Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Manchester United v Bournemouth takes place on 25 October 2026 · 14:00 at Old Trafford (Manchester); Jarred Gillett will referee. We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Manchester United vs Bournemouth: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.49 | 3.55 | 3.08 |
| Market average | 2.41 | 3.45 | 2.94 |
| Lowest odds | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.25 | 75.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.86 | 1.80 | 53.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.10 | 2.04 | 46.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.88 | 32.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.61 | 57.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.21 | 42.1% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 25/10/26, 13:09. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Manchester United 1–1 Bournemouth, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Manchester United 17th (7 points), Bournemouth 7th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Manchester United 1W 4D 2L (10:10), Bournemouth 1W 3D 3L (9:13).
- H2H: 20 matches: Manchester United 10W 5D 5L, goals 39–29.
- Absences: Manchester United 7, Bournemouth 5.
Who will win Manchester United vs Bournemouth?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Manchester United vs Bournemouth: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Manchester United vs Bournemouth: injuries, suspensions, absences
Manchester United
- P. Dorguhamstring injury · will miss the match
- K. Mainooinjury · will miss the match
- B. Seskoabsence · will miss the match
- L. Shawinjury · will miss the match
- M. Ugarteknee injury · will miss the match
- L. Martinezmuscle injury · doubtful
- M. Rashfordhip injury · doubtful
Bournemouth
- J. Araujothigh injury · will miss the match
- A. Scottthigh injury · will miss the match
- A. Tothmuscle injury · will miss the match
- E. J. Kroupifoot injury · doubtful
- V. Milosavljevicabsence · doubtful
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Manchester United vs Bournemouth: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 8 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 9 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 10 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 11 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 8 | 3-2-3 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 13 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 14 |  Everton | 8 | 2-4-2 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 | Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Manchester United
Home and away
Manchester United vs Bournemouth: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Manchester United: 17th, 7 points from 9 matches (1W 4D 4L). Bournemouth: 7th, 12 points (3W 3D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Manchester United 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded, Bournemouth 1.3 scored and 1.9 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Manchester United: 1W 4D 2L, goals 10–10; Bournemouth: 1W 3D 3L, goals 9–13.
- Head to head. Head to head over 20 meetings: Manchester United 10 wins, Bournemouth 5 wins, plus 5 draws; goals 39–29.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.1%). We expect goals and an open game.
The two signals clash: on table position the Bournemouth look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.62), with a probability of 58% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 58% and over 2.5 goals is 53%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 20; Manchester United 10 wins, 5 draws, Bournemouth 5 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.4 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Manchester United 10–10, Bournemouth 9–13.
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 53%.
- Not available: Manchester United 7, Bournemouth 5.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 58%, odds up to 1.62). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Manchester United: P. Dorgu, K. Mainoo, B. Sesko, L. Shaw, M. Ugarte, L. Martinez, M. Rashford. Not available for Bournemouth: J. Araujo, A. Scott, A. Toth, E. J. Kroupi, V. Milosavljevic. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Manchester United vs Bournemouth: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Manchester UnitedLLDDDBournemouthWWWLLManchester United vs Bournemouth: head to head
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Manchester United vs Bournemouth: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Manchester United vs Bournemouth?
On the result, our pick is Manchester United or draw (1X) (1.45); on goals, Both teams to score (1.62). Prefer less risk? Go for Manchester United or draw (1X).
Who will win Manchester United vs Bournemouth?
As we see it: Manchester United to win 40%, the draw 28%, Bournemouth to win 33%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
25 October 2026, 14:00, at Old Trafford, Manchester. Referee: Jarred Gillett.
Who will be missing?
Manchester United: P. Dorgu, K. Mainoo, B. Sesko, L. Shaw, M. Ugarte, L. Martinez, M. Rashford. Bournemouth: J. Araujo, A. Scott, A. Toth, E. J. Kroupi, V. Milosavljevic. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 53% chance (odds 1.86), against 47% for under 2.5 (odds 2.10).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 58% (odds 1.62).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (12.1%), 1–0 (9.3%), 2–1 (8.7%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.