Bet with MINO CASINO →FSV Mainz 05 entertain Bayern München on 7 November 2026 · 14:30 at Mewa Arena (Mainz). Bayern München (64%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 6.00 | 6.03 | 1.50 |
| Market average | 5.19 | 5.37 | 1.46 |
| Lowest odds | 4.52 | 4.57 | 1.40 |
| Megapari | 6.52 | 5.80 | 1.45 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.07 | 1.05 | 90.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.25 | 1.21 | 77.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 4.50 | 4.17 | 22.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.60 | 58.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.36 | 1.33 | 69.8% |
| BTTS – no | 3.20 | 3.09 | 30.2% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 1/11/26, 17:11. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.9%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: FSV Mainz 05 1–2 Bayern München, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: FSV Mainz 05 9th (10 points), Bayern München 1st (18 points).
- Form in the competition: FSV Mainz 05 3W 1D 4L (17:17), Bayern München 5W 3D 0L (27:8).
- H2H: 34 matches: FSV Mainz 05 7W 3D 24L, goals 39–99.
- Absences: FSV Mainz 05 0, Bayern München 0.
Who will win FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Most likely correct scores
FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München: injuries, suspensions, absences
FSV Mainz 05
- No reported absences
Bayern München
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 | FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
FSV Mainz 05
Home and away
FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. FSV Mainz 05: 9th, 10 points from 8 matches (3W 1D 4L). Bayern München: 1st, 18 points (5W 3D 0L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: FSV Mainz 05 2.1 scored and 2.1 conceded, Bayern München 3.4 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. FSV Mainz 05: 3W 1D 4L, goals 17–17; Bayern München: 5W 3D 0L, goals 27–8.
- Head to head. Head to head over 34 meetings: FSV Mainz 05 7 wins, Bayern München 24 wins, plus 3 draws; goals 39–99.
What to expect
We make Bayern München the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–3, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–2 (8.6%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.67), with a probability of 59% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 70% and over 2.5 goals is 77%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 34; FSV Mainz 05 7 wins, 3 draws, Bayern München 24 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 4.1 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: FSV Mainz 05 17–17, Bayern München 27–8.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 77%.
- Not available: FSV Mainz 05 0, Bayern München 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 41%, odds up to 2.40). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for FSV Mainz 05: no absences. Not available for Bayern München: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
FSV Mainz 05LLWLWBayern MünchenDWWDWFSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München: head to head
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FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München?
On the result, our pick is Bayern München to win (1.50); on goals, Over 3.5 goals (1.67). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Bayern München (X2).
Who will win FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München?
As we see it: FSV Mainz 05 to win 18%, the draw 18%, Bayern München to win 64%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
7 November 2026, 14:30, at Mewa Arena, Mainz.
Who will be missing?
FSV Mainz 05: no absences. Bayern München: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 77% chance (odds 1.25), against 23% for under 2.5 (odds 4.50).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 70% (odds 1.36).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–2 (8.6%), 1–3 (7.6%), 1–1 (6.5%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.