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Eredivisie · Matchweek 10 · 24 October 2026 · 17:45

Willem II vs Cambuur tip, odds and prediction, 24 October 2026, Eredivisie

1–6
WWDWD
1Willem II2.55
XDraw3.80
2Cambuur2.71

Top odds available · Updated 24/10/26, 12:03

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Played: final score 1–6. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Willem II and Cambuur meet on 24 October 2026 · 17:45 at Koning Willem II Stadion (Tilburg), under referee Dennis Higler. We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Willem II vs Cambuur: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Willem II or draw (1X)
1.53
Goals
Both teams to score
1.45
63%chance of the result
65%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match

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Willem II vs Cambuur: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.553.802.71
Market average2.503.692.58
Lowest odds2.453.502.50
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.181.1581.3%
Over 2.5 goals1.591.5361.2%
Under 2.5 goals2.552.4238.8%
Over 3.5 goals2.422.3041.0%
BTTS – yes1.451.4464.7%
BTTS – no2.882.6435.3%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 12:03. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.8%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Willem II 1–1 Cambuur, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: Willem II 18th (2 points), Cambuur 9th (15 points).
  • Form in the competition: Willem II 0W 2D 7L (9:26), Cambuur 2W 3D 4L (13:21).
  • H2H: 11 matches: Willem II 2W 5D 4L, goals 13–18.
  • Absences: Willem II 5, Cambuur 4.

Who will win Willem II vs Cambuur?

Willem II38%
Draw26%
Cambuur37%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Willem II vs Cambuur: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals81.3% · fair odds 1.23 · best 1.18
Likely
Both teams score: yes64.7% · fair odds 1.55 · best 1.45
Likely
Willem II or draw (1X)63.4% · fair odds 1.58 · best 1.53
Likely
Over 2.5 goals61.2% · fair odds 1.63 · best 1.59
Likely
Under 3.5 goals59.0% · fair odds 1.70 · best 1.65
Possible
Over 3.5 goals41.0% · fair odds 2.44 · best 2.42
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals38.8% · fair odds 2.58 · best 2.55
Outsider
Willem II to win37.8% · fair odds 2.64 · best 2.55
Outsider
Cambuur to win36.6% · fair odds 2.73 · best 2.71
Outsider
Both teams score: no35.3% · fair odds 2.83 · best 2.88
Outsider
Draw25.6% · fair odds 3.90 · best 3.80
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.71 · Under 2.02
probability of over 54.2%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 110.6%
2 : 18.5%
1 : 28.2%
1 : 06.9%
0 : 16.6%
2 : 26.6%

Willem II vs Cambuur: injuries, suspensions, absences

Willem II

  • A. Culumfoot injury · will miss the match
  • T. Didillon Hodlhamstring injury · will miss the match
  • J. Hoogmaknee injury · will miss the match
  • A. Lachkargroin injury · will miss the match
  • W. van der Steennot in the squad · will miss the match

Cambuur

  • J. Amofainjury · will miss the match
  • W. Asselmaninjury · will miss the match
  • D. Bouahred card · will miss the match
  • D. Visserknee injury · will miss the match

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Willem II vs Cambuur: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Feyenoord117-4-033:1225
2Ajax117-3-130:1324
3PSV Eindhoven117-2-235:1323
4Twente117-2-228:1023
5AZ Alkmaar116-2-320:1320
6Fortuna Sittard115-4-218:1819
7Heerenveen115-3-319:1318
8Groningen114-3-426:2415
9Cambuur114-3-423:2215
10GO Ahead Eagles113-5-323:2714
11Sparta Rotterdam113-3-520:2612
12Utrecht113-3-519:3112
13NEC Nijmegen112-5-417:1911
14PEC Zwolle113-2-612:2311
15Excelsior113-2-616:2811
16Telstar112-3-616:239
17ADO Den Haag111-3-713:246
18Willem II110-2-910:392

Recent matches

Willem II

31 OctLPSV Eindhoven 7–0 Willem II
24 OctLWillem II 1–6 Cambuur
17 OctLSparta Rotterdam 3–2 Willem II
11 OctLUtrecht 3–1 Willem II
19 SeptLWillem II 0–1 Fortuna Sittard

Cambuur

31 OctWCambuur 4–0 GO Ahead Eagles
24 OctWWillem II 1–6 Cambuur
18 OctDCambuur 2–2 AZ Alkmaar
11 OctWPEC Zwolle 0–1 Cambuur
19 SeptDADO Den Haag 1–1 Cambuur

Home and away

Willem II at home5 matches: 0W 1D 4L, goals 4–16
Cambuur away5 matches: 2W 2D 1L, goals 11–7

Willem II vs Cambuur: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Willem II: 18th, 2 points from 11 matches (0W 2D 9L). Cambuur: 9th, 15 points (4W 3D 4L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Willem II 1.0 scored and 2.9 conceded, Cambuur 1.4 scored and 2.3 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Willem II: 0W 2D 7L, goals 9–26; Cambuur: 2W 3D 4L, goals 13–21.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 11 meetings: Willem II 2 wins, Cambuur 4 wins, plus 5 draws; goals 13–18.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–2, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.6%). We expect goals and an open game.

The two signals clash: on table position the Cambuur look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.45), with a probability of 65% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 65% and over 2.5 goals is 61%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 11; Willem II 2 wins, 5 draws, Cambuur 4 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.8 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Willem II 9–26, Cambuur 13–21.
  4. Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 61%.
  5. Not available: Willem II 5, Cambuur 4.

Alternative tip: Willem II or draw (1X)

Other option: Willem II or draw (1X) (probability 63%, odds up to 1.53). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Willem II: A. Culum, T. Didillon Hodl, J. Hoogma, A. Lachkar, W. van der Steen. Not available for Cambuur: J. Amofa, W. Asselman, D. Bouah, D. Visser. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Willem II vs Cambuur: the numbers side by side

Willem IICambuur
10%Form90%
36%Attack64%
28%Defence72%
25%Head to head75%
40%Goals60%
28.0%Overall72.0%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

Willem IILLLLL
CambuurWWDWD

Willem II vs Cambuur: head to head

All matches
2Willem II
5Draws
4Cambuur
24/10/26 · Willem II 1–6 Cambuur
12/12/25 · Willem II 0–1 Cambuur
6/9/25 · Cambuur 2–2 Willem II
2/2/24 · Willem II 1–1 Cambuur
17/9/23 · Cambuur 1–0 Willem II
11/5/22 · Cambuur 1–1 Willem II

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.8%

Willem II vs Cambuur: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Willem II vs Cambuur?

On the result, our pick is Willem II or draw (1X) (1.53); on goals, Both teams to score (1.45). Prefer less risk? Go for Willem II or draw (1X).

Who will win Willem II vs Cambuur?

As we see it: Willem II to win 38%, the draw 26%, Cambuur to win 37%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

24 October 2026, 17:45, at Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg. Referee: Dennis Higler.

Who will be missing?

Willem II: A. Culum, T. Didillon Hodl, J. Hoogma, A. Lachkar, W. van der Steen. Cambuur: J. Amofa, W. Asselman, D. Bouah, D. Visser. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 61% chance (odds 1.59), against 39% for under 2.5 (odds 2.55).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 65% (odds 1.45).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (10.6%), 2–1 (8.5%), 1–2 (8.2%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.