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Serie A · Matchweek 8 · 25 October 2026 · 17:00

Lecce vs Juventus tip, odds and prediction, 25 October 2026, Serie A

LLLWL
0–2
1Lecce6.80
XDraw4.40
2Juventus1.58

Top odds available · Updated 25/10/26, 16:39

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TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesTableAnalysisComparisonH2HFAQ

Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Lecce v Juventus takes place on 25 October 2026 · 17:00 at Stadio Via del Mare (Lecce); Fabio Maresca will referee. We back Juventus (62%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Lecce vs Juventus: tip and prediction
Result
Juventus to win
1.58
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.94
Combo
Juventus & over 2.5 goals
2.60
38% · fair combo odds
62%chance of the result
52%goals tip: chance
0–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Juventus (X2) – probability 85%, odds up to 1.15.

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Lecce vs Juventus: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available6.804.401.58
Market average6.424.151.53
Lowest odds5.993.901.50
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.301.2674.2%
Over 2.5 goals1.941.8551.5%
Under 2.5 goals2.021.9748.5%
Over 3.5 goals3.313.0430.9%
BTTS – yes1.931.8949.3%
BTTS – no1.951.8450.7%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 25/10/26, 16:39. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.0%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Lecce 0–1 Juventus, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Lecce 14th (9 points), Juventus 7th (17 points).
  • Form in the competition: Lecce 3W 0D 4L (9:12), Juventus 3W 2D 2L (9:8).
  • H2H: 15 matches: Lecce 1W 4D 10L, goals 8–25.
  • Absences: Lecce 4, Juventus 9.

Who will win Lecce vs Juventus?

Lecce15%
Draw23%
Juventus62%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Lecce vs Juventus: more betting markets

Draw or Juventus (X2)85.1% · fair odds 1.17 · best 1.15
Likely
Over 1.5 goals74.2% · fair odds 1.35 · best 1.30
Likely
Under 3.5 goals69.1% · fair odds 1.45 · best 1.40
Likely
Juventus to win62.2% · fair odds 1.61 · best 1.58
Likely
Over 2.5 goals51.5% · fair odds 1.94 · best 1.94
Possible
Both teams score: no50.7% · fair odds 1.97 · best 1.95
Possible
Both teams score: yes49.3% · fair odds 2.03 · best 1.93
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals48.5% · fair odds 2.06 · best 2.02
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals30.9% · fair odds 3.23 · best 3.31
Outsider
Draw23.0% · fair odds 4.35 · best 4.40
Outsider
Lecce to win14.9% · fair odds 6.73 · best 6.80
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.87 · Under 1.89
probability of over 50.2%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.80 · Under 1.97
probability of over 52.2%

Most likely correct scores

0 : 112.1%
0 : 211.5%
1 : 110.3%
1 : 29.8%
0 : 37.3%
0 : 06.4%

Lecce vs Juventus: injuries, suspensions, absences

Lecce

  • M. Berishathigh injury · will miss the match
  • L. Coulibalythigh injury · will miss the match
  • I. Ilicthigh injury · will miss the match
  • S. Pierottiankle injury · will miss the match

Juventus

  • Z. Celikmuscle injury · will miss the match
  • F. Conceicaoshoulder injury · will miss the match
  • J. Ekhatormuscle injury · will miss the match
  • N. Gonzalezcalf injury · will miss the match
  • K. Grabaraknee injury · will miss the match
  • M. Locatelliknee injury · will miss the match
  • A. Miliknot in the squad · will miss the match
  • K. Thuramknee injury · will miss the match
  • K. Yildizfoot injury · will miss the match

