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Serie A · Matchweek 12 · 21 November 2026 · 14:00

Lazio vs Lecce tip, odds and prediction, 21 November 2026, Serie A

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VS
LLLWL
1Lazio1.40
XDraw5.45
2Lecce8.50

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 08:26

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Lazio entertain Lecce on 21 November 2026 · 14:00 at Stadio Olimpico (Rome). Lazio (69%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Lazio vs Lecce: tip and prediction
Result
Lazio to win
1.40
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.60
Combo
Lazio & over 2.5 goals
2.10
48% · fair combo odds
69%chance of the result
60%goals tip: chance
2–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Lazio or draw (1X) – probability 88%, odds up to 1.11.

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Lazio vs Lecce: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.405.458.50
Market average1.385.037.96
Lowest odds1.364.757.50
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.191.1780.3%
Over 2.5 goals1.631.6060.3%
Under 2.5 goals2.482.4239.7%
Over 3.5 goals2.432.3939.5%
BTTS – yes1.831.8151.5%
BTTS – no1.951.9348.5%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:26. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.2%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Lazio 2–0 Lecce, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Lazio 1st (28 points), Lecce 14th (9 points).
  • Absences: Lazio 0, Lecce 0.

Who will win Lazio vs Lecce?

Lazio69%
Draw19%
Lecce12%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Lazio vs Lecce: more betting markets

Lazio or draw (1X)88.0% · fair odds 1.14 · best 1.11
Likely
Over 1.5 goals80.3% · fair odds 1.25 · best 1.19
Likely
Lazio to win69.1% · fair odds 1.45 · best 1.40
Likely
Under 3.5 goals60.5% · fair odds 1.65 · best 1.60
Likely
Over 2.5 goals60.3% · fair odds 1.66 · best 1.63
Likely
Both teams score: yes51.5% · fair odds 1.94 · best 1.83
Possible
Both teams score: no48.5% · fair odds 2.06 · best 1.95
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals39.7% · fair odds 2.52 · best 2.48
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals39.5% · fair odds 2.53 · best 2.43
Outsider
Draw18.9% · fair odds 5.28 · best 5.45
Outsider
Lecce to win12.0% · fair odds 8.36 · best 8.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Most likely correct scores

2 : 011.4%
1 : 010.1%
2 : 19.7%
1 : 18.6%
3 : 08.6%
3 : 17.3%

Lazio vs Lecce: injuries, suspensions, absences

Lazio

  • No reported absences

Lecce

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Lazio vs Lecce: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Lazio109-1-024:828
2Inter108-1-126:1325
3AS Roma107-3-028:1024
4Como107-2-118:823
5AC Milan106-3-121:1221
6Frosinone106-2-224:1420
7Juventus105-2-313:1017
8Napoli104-2-417:1314
9Bologna104-2-414:1314
10Torino104-1-514:1613
11Genoa104-1-510:1413
12Cagliari104-1-59:1513
13Atalanta93-2-416:1711
14Lecce103-0-711:219
15Sassuolo92-2-514:228
16Monza102-1-717:247
17Fiorentina91-2-611:215
18Parma91-2-65:155
19Udinese101-2-711:235
20Venezia101-0-96:203

Recent matches

Lazio

1 NovWLazio 2–1 Cagliari
27 OctWSassuolo 2–6 Lazio
24 OctWLazio 2–1 Parma
18 OctWJuventus 0–3 Lazio
11 OctWLazio 3–1 Monza

Lecce

1 NovLLecce 1–2 Genoa
29 OctLFrosinone 5–1 Lecce
25 OctLLecce 0–2 Juventus
18 OctWUdinese 0–3 Lecce
11 OctLLecce 1–2 Bologna

Home and away

Lazio at home5 matches: 4W 1D 0L, goals 10–5
Lecce away5 matches: 2W 0D 3L, goals 6–9

Lazio vs Lecce: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Lazio: 1st, 28 points from 10 matches (9W 1D 0L). Lecce: 14th, 9 points (3W 0D 7L).

What to expect

We make Lazio the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–0 (11.4%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.60), with a probability of 60% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 51% and over 2.5 goals is 60%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 60%.
  2. Not available: Lazio 0, Lecce 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Other option: Over 2.5 goals (probability 60%, odds up to 1.63). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Lazio: no absences. Not available for Lecce: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.2%

Lazio vs Lecce: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Lazio vs Lecce?

On the result, our pick is Lazio to win (1.40); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.60). Prefer less risk? Go for Lazio or draw (1X).

Who will win Lazio vs Lecce?

As we see it: Lazio to win 69%, the draw 19%, Lecce to win 12%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

21 November 2026, 14:00, at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.

Who will be missing?

Lazio: no absences. Lecce: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 60% chance (odds 1.63), against 40% for under 2.5 (odds 2.48).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 51% (odds 1.83).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 2–0 (11.4%), 1–0 (10.1%), 2–1 (9.7%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina 2 NovAtalanta vs Parma 2 NovVenezia vs Udinese 6 NovCagliari vs Frosinone 7 NovTorino vs Lecce 7 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.