%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.53), with a probability of 63% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 63% and over 2.5 goals is 59%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 36; Nice 18 wins, 8 draws, Rennes 10 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.8 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Nice 8–10, Rennes 18–14.
  4. Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 59%.
  5. Not available: Nice 5, Rennes 2.

Alternative tip: Draw or Rennes (X2)

Other option: Draw or Rennes (X2) (probability 63%, odds up to 1.56). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Nice: L. Abergel, M. Bombito, A. Mendy, A. Seidu, A. Abdi. Not available for Rennes: E. Lepaul, B. Samba. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Nice vs Rennes: the numbers side by side

NiceRennes
50%Form50%
39%Attack61%
60%Defence40%
40%Head to head60%
31%Goals69%
48.5%Overall51.5%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

NiceWWLWW
RennesLWLWL

Nice vs Rennes: head to head

All matches
18Nice
8Draws
10Rennes
30/10/26 · Nice 5–2 Rennes
8/3/26 · Nice 0–4 Rennes
26/10/25 · Rennes 1–2 Nice
10/5/25 · Rennes 2–0 Nice
3/1/25 · Nice 3–2 Rennes
13/1/24 · Rennes 2–0 Nice

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.7%

Nice vs Rennes: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Nice vs Rennes?

On the result, our pick is Draw or Rennes (X2) (1.56); on goals, Both teams to score (1.53). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Rennes (X2).

Who will win Nice vs Rennes?

As we see it: Nice to win 37%, the draw 27%, Rennes to win 37%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

30 October 2026, 18:00, at Allianz Riviera, Nice. Referee: Eric Wattellier.

Who will be missing?

Nice: L. Abergel, M. Bombito, A. Mendy, A. Seidu, A. Abdi. Rennes: E. Lepaul, B. Samba. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 59% chance (odds 1.67), against 41% for under 2.5 (odds 2.42).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 63% (odds 1.53).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (11.2%), 1–2 (8.4%), 2–1 (8.4%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 2 NovToulouse vs Strasbourg 6 NovAuxerre vs Paris FC 7 NovParis Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes 7 NovRennes vs Lille 8 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.