Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Bayern München entertain Arsenal on 21 October 2026 · 20:00 at Allianz Arena (Munich), with Davide Massa the man in the middle. We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Bayern München vs Arsenal: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.43 | 3.90 | 3.12 |
| Market average | 2.29 | 3.72 | 2.95 |
| Lowest odds | 2.20 | 3.60 | 2.82 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.14 | 80.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.58 | 1.53 | 61.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.50 | 2.41 | 38.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.43 | 2.34 | 40.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.47 | 1.44 | 64.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.70 | 2.61 | 35.6% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 21/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Bayern München 1–1 Arsenal, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Bayern München 14th (5 points), Arsenal 7th (7 points).
- H2H: 14 matches: Bayern München 6W 4D 4L, goals 29–19.
- Absences: Bayern München 0, Arsenal 0.
Who will win Bayern München vs Arsenal?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Bayern München vs Arsenal: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Bayern München vs Arsenal: injuries, suspensions, absences
Bayern München
- No reported absences
Arsenal
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Bayern München vs Arsenal: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3-0-0 | 14:5 | 9 |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 3 | 3-0-0 | 12:3 | 9 |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3-0-0 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 3 | 3-0-0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2-1-0 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 7 | Arsenal | 3 | 2-1-0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 8 |  Barcelona | 3 | 2-0-1 | 11:6 | 6 |
| 9 |  Como | 3 | 2-0-1 | 10:5 | 6 |
| 10 |  Manchester City | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 11 |  Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 12 |  Sporting CP | 3 | 2-0-1 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 13 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 14 | Bayern München | 3 | 1-2-0 | 10:5 | 5 |
| 15 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Atlético Madrid | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1-1-1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 19 |  Villarreal | 3 | 1-0-2 | 8:8 | 3 |
| 20 |  Inter | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 21 |  Manchester United | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 22 |  Napoli | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 23 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 1-0-2 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 24 |  Lask Linz | 3 | 1-0-2 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 25 |  Sabah FA | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 26 |  Feyenoord | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 27 |  Lens | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 28 |  Bodø/Glimt | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 31 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:9 | 2 |
| 32 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | 0-1-2 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 33 |  Viking | 3 | 0-1-2 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 34 |  FC Porto | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Lille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 4:10 | 0 |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:13 | 0 |
Recent matches
Bayern München
Home and away
Bayern München vs Arsenal: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Bayern München: 14th, 5 points from 3 matches (1W 2D 0L). Arsenal: 7th, 7 points (2W 1D 0L).
- Head to head. Head to head over 14 meetings: Bayern München 6 wins, Arsenal 4 wins, plus 4 draws; goals 29–19.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.8%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.47), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 64% and over 2.5 goals is 61%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 14; Bayern München 6 wins, 4 draws, Arsenal 4 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.4 per match.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 61%.
- Not available: Bayern München 0, Arsenal 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Other option: Over 2.5 goals (probability 61%, odds up to 1.58). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Bayern München: no absences. Not available for Arsenal: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Bayern München vs Arsenal: head to head
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Bayern München vs Arsenal: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Bayern München vs Arsenal?
On the result, our pick is Bayern München or draw (1X) (1.47); on goals, Both teams to score (1.47). Prefer less risk? Go for Bayern München or draw (1X).
Who will win Bayern München vs Arsenal?
As we see it: Bayern München to win 42%, the draw 26%, Arsenal to win 33%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
21 October 2026, 20:00, at Allianz Arena, Munich. Referee: Davide Massa.
Who will be missing?
Bayern München: no absences. Arsenal: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 61% chance (odds 1.58), against 39% for under 2.5 (odds 2.50).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 64% (odds 1.47).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.8%), 2–1 (8.9%), 1–2 (7.8%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.