Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Sparta Rotterdam and Willem II meet on 17 October 2026 · 20:00 at Sparta Stadium Het Kasteel (Rotterdam), under referee Serdar Gözübüyük. Sparta Rotterdam (61%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.61 | 4.62 | 5.50 |
| Market average | 1.55 | 4.41 | 5.23 |
| Lowest odds | 1.52 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.12 | 83.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.46 | 63.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.68 | 2.55 | 36.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.27 | 2.20 | 42.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.53 | 60.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.32 | 39.8% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 17/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 Willem II, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Sparta Rotterdam 11th (12 points), Willem II 18th (2 points).
- Absences: Sparta Rotterdam 0, Willem II 0.
Who will win Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II: injuries, suspensions, absences
Sparta Rotterdam
- No reported absences
Willem II
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 | Willem II | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
Recent matches
Sparta Rotterdam
Home and away
Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Sparta Rotterdam: 11th, 12 points from 11 matches (3W 3D 5L). Willem II: 18th, 2 points (0W 2D 9L).
What to expect
We make Sparta Rotterdam the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.9%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 60% and over 2.5 goals is 64%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 64%.
- Not available: Sparta Rotterdam 0, Willem II 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 60%, odds up to 1.57). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Sparta Rotterdam: no absences. Not available for Willem II: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
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Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II?
On the result, our pick is Sparta Rotterdam to win (1.61); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Sparta Rotterdam or draw (1X).
Who will win Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II?
As we see it: Sparta Rotterdam to win 61%, the draw 21%, Willem II to win 18%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
17 October 2026, 20:00, at Sparta Stadium Het Kasteel, Rotterdam. Referee: Serdar Gözübüyük.
Who will be missing?
Sparta Rotterdam: no absences. Willem II: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 64% chance (odds 1.50), against 36% for under 2.5 (odds 2.68).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 60% (odds 1.57).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–1 (9.9%), 1–1 (9.2%), 2–0 (9.0%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.