Bet with MINO CASINO →Shakhtar Donetsk and Sporting CP meet on 3 November 2026 · 17:45 at Stamford Bridge (London), under referee Ivan Kružliak. Sporting CP (48%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 3.90 | 3.96 | 2.02 |
| Market average | 3.61 | 3.72 | 1.97 |
| Lowest odds | 3.22 | 3.31 | 1.91 |
| Megapari | 3.91 | 3.96 | 1.97 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 1.20 | 78.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.73 | 1.68 | 56.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.34 | 2.18 | 43.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.80 | 2.69 | 35.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.59 | 58.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.27 | 41.1% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:15. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.4%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Shakhtar Donetsk 1–1 Sporting CP, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Shakhtar Donetsk 17th (4 points), Sporting CP 12th (6 points).
- Form in the competition: Shakhtar Donetsk 1W 1D 1L (4:3), Sporting CP 2W 0D 1L (7:4).
- Absences: Shakhtar Donetsk 8, Sporting CP 3.
Who will win Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP: injuries, suspensions, absences
Shakhtar Donetsk
- Eguinaldoshoulder injury · will miss the match
- V. Korniyenkonot in the squad · will miss the match
- P. Obahnot in the squad · will miss the match
- Pedrinhomuscle injury · will miss the match
- T. Puzankovnot in the squad · will miss the match
- M. Shvednot in the squad · will miss the match
- D. Tvardovskyinot in the squad · will miss the match
- Marlonmuscle injury · doubtful
Sporting CP
- Z. Debastinjury · will miss the match
- N. Santosknee injury · will miss the match
- R. Zalazarthigh injury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3-0-0 | 14:5 | 9 |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 3 | 3-0-0 | 12:3 | 9 |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3-0-0 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 3 | 3-0-0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2-1-0 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 7 |  Arsenal | 3 | 2-1-0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 8 |  Barcelona | 3 | 2-0-1 | 11:6 | 6 |
| 9 |  Como | 3 | 2-0-1 | 10:5 | 6 |
| 10 |  Manchester City | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 11 |  Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 12 | Sporting CP | 3 | 2-0-1 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 13 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bayern München | 3 | 1-2-0 | 10:5 | 5 |
| 15 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Atlético Madrid | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 17 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1-1-1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 19 |  Villarreal | 3 | 1-0-2 | 8:8 | 3 |
| 20 |  Inter | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 21 |  Manchester United | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 22 |  Napoli | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 23 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 1-0-2 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 24 |  Lask Linz | 3 | 1-0-2 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 25 |  Sabah FA | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 26 |  Feyenoord | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 27 |  Lens | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 28 |  Bodø/Glimt | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 31 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:9 | 2 |
| 32 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | 0-1-2 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 33 |  Viking | 3 | 0-1-2 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 34 |  FC Porto | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Lille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 4:10 | 0 |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:13 | 0 |
Recent matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
Home and away
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Shakhtar Donetsk: 17th, 4 points from 3 matches (1W 1D 1L). Sporting CP: 12th, 6 points (2W 0D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Shakhtar Donetsk 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded, Sporting CP 2.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Shakhtar Donetsk: 1W 1D 1L, goals 4–3; Sporting CP: 2W 0D 1L, goals 7–4.
What to expect
We make Sporting CP the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.2%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), with a probability of 65% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 59% and over 2.5 goals is 57%.
Main points of the prediction
- This competition, scored–conceded: Shakhtar Donetsk 4–3, Sporting CP 7–4.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 57%.
- Not available: Shakhtar Donetsk 8, Sporting CP 3.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 59%, odds up to 1.62). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Shakhtar Donetsk: Eguinaldo, V. Korniyenko, P. Obah, Pedrinho, T. Puzankov, M. Shved, D. Tvardovskyi, Marlon. Not available for Sporting CP: Z. Debast, N. Santos, R. Zalazar. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Shakhtar DonetskLWDSporting CPLWWReturns calculator
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP?
On the result, our pick is Sporting CP to win (2.02); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Sporting CP (X2).
Who will win Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP?
As we see it: Shakhtar Donetsk to win 26%, the draw 26%, Sporting CP to win 48%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
3 November 2026, 17:45, at Stamford Bridge, London. Referee: Ivan Kružliak.
Who will be missing?
Shakhtar Donetsk: Eguinaldo, V. Korniyenko, P. Obah, Pedrinho, T. Puzankov, M. Shved, D. Tvardovskyi, Marlon. Sporting CP: Z. Debast, N. Santos, R. Zalazar. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 57% chance (odds 1.73), against 43% for under 2.5 (odds 2.34).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 59% (odds 1.62).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.2%), 1–2 (9.5%), 0–1 (9.4%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.