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Lecce vs Juventus: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Lazio109-1-024:828
2Inter108-1-126:1325
3AS Roma107-3-028:1024
4Como107-2-118:823
5AC Milan106-3-121:1221
6Frosinone106-2-224:1420
7Juventus105-2-313:1017
8Napoli104-2-417:1314
9Bologna104-2-414:1314
10Torino104-1-514:1613
11Genoa104-1-510:1413
12Cagliari104-1-59:1513
13Atalanta93-2-416:1711
14Lecce103-0-711:219
15Sassuolo92-2-514:228
16Monza102-1-717:247
17Fiorentina91-2-611:215
18Parma91-2-65:155
19Udinese101-2-711:235
20Venezia101-0-96:203

Recent matches

Lecce

1 NovLLecce 1–2 Genoa
29 OctLFrosinone 5–1 Lecce
25 OctLLecce 0–2 Juventus
18 OctWUdinese 0–3 Lecce
11 OctLLecce 1–2 Bologna

Juventus

1 NovWJuventus 2–0 Napoli
28 OctLGenoa 2–0 Juventus
25 OctWLecce 0–2 Juventus
22 OctDJuventus 2–2 Rennes
18 OctLJuventus 0–3 Lazio

Home and away

Lecce at home5 matches: 1W 0D 4L, goals 5–12
Juventus away5 matches: 2W 1D 2L, goals 6–6

Lecce vs Juventus: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Lecce: 14th, 9 points from 10 matches (3W 0D 7L). Juventus: 7th, 17 points (5W 2D 3L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Lecce 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded, Juventus 1.3 scored and 1.1 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Lecce: 3W 0D 4L, goals 9–12; Juventus: 3W 2D 2L, goals 9–8.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 15 meetings: Lecce 1 win, Juventus 10 wins, plus 4 draws; goals 8–25.

What to expect

We make Juventus the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–1 (12.1%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.94), with a probability of 52% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 49% and over 2.5 goals is 52%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 15; Lecce 1 win, 4 draws, Juventus 10 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.2 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Lecce 9–12, Juventus 9–8.
  4. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 52%.
  5. Not available: Lecce 4, Juventus 9.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: no

Other option: Both teams score: no (probability 51%, odds up to 1.95). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Lecce: M. Berisha, L. Coulibaly, I. Ilic, S. Pierotti. Not available for Juventus: Z. Celik, F. Conceicao, J. Ekhator, N. Gonzalez, K. Grabara, M. Locatelli, A. Milik, K. Thuram, K. Yildiz. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Lecce vs Juventus: the numbers side by side

LecceJuventus
55%Form45%
54%Attack46%
50%Defence50%
15%Head to head85%
27%Goals73%
38.7%Overall61.3%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

LecceLLLWL
JuventusWLWLD

Lecce vs Juventus: head to head

All matches
1Lecce
4Draws
10Juventus
25/10/26 · Lecce 0–2 Juventus
9/5/26 · Lecce 0–1 Juventus
3/1/26 · Juventus 1–1 Lecce
12/4/25 · Juventus 2–1 Lecce
1/12/24 · Lecce 1–1 Juventus
21/1/24 · Lecce 0–3 Juventus

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.0%

Lecce vs Juventus: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Lecce vs Juventus?

On the result, our pick is Juventus to win (1.58); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.94). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Juventus (X2).

Who will win Lecce vs Juventus?

As we see it: Lecce to win 15%, the draw 23%, Juventus to win 62%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

25 October 2026, 17:00, at Stadio Via del Mare, Lecce. Referee: Fabio Maresca.

Who will be missing?

Lecce: M. Berisha, L. Coulibaly, I. Ilic, S. Pierotti. Juventus: Z. Celik, F. Conceicao, J. Ekhator, N. Gonzalez, K. Grabara, M. Locatelli, A. Milik, K. Thuram, K. Yildiz. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 52% chance (odds 1.94), against 48% for under 2.5 (odds 2.02).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 49% (odds 1.93).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 0–1 (12.1%), 0–2 (11.5%), 1–1 (10.3%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina 2 NovAtalanta vs Parma 2 NovVenezia vs Udinese 6 NovCagliari vs Frosinone 7 NovTorino vs Lecce 7 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.