Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–6. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Sassuolo entertain Lazio on 27 October 2026 · 17:30 at Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia), with Luca Zufferli the man in the middle. Lazio (46%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Sassuolo vs Lazio: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 3.72 | 3.70 | 2.18 |
| Market average | 3.46 | 3.54 | 2.09 |
| Lowest odds | 3.05 | 3.30 | 2.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 1.20 | 78.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.74 | 1.69 | 56.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.31 | 2.18 | 43.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.75 | 2.66 | 35.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.56 | 59.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.29 | 40.5% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 27/10/26, 16:21. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Sassuolo 1–1 Lazio, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Sassuolo 15th (8 points), Lazio 1st (28 points).
- Form in the competition: Sassuolo 2W 2D 4L (12:16), Lazio 7W 1D 0L (16:5).
- H2H: 26 matches: Sassuolo 6W 5D 15L, goals 31–52.
- Absences: Sassuolo 5, Lazio 5.
Who will win Sassuolo vs Lazio?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Sassuolo vs Lazio: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Sassuolo vs Lazio: injuries, suspensions, absences
Sassuolo
- D. Bolocamuscle injury · will miss the match
- J. Idzesmuscle injury · will miss the match
- I. Konebroken leg · will miss the match
- F. Leysenknee injury · will miss the match
- Y. Pazknee injury · will miss the match
Lazio
- A. Furlanettoknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Gudmundssonshoulder injury · will miss the match
- A. Marusicmuscle injury · will miss the match
- N. Rovellacalf injury · will miss the match
- A. Pinamontiillness · doubtful
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Sassuolo vs Lazio: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 9 | 3-2-4 | 16:17 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 | Sassuolo | 9 | 2-2-5 | 14:22 | 8 |
| 16 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 17 |  Fiorentina | 9 | 1-2-6 | 11:21 | 5 |
| 18 |  Parma | 9 | 1-2-6 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Sassuolo
Home and away
Sassuolo vs Lazio: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Sassuolo: 15th, 8 points from 9 matches (2W 2D 5L). Lazio: 1st, 28 points (9W 1D 0L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Sassuolo 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded, Lazio 2.0 scored and 0.6 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Sassuolo: 2W 2D 4L, goals 12–16; Lazio: 7W 1D 0L, goals 16–5.
- Head to head. Head to head over 26 meetings: Sassuolo 6 wins, Lazio 15 wins, plus 5 draws; goals 31–52.
What to expect
We make Lazio the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.3%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), with a probability of 65% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 59% and over 2.5 goals is 56%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 26; Sassuolo 6 wins, 5 draws, Lazio 15 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.2 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Sassuolo 12–16, Lazio 16–5.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 56%.
- Not available: Sassuolo 5, Lazio 5.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 59%, odds up to 1.62). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Sassuolo: D. Boloca, J. Idzes, I. Kone, F. Leysen, Y. Paz. Not available for Lazio: A. Furlanetto, A. Gudmundsson, A. Marusic, N. Rovella, A. Pinamonti. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Sassuolo vs Lazio: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
SassuoloLLLDLLazioWWWWWSassuolo vs Lazio: head to head
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Sassuolo vs Lazio: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Sassuolo vs Lazio?
On the result, our pick is Lazio to win (2.18); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Lazio (X2).
Who will win Sassuolo vs Lazio?
As we see it: Sassuolo to win 28%, the draw 27%, Lazio to win 46%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
27 October 2026, 17:30, at Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia. Referee: Luca Zufferli.
Who will be missing?
Sassuolo: D. Boloca, J. Idzes, I. Kone, F. Leysen, Y. Paz. Lazio: A. Furlanetto, A. Gudmundsson, A. Marusic, N. Rovella, A. Pinamonti. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 56% chance (odds 1.74), against 44% for under 2.5 (odds 2.31).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 59% (odds 1.62).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.3%), 1–2 (9.4%), 0–1 (9.1%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.