Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Udinese v Lecce takes place on 18 October 2026 · 11:30 at Bluenergy Stadium (Udine); Marco Guida, Italy will referee. We back Udinese (52%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Udinese vs Lecce: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.86 | 3.68 | 4.84 |
| Market average | 1.82 | 3.55 | 4.61 |
| Lowest odds | 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.33 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.34 | 1.31 | 71.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.08 | 2.03 | 47.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.87 | 1.81 | 52.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.80 | 3.55 | 26.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.95 | 1.87 | 49.6% |
| BTTS – no | 1.87 | 1.84 | 50.4% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 18/10/26, 09:04. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Udinese 1–0 Lecce, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Udinese 19th (5 points), Lecce 14th (9 points).
- Absences: Udinese 0, Lecce 0.
Who will win Udinese vs Lecce?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Udinese vs Lecce: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Udinese vs Lecce: injuries, suspensions, absences
Udinese
- No reported absences
Lecce
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Udinese vs Lecce: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 | |
| 2 | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 | |
| 3 | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 | |
| 4 | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 | |
| 6 | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 | |
| 7 | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 | |
| 8 | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 | |
| 9 | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 | |
| 10 | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 | |
| 11 | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 | |
| 12 | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3-2-4 | 16:17 | 11 | |
| 14 | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2-2-5 | 14:22 | 8 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1-2-6 | 11:21 | 5 | |
| 18 | 9 | 1-2-6 | 5:15 | 5 | |
| 19 | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 | |
| 20 | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Udinese
Home and away
Udinese vs Lecce: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Udinese: 19th, 5 points from 10 matches (1W 2D 7L). Lecce: 14th, 9 points (3W 0D 7L).
What to expect
We make Udinese the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–0 (12.5%). We see a fairly level contest.
The two signals clash: on table position the Lecce look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.
On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.87), with a probability of 53% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 50% and over 2.5 goals is 47%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 47%.
- Not available: Udinese 0, Lecce 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: no
Other option: Both teams score: no (probability 50%, odds up to 1.87). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Udinese: no absences. Not available for Lecce: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Returns calculator
Udinese vs Lecce: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Udinese vs Lecce?
On the result, our pick is Udinese to win (1.86); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.87). Prefer less risk? Go for Udinese or draw (1X).
Who will win Udinese vs Lecce?
As we see it: Udinese to win 52%, the draw 27%, Lecce to win 21%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
18 October 2026, 11:30, at Bluenergy Stadium, Udine. Referee: Marco Guida, Italy.
Who will be missing?
Udinese: no absences. Lecce: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 47% chance (odds 2.08), against 53% for under 2.5 (odds 1.87).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 50% (odds 1.95).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–0 (12.5%), 1–1 (11.9%), 2–0 (10.0%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.
Bet with MINO CASINO →