Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 4–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
SV Elversberg v FSV Mainz 05 takes place on 30 October 2026 · 19:30 at Ursapharm-Arena an der Kaiserlinde (Spiesen-Elversberg); Sascha Stegemann will referee. We back FSV Mainz 05 (46%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 3.60 | 4.07 | 2.20 |
| Market average | 3.31 | 3.77 | 2.05 |
| Lowest odds | 2.73 | 3.38 | 1.95 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.15 | 81.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.54 | 61.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.62 | 2.44 | 38.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.45 | 2.33 | 40.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.47 | 63.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.53 | 36.7% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 30/10/26, 18:08. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: SV Elversberg 1–1 FSV Mainz 05, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: SV Elversberg 7th (13 points), FSV Mainz 05 9th (10 points).
- Form in the competition: SV Elversberg 3W 1D 3L (12:15), FSV Mainz 05 3W 1D 3L (16:13).
- H2H: 3 matches: SV Elversberg 1W 1D 1L, goals 6–4.
- Absences: SV Elversberg 6, FSV Mainz 05 4.
Who will win SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05: injuries, suspensions, absences
SV Elversberg
- T. Zimmerschiedankle injury · will miss the match
- N. Darvichhamstring injury · doubtful
- L. Guntherknock · doubtful
- J. Gyamerahthigh injury · doubtful
- L. Pinckertmuscle injury · doubtful
- L. Seifertankle injury · doubtful
FSV Mainz 05
- D. Kohrfoot injury · will miss the match
- Silasabsence · will miss the match
- N. Amiriknee injury · doubtful
- O. Ruoppiknee injury · doubtful
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 | SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 | FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
SV Elversberg
Home and away
SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. SV Elversberg: 7th, 13 points from 8 matches (4W 1D 3L). FSV Mainz 05: 9th, 10 points (3W 1D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: SV Elversberg 1.7 scored and 2.1 conceded, FSV Mainz 05 2.3 scored and 1.9 conceded.
- Form in the competition. SV Elversberg: 3W 1D 3L, goals 12–15; FSV Mainz 05: 3W 1D 3L, goals 16–13.
- Head to head. Head to head over 3 meetings: SV Elversberg 1 win, FSV Mainz 05 1 win, plus 1 draw; goals 6–4.
What to expect
We make FSV Mainz 05 the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.6%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.50), with a probability of 63% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 63% and over 2.5 goals is 61%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 3; SV Elversberg 1 win, 1 draw, FSV Mainz 05 1 win.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.3 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: SV Elversberg 12–15, FSV Mainz 05 16–13.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 61%.
- Not available: SV Elversberg 6, FSV Mainz 05 4.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 63%, odds up to 1.50). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for SV Elversberg: T. Zimmerschied, N. Darvich, L. Gunther, J. Gyamerah, L. Pinckert, L. Seifert. Not available for FSV Mainz 05: D. Kohr, Silas, N. Amiri, O. Ruoppi. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
SV ElversbergWLWLDFSV Mainz 05LLWLWSV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05: head to head
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SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05?
On the result, our pick is FSV Mainz 05 to win (2.20); on goals, Both teams to score (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or FSV Mainz 05 (X2).
Who will win SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05?
As we see it: SV Elversberg to win 29%, the draw 25%, FSV Mainz 05 to win 46%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
30 October 2026, 19:30, at Ursapharm-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg. Referee: Sascha Stegemann.
Who will be missing?
SV Elversberg: T. Zimmerschied, N. Darvich, L. Gunther, J. Gyamerah, L. Pinckert, L. Seifert. FSV Mainz 05: D. Kohr, Silas, N. Amiri, O. Ruoppi. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 61% chance (odds 1.60), against 39% for under 2.5 (odds 2.62).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 63% (odds 1.50).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.6%), 1–2 (9.3%), 0–1 (7.9%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.