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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 8 · 23 October 2026 · 19:45

Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice tip, odds and prediction, 23 October 2026, Ligue 1

1–2
WWLWW
1Stade Brestois 292.41
XDraw3.70
2Nice3.37

Top odds available · Updated 23/10/26, 18:00

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TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesTableAnalysisComparisonH2HFAQ

Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Stade Brestois 29 entertain Nice on 23 October 2026 · 19:45 at Stade Francis-Le-Blé (Brest), with G. Paradis the man in the middle. We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Stade Brestois 29 or draw (1X)
1.40
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.50
69%chance of the result
65%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.413.703.37
Market average2.313.483.06
Lowest odds2.223.252.90
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.241.2078.3%
Over 2.5 goals1.761.7155.7%
Under 2.5 goals2.232.1544.3%
Over 3.5 goals2.782.6735.4%
BTTS – yes1.571.5460.2%
BTTS – no2.402.3439.8%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 23/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.9%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Stade Brestois 29 1–1 Nice, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Stade Brestois 29 14th (9 points), Nice 8th (14 points).
  • Form in the competition: Stade Brestois 29 2W 3D 2L (13:10), Nice 2W 2D 3L (6:9).
  • H2H: 22 matches: Stade Brestois 29 4W 8D 10L, goals 21–34.
  • Absences: Stade Brestois 29 3, Nice 4.

Who will win Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice?

Stade Brestois 2941%
Draw27%
Nice31%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals78.3% · fair odds 1.28 · best 1.24
Likely
Stade Brestois 29 or draw (1X)68.8% · fair odds 1.45 · best 1.40
Likely
Under 3.5 goals64.6% · fair odds 1.55 · best 1.50
Likely
Both teams score: yes60.2% · fair odds 1.66 · best 1.57
Likely
Over 2.5 goals55.7% · fair odds 1.80 · best 1.76
Possible
Under 2.5 goals44.3% · fair odds 2.26 · best 2.23
Outsider
Stade Brestois 29 to win41.3% · fair odds 2.42 · best 2.41
Outsider
Both teams score: no39.8% · fair odds 2.51 · best 2.40
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals35.4% · fair odds 2.83 · best 2.78
Outsider
Nice to win31.2% · fair odds 3.20 · best 3.37
Outsider
Draw27.5% · fair odds 3.64 · best 3.70
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.84 · Under 1.91
probability of over 51.0%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.86 · Under 1.88
probability of over 50.3%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.5%
2 : 18.9%
1 : 08.5%
1 : 27.8%
0 : 17.4%
2 : 06.6%

Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice: injuries, suspensions, absences

Stade Brestois 29

  • B. Chardonnetcalf injury · will miss the match
  • R. Le Guenbroken leg · will miss the match
  • G. Versiniabsence · doubtful

Nice

  • A. Abdimuscle injury · will miss the match
  • L. Abergelknee injury · will miss the match
  • M. Bombitoabsence · will miss the match
  • A. Mendyknee injury · will miss the match

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain96-2-121:1020
2Lille95-3-112:618
3Lyon95-2-215:717
4Paris FC95-2-216:1017
5Rennes95-1-320:1916
6Marseille95-0-420:1315
7Monaco94-3-212:1015
8Nice94-2-313:1214
9Lens94-1-416:1313
10Lorient83-3-27:612
11Toulouse92-4-312:1310
12Strasbourg93-1-517:1910
13Auxerre93-1-513:2310
14Stade Brestois 2982-3-314:129
15Angers92-2-59:178
16Estac Troyes92-2-57:168
17Le Mans91-4-411:187
18Le Havre90-2-79:202

Recent matches

Stade Brestois 29

23 OctLStade Brestois 29 1–2 Nice
17 OctDLille 1–1 Stade Brestois 29
10 OctWStade Brestois 29 5–1 Angers
20 SeptLAuxerre 2–1 Stade Brestois 29
13 SeptLStade Brestois 29 0–1 Paris Saint Germain

Nice

30 OctWNice 5–2 Rennes
23 OctWStade Brestois 29 1–2 Nice
18 OctLLyon 2–1 Nice
11 OctWNice 2–1 Strasbourg
20 SeptWNice 2–1 Lille

Home and away

Stade Brestois 29 at home4 matches: 1W 1D 2L, goals 8–6
Nice away4 matches: 1W 0D 3L, goals 3–7

Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Stade Brestois 29: 14th, 9 points from 8 matches (2W 3D 3L). Nice: 8th, 14 points (4W 2D 3L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Stade Brestois 29 1.9 scored and 1.4 conceded, Nice 0.9 scored and 1.3 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Stade Brestois 29: 2W 3D 2L, goals 13–10; Nice: 2W 2D 3L, goals 6–9.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 22 meetings: Stade Brestois 29 4 wins, Nice 10 wins, plus 8 draws; goals 21–34.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.5%). We expect goals and an open game.

The two signals clash: on table position the Nice look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), with a probability of 65% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 60% and over 2.5 goals is 56%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 22; Stade Brestois 29 4 wins, 8 draws, Nice 10 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.5 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Stade Brestois 29 13–10, Nice 6–9.
  4. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 56%.
  5. Not available: Stade Brestois 29 3, Nice 4.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 60%, odds up to 1.57). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Stade Brestois 29: B. Chardonnet, R. Le Guen, G. Versini. Not available for Nice: A. Abdi, L. Abergel, M. Bombito, A. Mendy. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice: the numbers side by side

Stade Brestois 29Nice
50%Form50%
60%Attack40%
50%Defence50%
38%Head to head62%
38%Goals63%
54.3%Overall45.8%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

Stade Brestois 29LDWLL
NiceWWLWW

Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice: head to head

All matches
4Stade Brestois 29
8Draws
10Nice
23/10/26 · Stade Brestois 29 1–2 Nice
1/2/26 · Nice 2–2 Stade Brestois 29
20/9/25 · Stade Brestois 29 4–1 Nice
17/5/25 · Nice 6–0 Stade Brestois 29
2/11/24 · Stade Brestois 29 0–1 Nice
4/2/24 · Stade Brestois 29 0–0 Nice

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.9%

Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice?

On the result, our pick is Stade Brestois 29 or draw (1X) (1.40); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Stade Brestois 29 or draw (1X).

Who will win Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice?

As we see it: Stade Brestois 29 to win 41%, the draw 27%, Nice to win 31%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

23 October 2026, 19:45, at Stade Francis-Le-Blé, Brest. Referee: G. Paradis.

Who will be missing?

Stade Brestois 29: B. Chardonnet, R. Le Guen, G. Versini. Nice: A. Abdi, L. Abergel, M. Bombito, A. Mendy. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 56% chance (odds 1.76), against 44% for under 2.5 (odds 2.23).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 60% (odds 1.57).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (11.5%), 2–1 (8.9%), 1–0 (8.5%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 2 NovToulouse vs Strasbourg 6 NovAuxerre vs Paris FC 7 NovParis Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes 7 NovRennes vs Lille 8 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.