Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Middlesbrough entertain Charlton on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough), with Will Finnie the man in the middle. Middlesbrough (76%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Middlesbrough vs Charlton: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.26 | 6.80 | 11.50 |
| Market average | 1.23 | 6.31 | 10.43 |
| Lowest odds | 1.20 | 5.32 | 7.53 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.13 | 1.09 | 85.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.42 | 1.37 | 67.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.90 | 32.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.11 | 1.99 | 47.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.87 | 1.79 | 51.8% |
| BTTS – no | 1.97 | 1.93 | 48.2% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 31/10/26, 13:40. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Middlesbrough 2–0 Charlton, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Middlesbrough 1st (28 points), Charlton 20th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Middlesbrough 7W 4D 1L (27:17), Charlton 3W 5D 4L (11:18).
- H2H: 13 matches: Middlesbrough 9W 2D 2L, goals 21–8.
- Absences: Middlesbrough 3, Charlton 4.
Who will win Middlesbrough vs Charlton?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Middlesbrough vs Charlton: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Middlesbrough vs Charlton: injuries, suspensions, absences
Middlesbrough
- A. Jonescalf injury · will miss the match
- R. Pukstasinjury · doubtful
- D. Strelecinjury · doubtful
Charlton
- R. Apterknee injury · will miss the match
- C. Sichenjeknee injury · will miss the match
- N. Chalobahmuscle injury · doubtful
- M. Goddenmuscle injury · doubtful
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Middlesbrough vs Charlton: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 |  Southampton | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 |  Birmingham | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 |  QPR | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 |  Millwall | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 | Charlton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Middlesbrough
Home and away
Middlesbrough vs Charlton: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Middlesbrough: 1st, 28 points from 13 matches (8W 4D 1L). Charlton: 20th, 14 points (3W 5D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Middlesbrough 2.3 scored and 1.4 conceded, Charlton 0.9 scored and 1.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Middlesbrough: 7W 4D 1L, goals 27–17; Charlton: 3W 5D 4L, goals 11–18.
- Head to head. Head to head over 13 meetings: Middlesbrough 9 wins, Charlton 2 wins, plus 2 draws; goals 21–8.
What to expect
We make Middlesbrough the favourites. The projected scoreline is 3–1, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–0 (10.6%). We expect goals and an open game.
The result only pays 1.26, so the goals markets are an option too: Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.85), with a probability of 53% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 52% and over 2.5 goals is 68%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 13; Middlesbrough 9 wins, 2 draws, Charlton 2 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.2 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Middlesbrough 27–17, Charlton 11–18.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 68%.
- Not available: Middlesbrough 3, Charlton 4.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 52%, odds up to 1.87). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Middlesbrough: A. Jones, R. Pukstas, D. Strelec. Not available for Charlton: R. Apter, C. Sichenje, N. Chalobah, M. Godden. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Middlesbrough vs Charlton: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
MiddlesbroughWWDWWCharltonLLLDDMiddlesbrough vs Charlton: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Middlesbrough vs Charlton: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Middlesbrough vs Charlton?
On the result, our pick is Middlesbrough to win (1.26); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.85). Prefer less risk? Go for Middlesbrough or draw (1X).
Who will win Middlesbrough vs Charlton?
As we see it: Middlesbrough to win 76%, the draw 15%, Charlton to win 9%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
31 October 2026, 15:00, at Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough. Referee: Will Finnie.
Who will be missing?
Middlesbrough: A. Jones, R. Pukstas, D. Strelec. Charlton: R. Apter, C. Sichenje, N. Chalobah, M. Godden. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 68% chance (odds 1.42), against 32% for under 2.5 (odds 3.00).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 52% (odds 1.87).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–0 (10.6%), 3–0 (9.4%), 2–1 (9.0%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.