Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Bournemouth and Leeds meet on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at Vitality Stadium (Bournemouth), under referee Michael Salisbury. We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Bournemouth vs Leeds: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.17 | 3.56 | 3.70 |
| Market average | 2.12 | 3.38 | 3.51 |
| Lowest odds | 2.05 | 3.08 | 3.01 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 1.28 | 74.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.95 | 1.90 | 50.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.00 | 1.93 | 49.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.20 | 29.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.68 | 55.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.08 | 44.7% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 31/10/26, 09:22. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Bournemouth 1–1 Leeds, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Bournemouth 7th (12 points), Leeds 11th (11 points).
- Form in the competition: Bournemouth 2W 3D 3L (12:13), Leeds 2W 5D 1L (9:6).
- H2H: 9 matches: Bournemouth 3W 2D 4L, goals 19–16.
- Absences: Bournemouth 3, Leeds 4.
Who will win Bournemouth vs Leeds?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Bournemouth vs Leeds: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Bournemouth vs Leeds: injuries, suspensions, absences
Bournemouth
- J. Araujothigh injury · will miss the match
- A. Scottthigh injury · will miss the match
- A. Tothmuscle injury · will miss the match
Leeds
- M. Josephknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Rodonmuscle injury · will miss the match
- D. Jamesback injury · doubtful
- A. Stachfoot injury · doubtful
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Bournemouth vs Leeds: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 8 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 9 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 10 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 11 | Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 8 | 3-2-3 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 13 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 14 |  Everton | 8 | 2-4-2 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Bournemouth
Home and away
Bournemouth vs Leeds: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Bournemouth: 7th, 12 points from 9 matches (3W 3D 3L). Leeds: 11th, 11 points (2W 5D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Bournemouth 1.5 scored and 1.6 conceded, Leeds 1.1 scored and 0.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Bournemouth: 2W 3D 3L, goals 12–13; Leeds: 2W 5D 1L, goals 9–6.
- Head to head. Head to head over 9 meetings: Bournemouth 3 wins, Leeds 4 wins, plus 2 draws; goals 19–16.
What to expect
We make Bournemouth the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.2%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.70), with a probability of 55% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 55% and over 2.5 goals is 50%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 9; Bournemouth 3 wins, 2 draws, Leeds 4 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.9 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Bournemouth 12–13, Leeds 9–6.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 50%.
- Not available: Bournemouth 3, Leeds 4.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 55%, odds up to 1.70). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Bournemouth: J. Araujo, A. Scott, A. Toth. Not available for Leeds: M. Joseph, J. Rodon, D. James, A. Stach. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Bournemouth vs Leeds: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
BournemouthWWWLLLeedsLDDLDBournemouth vs Leeds: head to head
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Bournemouth vs Leeds: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Bournemouth vs Leeds?
On the result, our pick is Bournemouth or draw (1X) (1.32); on goals, Both teams to score (1.70). Prefer less risk? Go for Bournemouth or draw (1X).
Who will win Bournemouth vs Leeds?
As we see it: Bournemouth to win 45%, the draw 28%, Leeds to win 27%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
31 October 2026, 15:00, at Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth. Referee: Michael Salisbury.
Who will be missing?
Bournemouth: J. Araujo, A. Scott, A. Toth. Leeds: M. Joseph, J. Rodon, D. James, A. Stach. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 50% chance (odds 1.95), against 50% for under 2.5 (odds 2.00).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 55% (odds 1.70).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (12.2%), 1–0 (10.6%), 2–1 (9.1%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.