Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Lecce v Juventus takes place on 25 October 2026 · 17:00 at Stadio Via del Mare (Lecce); Fabio Maresca will referee. We back Juventus (62%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Lecce vs Juventus: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 6.80 | 4.40 | 1.58 |
| Market average | 6.42 | 4.15 | 1.53 |
| Lowest odds | 5.99 | 3.90 | 1.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 1.26 | 74.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.94 | 1.85 | 51.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.02 | 1.97 | 48.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.31 | 3.04 | 30.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.93 | 1.89 | 49.3% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.84 | 50.7% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 25/10/26, 16:39. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Lecce 0–1 Juventus, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Lecce 14th (9 points), Juventus 7th (17 points).
- Form in the competition: Lecce 3W 0D 4L (9:12), Juventus 3W 2D 2L (9:8).
- H2H: 15 matches: Lecce 1W 4D 10L, goals 8–25.
- Absences: Lecce 4, Juventus 9.
Who will win Lecce vs Juventus?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Lecce vs Juventus: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Lecce vs Juventus: injuries, suspensions, absences
Lecce
- M. Berishathigh injury · will miss the match
- L. Coulibalythigh injury · will miss the match
- I. Ilicthigh injury · will miss the match
- S. Pierottiankle injury · will miss the match
Juventus
- Z. Celikmuscle injury · will miss the match
- F. Conceicaoshoulder injury · will miss the match
- J. Ekhatormuscle injury · will miss the match
- N. Gonzalezcalf injury · will miss the match
- K. Grabaraknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Locatelliknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Miliknot in the squad · will miss the match
- K. Thuramknee injury · will miss the match
- K. Yildizfoot injury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Lecce vs Juventus: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 | |
| 2 | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 | |
| 3 | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 | |
| 4 | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 | |
| 6 | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 | |
| 7 | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 | |
| 8 | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 | |
| 9 | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 | |
| 10 | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 | |
| 11 | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 | |
| 12 | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3-2-4 | 16:17 | 11 | |
| 14 | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2-2-5 | 14:22 | 8 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1-2-6 | 11:21 | 5 | |
| 18 | 9 | 1-2-6 | 5:15 | 5 | |
| 19 | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 | |
| 20 | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Lecce
Home and away
Lecce vs Juventus: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Lecce: 14th, 9 points from 10 matches (3W 0D 7L). Juventus: 7th, 17 points (5W 2D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Lecce 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded, Juventus 1.3 scored and 1.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Lecce: 3W 0D 4L, goals 9–12; Juventus: 3W 2D 2L, goals 9–8.
- Head to head. Head to head over 15 meetings: Lecce 1 win, Juventus 10 wins, plus 4 draws; goals 8–25.
What to expect
We make Juventus the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–1 (12.1%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.94), with a probability of 52% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 49% and over 2.5 goals is 52%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 15; Lecce 1 win, 4 draws, Juventus 10 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.2 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Lecce 9–12, Juventus 9–8.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 52%.
- Not available: Lecce 4, Juventus 9.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: no
Other option: Both teams score: no (probability 51%, odds up to 1.95). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Lecce: M. Berisha, L. Coulibaly, I. Ilic, S. Pierotti. Not available for Juventus: Z. Celik, F. Conceicao, J. Ekhator, N. Gonzalez, K. Grabara, M. Locatelli, A. Milik, K. Thuram, K. Yildiz. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Lecce vs Juventus: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Lecce vs Juventus: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Lecce vs Juventus: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Lecce vs Juventus?
On the result, our pick is Juventus to win (1.58); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.94). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Juventus (X2).
Who will win Lecce vs Juventus?
As we see it: Lecce to win 15%, the draw 23%, Juventus to win 62%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
25 October 2026, 17:00, at Stadio Via del Mare, Lecce. Referee: Fabio Maresca.
Who will be missing?
Lecce: M. Berisha, L. Coulibaly, I. Ilic, S. Pierotti. Juventus: Z. Celik, F. Conceicao, J. Ekhator, N. Gonzalez, K. Grabara, M. Locatelli, A. Milik, K. Thuram, K. Yildiz. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 52% chance (odds 1.94), against 48% for under 2.5 (odds 2.02).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 49% (odds 1.93).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 0–1 (12.1%), 0–2 (11.5%), 1–1 (10.3%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.
Bet with MINO CASINO →