Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Bayern München and Borussia Dortmund meet on 31 October 2026 · 17:30 at Allianz Arena (Munich), under referee Tobias Stieler. Bayern München (72%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.35 | 6.40 | 8.96 |
| Market average | 1.32 | 6.02 | 8.16 |
| Lowest odds | 1.29 | 5.32 | 6.09 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.09 | 1.07 | 88.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.30 | 1.27 | 74.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.90 | 3.63 | 26.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.79 | 1.73 | 55.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.49 | 62.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.48 | 37.5% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 31/10/26, 14:09. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Bayern München 2–1 Borussia Dortmund, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Bayern München 1st (18 points), Borussia Dortmund 2nd (18 points).
- Form in the competition: Bayern München 5W 2D 0L (25:6), Borussia Dortmund 5W 2D 0L (12:4).
- H2H: 50 matches: Bayern München 27W 10D 13L, goals 101–68.
- Absences: Bayern München 4, Borussia Dortmund 4.
Who will win Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund: injuries, suspensions, absences
Bayern München
- T. Buchmannknee injury · will miss the match
- L. Diazmuscle injury · will miss the match
- J. Musialamuscle injury · will miss the match
- M. Neuerfoot injury · will miss the match
Borussia Dortmund
- E. Canknee injury · will miss the match
- G. Konstanteliasknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Lermamuscle injury · will miss the match
- K. Karetsasankle injury · doubtful
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
Bayern München
Home and away
Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Bayern München: 1st, 18 points from 8 matches (5W 3D 0L). Borussia Dortmund: 2nd, 18 points (5W 3D 0L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Bayern München 3.6 scored and 0.9 conceded, Borussia Dortmund 1.7 scored and 0.6 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Bayern München: 5W 2D 0L, goals 25–6; Borussia Dortmund: 5W 2D 0L, goals 12–4.
- Head to head. Head to head over 50 meetings: Bayern München 27 wins, Borussia Dortmund 13 wins, plus 10 draws; goals 101–68.
What to expect
We make Bayern München the favourites. The projected scoreline is 3–1, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (8.9%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.53), with a probability of 63% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 63% and over 2.5 goals is 74%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 50; Bayern München 27 wins, 10 draws, Borussia Dortmund 13 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.4 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Bayern München 25–6, Borussia Dortmund 12–4.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 74%.
- Not available: Bayern München 4, Borussia Dortmund 4.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 63%, odds up to 1.53). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Bayern München: T. Buchmann, L. Diaz, J. Musiala, M. Neuer. Not available for Borussia Dortmund: E. Can, G. Konstantelias, J. Lerma, K. Karetsas. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Bayern MünchenDWWDWBorussia DortmundDWDDWBayern München vs Borussia Dortmund: head to head
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Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund?
On the result, our pick is Bayern München to win (1.35); on goals, Both teams to score (1.53). Prefer less risk? Go for Bayern München or draw (1X).
Who will win Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund?
As we see it: Bayern München to win 72%, the draw 16%, Borussia Dortmund to win 12%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
31 October 2026, 17:30, at Allianz Arena, Munich. Referee: Tobias Stieler.
Who will be missing?
Bayern München: T. Buchmann, L. Diaz, J. Musiala, M. Neuer. Borussia Dortmund: E. Can, G. Konstantelias, J. Lerma, K. Karetsas. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 74% chance (odds 1.30), against 26% for under 2.5 (odds 3.90).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 63% (odds 1.53).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–1 (8.9%), 3–1 (8.1%), 2–0 (8.0%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.