Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 5–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Frosinone v Lecce takes place on 29 October 2026 · 17:30 at PSC Arena (Frosinone); Rosario Abisso will referee. We back Frosinone (57%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Frosinone vs Lecce: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.75 | 4.42 | 4.82 |
| Market average | 1.68 | 4.27 | 4.54 |
| Lowest odds | 1.65 | 4.00 | 4.28 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.09 | 86.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.38 | 1.35 | 69.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.20 | 3.08 | 30.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.96 | 1.91 | 50.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.40 | 1.37 | 67.6% |
| BTTS – no | 3.00 | 2.88 | 32.4% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 29/10/26, 16:21. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Frosinone 2–1 Lecce, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Frosinone 6th (20 points), Lecce 14th (9 points).
- Form in the competition: Frosinone 4W 2D 2L (17:13), Lecce 3W 0D 5L (9:14).
- H2H: 7 matches: Frosinone 1W 3D 3L, goals 9–10.
- Absences: Frosinone 1, Lecce 5.
Who will win Frosinone vs Lecce?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Frosinone vs Lecce: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Frosinone vs Lecce: injuries, suspensions, absences
Frosinone
- F. Grillitschthigh injury · will miss the match
Lecce
- M. Berishathigh injury · will miss the match
- L. Coulibalythigh injury · will miss the match
- K. Gasparred card · will miss the match
- I. Ilicthigh injury · will miss the match
- S. Pierottiankle injury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Frosinone vs Lecce: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 9 | 3-2-4 | 16:17 | 11 |
| 14 | Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Sassuolo | 9 | 2-2-5 | 14:22 | 8 |
| 16 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 17 |  Fiorentina | 9 | 1-2-6 | 11:21 | 5 |
| 18 |  Parma | 9 | 1-2-6 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Frosinone
Home and away
Frosinone vs Lecce: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Frosinone: 6th, 20 points from 10 matches (6W 2D 2L). Lecce: 14th, 9 points (3W 0D 7L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Frosinone 2.1 scored and 1.6 conceded, Lecce 1.1 scored and 1.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Frosinone: 4W 2D 2L, goals 17–13; Lecce: 3W 0D 5L, goals 9–14.
- Head to head. Head to head over 7 meetings: Frosinone 1 win, Lecce 3 wins, plus 3 draws; goals 9–10.
What to expect
We make Frosinone the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.4%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.96), with a probability of 50% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 68% and over 2.5 goals is 69%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 7; Frosinone 1 win, 3 draws, Lecce 3 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.7 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Frosinone 17–13, Lecce 9–14.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 69%.
- Not available: Frosinone 1, Lecce 5.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 50%, odds up to 1.99). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Frosinone: F. Grillitsch. Not available for Lecce: M. Berisha, L. Coulibaly, K. Gaspar, I. Ilic, S. Pierotti. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Frosinone vs Lecce: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
FrosinoneWWDWLLecceLLLWLFrosinone vs Lecce: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Frosinone vs Lecce: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Frosinone vs Lecce?
On the result, our pick is Frosinone to win (1.75); on goals, Over 3.5 goals (1.96). Prefer less risk? Go for Frosinone or draw (1X).
Who will win Frosinone vs Lecce?
As we see it: Frosinone to win 57%, the draw 22%, Lecce to win 21%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
29 October 2026, 17:30, at PSC Arena, Frosinone. Referee: Rosario Abisso.
Who will be missing?
Frosinone: F. Grillitsch. Lecce: M. Berisha, L. Coulibaly, K. Gaspar, I. Ilic, S. Pierotti. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 69% chance (odds 1.38), against 31% for under 2.5 (odds 3.20).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 68% (odds 1.40).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–1 (9.4%), 1–1 (8.5%), 2–0 (7.0%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.