Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
FC Schalke 04 and FSV Mainz 05 meet on 17 October 2026 · 14:30 at VELTINS-Arena (Gelsenkirchen), under referee Richard Hempel, Germany. We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 3.02 | 3.70 | 2.44 |
| Market average | 2.96 | 3.55 | 2.36 |
| Lowest odds | 2.88 | 3.30 | 2.30 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.19 | 78.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.73 | 1.69 | 56.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.28 | 2.20 | 43.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.74 | 2.58 | 36.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.54 | 60.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.34 | 39.7% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 17/10/26, 12:01. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: FC Schalke 04 1–1 FSV Mainz 05, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: FC Schalke 04 17th (6 points), FSV Mainz 05 9th (10 points).
- Absences: FC Schalke 04 0, FSV Mainz 05 0.
Who will win FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05: injuries, suspensions, absences
FC Schalke 04
- No reported absences
FSV Mainz 05
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 | FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
FC Schalke 04
Home and away
FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. FC Schalke 04: 17th, 6 points from 8 matches (1W 3D 4L). FSV Mainz 05: 9th, 10 points (3W 1D 4L).
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.5%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 60% and over 2.5 goals is 57%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 57%.
- Not available: FC Schalke 04 0, FSV Mainz 05 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 60%, odds up to 1.57). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for FC Schalke 04: no absences. Not available for FSV Mainz 05: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Returns calculator
FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05?
On the result, our pick is Draw or FSV Mainz 05 (X2) (1.44); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or FSV Mainz 05 (X2).
Who will win FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05?
As we see it: FC Schalke 04 to win 32%, the draw 27%, FSV Mainz 05 to win 41%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
17 October 2026, 14:30, at VELTINS-Arena, Gelsenkirchen. Referee: Richard Hempel, Germany.
Who will be missing?
FC Schalke 04: no absences. FSV Mainz 05: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 57% chance (odds 1.73), against 43% for under 2.5 (odds 2.28).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 60% (odds 1.57).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.5%), 1–2 (8.9%), 0–1 (8.5%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.