Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Lazio entertain Cagliari on 1 November 2026 · 14:00 at Stadio Olimpico (Rome), with Andrea Colombo the man in the middle. Lazio (64%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Lazio vs Cagliari: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.53 | 4.60 | 7.52 |
| Market average | 1.47 | 4.40 | 6.75 |
| Lowest odds | 1.44 | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.25 | 75.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.87 | 1.80 | 53.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.11 | 2.03 | 47.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.21 | 2.99 | 31.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.95 | 1.91 | 48.6% |
| BTTS – no | 1.85 | 1.81 | 51.4% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 1/11/26, 12:55. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Lazio 1–0 Cagliari, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Lazio 1st (28 points), Cagliari 12th (13 points).
- Form in the competition: Lazio 8W 1D 0L (22:7), Cagliari 4W 1D 4L (8:13).
- H2H: 28 matches: Lazio 22W 4D 2L, goals 55–19.
- Absences: Lazio 4, Cagliari 2.
Who will win Lazio vs Cagliari?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Lazio vs Cagliari: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Lazio vs Cagliari: injuries, suspensions, absences
Lazio
- A. Furlanettoknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Gudmundssonshoulder injury · will miss the match
- A. Marusicmuscle injury · will miss the match
- N. Rovellacalf injury · will miss the match
Cagliari
- M. Feliciknee injury · will miss the match
- R. Idrissiknee injury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Lazio vs Cagliari: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 | Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 9 | 3-2-4 | 16:17 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Sassuolo | 9 | 2-2-5 | 14:22 | 8 |
| 16 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 17 |  Fiorentina | 9 | 1-2-6 | 11:21 | 5 |
| 18 |  Parma | 9 | 1-2-6 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Lazio
Home and away
Lazio vs Cagliari: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Lazio: 1st, 28 points from 10 matches (9W 1D 0L). Cagliari: 12th, 13 points (4W 1D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Lazio 2.4 scored and 0.8 conceded, Cagliari 0.9 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Lazio: 8W 1D 0L, goals 22–7; Cagliari: 4W 1D 4L, goals 8–13.
- Head to head. Head to head over 28 meetings: Lazio 22 wins, Cagliari 2 wins, plus 4 draws; goals 55–19.
What to expect
We make Lazio the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–0 (12.5%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.87), with a probability of 53% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 49% and over 2.5 goals is 53%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 28; Lazio 22 wins, 4 draws, Cagliari 2 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.6 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Lazio 22–7, Cagliari 8–13.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 53%.
- Not available: Lazio 4, Cagliari 2.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: no
Other option: Both teams score: no (probability 51%, odds up to 1.85). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Lazio: A. Furlanetto, A. Gudmundsson, A. Marusic, N. Rovella. Not available for Cagliari: M. Felici, R. Idrissi. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Lazio vs Cagliari: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
LazioWWWWWCagliariLLLLDLazio vs Cagliari: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Lazio vs Cagliari: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Lazio vs Cagliari?
On the result, our pick is Lazio to win (1.53); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.87). Prefer less risk? Go for Lazio or draw (1X).
Who will win Lazio vs Cagliari?
As we see it: Lazio to win 64%, the draw 22%, Cagliari to win 14%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
1 November 2026, 14:00, at Stadio Olimpico, Rome. Referee: Andrea Colombo.
Who will be missing?
Lazio: A. Furlanetto, A. Gudmundsson, A. Marusic, N. Rovella. Cagliari: M. Felici, R. Idrissi. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 53% chance (odds 1.87), against 47% for under 2.5 (odds 2.11).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 49% (odds 1.95).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–0 (12.5%), 2–0 (12.2%), 1–1 (10.0%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.