Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Lazio and Parma meet on 24 October 2026 · 19:45 at Stadio Olimpico (Rome), under referee Alberto Ruben Arena, Italy. Lazio (66%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Lazio vs Parma: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.49 | 4.60 | 8.57 |
| Market average | 1.44 | 4.46 | 7.81 |
| Lowest odds | 1.40 | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 1.27 | 73.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.94 | 1.88 | 50.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.00 | 1.93 | 49.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.18 | 29.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.08 | 2.03 | 45.8% |
| BTTS – no | 1.75 | 1.72 | 54.2% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Lazio 1–0 Parma, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Lazio 1st (28 points), Parma 18th (5 points).
- Form in the competition: Lazio 6W 1D 0L (14:4), Parma 1W 1D 5L (4:13).
- H2H: 22 matches: Lazio 15W 5D 2L, goals 38–18.
- Absences: Lazio 4, Parma 4.
Who will win Lazio vs Parma?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Lazio vs Parma: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Lazio vs Parma: injuries, suspensions, absences
Lazio
- A. Furlanettoknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Gudmundssonshoulder injury · will miss the match
- A. Marusicmuscle injury · will miss the match
- N. Rovellacalf injury · will miss the match
Parma
- P. Almqvistcalf injury · will miss the match
- N. Elphegeillness · will miss the match
- H. Nicolussi Cavigliathigh injury · will miss the match
- L. Valentiabsence · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Lazio vs Parma: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 9 | 3-2-4 | 16:17 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Sassuolo | 9 | 2-2-5 | 14:22 | 8 |
| 16 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 17 |  Fiorentina | 9 | 1-2-6 | 11:21 | 5 |
| 18 | Parma | 9 | 1-2-6 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Lazio
Home and away
Lazio vs Parma: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Lazio: 1st, 28 points from 10 matches (9W 1D 0L). Parma: 18th, 5 points (1W 2D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Lazio 2.0 scored and 0.6 conceded, Parma 0.6 scored and 1.9 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Lazio: 6W 1D 0L, goals 14–4; Parma: 1W 1D 5L, goals 4–13.
- Head to head. Head to head over 22 meetings: Lazio 15 wins, Parma 2 wins, plus 5 draws; goals 38–18.
What to expect
We make Lazio the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–0 (13.1%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like At least one team fails to score (odds 1.75), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 46% and over 2.5 goals is 51%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 22; Lazio 15 wins, 5 draws, Parma 2 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.5 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Lazio 14–4, Parma 4–13.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 51%.
- Not available: Lazio 4, Parma 4.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: no
Other option: Both teams score: no (probability 54%, odds up to 1.75). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Lazio: A. Furlanetto, A. Gudmundsson, A. Marusic, N. Rovella. Not available for Parma: P. Almqvist, N. Elphege, H. Nicolussi Caviglia, L. Valenti. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Lazio vs Parma: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
LazioWWWWWParmaDLLLWLazio vs Parma: head to head
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Lazio vs Parma: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Lazio vs Parma?
On the result, our pick is Lazio to win (1.49); on goals, At least one team fails to score (1.75). Prefer less risk? Go for Lazio or draw (1X).
Who will win Lazio vs Parma?
As we see it: Lazio to win 66%, the draw 21%, Parma to win 12%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
24 October 2026, 19:45, at Stadio Olimpico, Rome. Referee: Alberto Ruben Arena, Italy.
Who will be missing?
Lazio: A. Furlanetto, A. Gudmundsson, A. Marusic, N. Rovella. Parma: P. Almqvist, N. Elphege, H. Nicolussi Caviglia, L. Valenti. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 51% chance (odds 1.94), against 49% for under 2.5 (odds 2.00).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 46% (odds 2.08).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–0 (13.1%), 2–0 (12.8%), 1–1 (9.8%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.