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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 11 · 21 November 2026 · 16:15

Nice vs Paris Saint Germain tip, odds and prediction, 21 November 2026, Ligue 1

1Nice6.62
XDraw5.44
2Paris Saint Germain1.47

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 08:31

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Nice v Paris Saint Germain takes place on 21 November 2026 · 16:15 at Allianz Riviera (Nice). We back Paris Saint Germain (66%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Nice vs Paris Saint Germain: tip and prediction
Result
Paris Saint Germain to win
1.47
Goals
Both teams to score
1.55
Combo
Paris Saint Germain & over 2.5 goals
1.96
51% · fair combo odds
66%chance of the result
62%goals tip: chance
1–2likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Paris Saint Germain (X2) – probability 85%, odds up to 1.14.

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Nice vs Paris Saint Germain: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available6.625.441.47
Market average6.385.031.44
Lowest odds6.004.751.40
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.121.0985.9%
Over 2.5 goals1.371.3569.7%
Under 2.5 goals3.203.1130.3%
Over 3.5 goals1.981.9449.9%
BTTS – yes1.551.5161.8%
BTTS – no2.502.4438.2%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:31. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.3%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Nice 1–2 Paris Saint Germain, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Nice 8th (14 points), Paris Saint Germain 1st (20 points).
  • Absences: Nice 0, Paris Saint Germain 0.

Who will win Nice vs Paris Saint Germain?

Nice15%
Draw19%
Paris Saint Germain66%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Nice vs Paris Saint Germain: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals85.9% · fair odds 1.16 · best 1.12
Likely
Draw or Paris Saint Germain (X2)85.1% · fair odds 1.18 · best 1.14
Likely
Over 2.5 goals69.7% · fair odds 1.43 · best 1.37
Likely
Paris Saint Germain to win66.2% · fair odds 1.51 · best 1.47
Likely
Both teams score: yes61.8% · fair odds 1.62 · best 1.55
Likely
Under 3.5 goals50.1% · fair odds 1.99 · best 1.96
Possible
Over 3.5 goals49.9% · fair odds 2.01 · best 1.98
Outsider
Both teams score: no38.2% · fair odds 2.62 · best 2.50
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals30.3% · fair odds 3.30 · best 3.20
Outsider
Draw18.9% · fair odds 5.28 · best 5.44
Outsider
Nice to win14.9% · fair odds 6.71 · best 6.62
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Most likely correct scores

1 : 29.4%
0 : 28.2%
1 : 37.7%
1 : 17.7%
0 : 36.7%
0 : 16.7%

Nice vs Paris Saint Germain: injuries, suspensions, absences

Nice

  • No reported absences

Paris Saint Germain

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Nice vs Paris Saint Germain: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain96-2-121:1020
2Lille95-3-112:618
3Lyon95-2-215:717
4Paris FC95-2-216:1017
5Rennes95-1-320:1916
6Marseille95-0-420:1315
7Monaco94-3-212:1015
8Nice94-2-313:1214
9Lens94-1-416:1313
10Lorient83-3-27:612
11Toulouse92-4-312:1310
12Strasbourg93-1-517:1910
13Auxerre93-1-513:2310
14Stade Brestois 2982-3-314:129
15Angers92-2-59:178
16Estac Troyes92-2-57:168
17Le Mans91-4-411:187
18Le Havre90-2-79:202

Recent matches

Nice

30 OctWNice 5–2 Rennes
23 OctWStade Brestois 29 1–2 Nice
18 OctLLyon 2–1 Nice
11 OctWNice 2–1 Strasbourg
20 SeptWNice 2–1 Lille

Paris Saint Germain

30 OctWLe Havre 1–5 Paris Saint Germain
26 OctWParis Saint Germain 2–0 Lyon
20 OctWParis Saint Germain 4–2 Barcelona
17 OctWStrasbourg 1–3 Paris Saint Germain
14 OctWManchester City 2–4 Paris Saint Germain

Home and away

Nice at home5 matches: 3W 2D 0L, goals 10–5
Paris Saint Germain away6 matches: 4W 2D 0L, goals 15–7

Nice vs Paris Saint Germain: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Nice: 8th, 14 points from 9 matches (4W 2D 3L). Paris Saint Germain: 1st, 20 points (6W 2D 1L).

What to expect

We make Paris Saint Germain the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–2 (9.4%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.55), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 62% and over 2.5 goals is 70%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 70%.
  2. Not available: Nice 0, Paris Saint Germain 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 62%, odds up to 1.55). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Nice: no absences. Not available for Paris Saint Germain: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.3%

Nice vs Paris Saint Germain: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Nice vs Paris Saint Germain?

On the result, our pick is Paris Saint Germain to win (1.47); on goals, Both teams to score (1.55). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Paris Saint Germain (X2).

Who will win Nice vs Paris Saint Germain?

As we see it: Nice to win 15%, the draw 19%, Paris Saint Germain to win 66%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

21 November 2026, 16:15, at Allianz Riviera, Nice.

Who will be missing?

Nice: no absences. Paris Saint Germain: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 70% chance (odds 1.37), against 30% for under 2.5 (odds 3.20).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 62% (odds 1.55).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–2 (9.4%), 0–2 (8.2%), 1–3 (7.7%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 2 NovToulouse vs Strasbourg 6 NovAuxerre vs Paris FC 7 NovParis Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes 7 NovRennes vs Lille 8 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.