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Bundesliga · Matchweek 9 · 7 November 2026 · 17:30

VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen tip, odds and prediction, 7 November 2026, Bundesliga

1VfB Stuttgart1.57
XDraw5.23
2Werder Bremen5.70

Top odds available · Updated 1/11/26, 17:11

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VfB Stuttgart v Werder Bremen takes place on 7 November 2026 · 17:30 at MHPArena (Stuttgart). We back VfB Stuttgart (62%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: tip and prediction
Result
VfB Stuttgart to win
1.57
Goals
Over 3.5 goals
1.89
Combo
VfB Stuttgart & over 2.5 goals
2.04
49% · fair combo odds
62%chance of the result
52%goals tip: chance
2–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: VfB Stuttgart or draw (1X) – probability 82%, odds up to 1.19.

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VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.575.235.70
Market average1.514.785.13
Lowest odds1.454.394.74
Megapari1.585.135.29
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.111.0787.2%
Over 2.5 goals1.341.3171.4%
Under 2.5 goals3.403.2828.6%
Over 3.5 goals1.891.8352.1%
BTTS – yes1.441.4166.0%
BTTS – no2.802.7334.0%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 1/11/26, 17:11. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.8%.

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Megapari: prices for this match

Bet with Megapari →

Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: VfB Stuttgart 2–1 Werder Bremen, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: VfB Stuttgart 11th (9 points), Werder Bremen 5th (15 points).
  • Form in the competition: VfB Stuttgart 3W 0D 5L (14:15), Werder Bremen 4W 3D 1L (17:14).
  • H2H: 26 matches: VfB Stuttgart 9W 9D 8L, goals 43–38.
  • Absences: VfB Stuttgart 0, Werder Bremen 0.

Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?

VfB Stuttgart62%
Draw20%
Werder Bremen18%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals87.2% · fair odds 1.15 · best 1.11
Likely
VfB Stuttgart or draw (1X)81.7% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.19
Likely
Over 2.5 goals71.4% · fair odds 1.40 · best 1.34
Likely
Both teams score: yes66.0% · fair odds 1.52 · best 1.44
Likely
VfB Stuttgart to win62.1% · fair odds 1.61 · best 1.57
Likely
Over 3.5 goals52.1% · fair odds 1.92 · best 1.89
Possible
Under 3.5 goals47.9% · fair odds 2.09 · best 2.05
Outsider
Both teams score: no34.0% · fair odds 2.94 · best 2.80
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals28.6% · fair odds 3.49 · best 3.40
Outsider
Draw19.6% · fair odds 5.10 · best 5.23
Outsider
Werder Bremen to win18.3% · fair odds 5.46 · best 5.70
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Most likely correct scores

2 : 19.4%
1 : 17.8%
3 : 17.5%
2 : 07.5%
1 : 06.2%
3 : 06.0%

VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: injuries, suspensions, absences

VfB Stuttgart

  • No reported absences

Werder Bremen

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Bayern München85-3-027:818
2Borussia Dortmund85-3-014:618
3SC Freiburg85-1-218:1016
4RB Leipzig85-0-322:1115
5Werder Bremen84-3-117:1415
6Bayer Leverkusen84-1-318:1613
7SV Elversberg84-1-316:1613
8Eintracht Frankfurt83-2-313:1811
9FSV Mainz 0583-1-417:1710
10FC Augsburg82-3-318:159
11VfB Stuttgart83-0-514:159
121899 Hoffenheim83-0-514:169
131. FC Köln82-3-39:129
14SC Paderborn 0782-3-36:99
15Hamburger SV83-0-57:199
16Union Berlin81-4-37:197
17FC Schalke 0481-3-44:96
18Borussia Mönchengladbach81-1-611:224

Recent matches

VfB Stuttgart

31 OctWBayer Leverkusen 2–4 VfB Stuttgart
23 OctLVfB Stuttgart 2–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach
20 OctDVfB Stuttgart 1–1 Atlético Madrid
17 OctLHamburger SV 1–0 VfB Stuttgart
14 OctWSlovan Bratislava 0–3 VfB Stuttgart

Werder Bremen

31 OctWWerder Bremen 2–0 1899 Hoffenheim
24 OctWFSV Mainz 05 2–3 Werder Bremen
17 OctDWerder Bremen 2–2 SC Paderborn 07
9 OctDBorussia Dortmund 2–2 Werder Bremen
19 SeptWWerder Bremen 3–2 FC Augsburg

Home and away

VfB Stuttgart at home3 matches: 1W 0D 2L, goals 6–5
Werder Bremen away4 matches: 1W 2D 1L, goals 7–9

VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. VfB Stuttgart: 11th, 9 points from 8 matches (3W 0D 5L). Werder Bremen: 5th, 15 points (4W 3D 1L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: VfB Stuttgart 1.8 scored and 1.9 conceded, Werder Bremen 2.1 scored and 1.8 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. VfB Stuttgart: 3W 0D 5L, goals 14–15; Werder Bremen: 4W 3D 1L, goals 17–14.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 26 meetings: VfB Stuttgart 9 wins, Werder Bremen 8 wins, plus 9 draws; goals 43–38.

What to expect

We make VfB Stuttgart the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.4%). We expect goals and an open game.

The two signals clash: on table position the Werder Bremen look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.

On goals we like Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.89), with a probability of 52% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 66% and over 2.5 goals is 71%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 26; VfB Stuttgart 9 wins, 9 draws, Werder Bremen 8 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 3.1 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: VfB Stuttgart 14–15, Werder Bremen 17–14.
  4. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 71%.
  5. Not available: VfB Stuttgart 0, Werder Bremen 0.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 48%, odds up to 2.05). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for VfB Stuttgart: no absences. Not available for Werder Bremen: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: the numbers side by side

VfB StuttgartWerder Bremen
35%Form65%
40%Attack60%
53%Defence47%
38%Head to head62%
56%Goals44%
45.3%Overall54.7%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

VfB StuttgartWLLWL
Werder BremenWWDDW

VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: head to head

All matches
9VfB Stuttgart
9Draws
8Werder Bremen
26/4/26 · VfB Stuttgart 1–1 Werder Bremen
14/12/25 · Werder Bremen 0–4 VfB Stuttgart
13/4/25 · VfB Stuttgart 1–2 Werder Bremen
30/11/24 · Werder Bremen 2–2 VfB Stuttgart
21/4/24 · Werder Bremen 2–1 VfB Stuttgart
2/12/23 · VfB Stuttgart 2–0 Werder Bremen

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.8%

VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?

On the result, our pick is VfB Stuttgart to win (1.57); on goals, Over 3.5 goals (1.89). Prefer less risk? Go for VfB Stuttgart or draw (1X).

Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?

As we see it: VfB Stuttgart to win 62%, the draw 20%, Werder Bremen to win 18%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

7 November 2026, 17:30, at MHPArena, Stuttgart.

Who will be missing?

VfB Stuttgart: no absences. Werder Bremen: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 71% chance (odds 1.34), against 29% for under 2.5 (odds 3.40).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 66% (odds 1.44).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 2–1 (9.4%), 1–1 (7.8%), 3–1 (7.5%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach 6 NovFSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München 7 NovBorussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg 7 NovRB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg 7 NovSC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt 7 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.