Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Bournemouth entertain Sunderland on 18 October 2026 · 14:00 at Vitality Stadium (Bournemouth), with Craig Pawson, England the man in the middle. Bournemouth (46%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Bournemouth vs Sunderland: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.14 | 3.43 | 4.15 |
| Market average | 2.08 | 3.35 | 3.78 |
| Lowest odds | 2.04 | 3.25 | 3.30 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.38 | 1.32 | 71.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.22 | 2.08 | 46.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.81 | 1.77 | 53.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.60 | 3.54 | 26.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.85 | 1.80 | 51.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.91 | 48.5% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 18/10/26, 12:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Bournemouth 1–1 Sunderland, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Bournemouth 7th (12 points), Sunderland 20th (5 points).
- Absences: Bournemouth 0, Sunderland 0.
Who will win Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Bournemouth vs Sunderland: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Bournemouth vs Sunderland: injuries, suspensions, absences
Bournemouth
- No reported absences
Sunderland
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Bournemouth vs Sunderland: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 8 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 9 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 10 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 11 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 8 | 3-2-3 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 13 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 14 |  Everton | 8 | 2-4-2 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Bournemouth
Home and away
Bournemouth vs Sunderland: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Bournemouth: 7th, 12 points from 9 matches (3W 3D 3L). Sunderland: 20th, 5 points (1W 2D 6L).
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.5%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.81), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 51% and over 2.5 goals is 46%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 46%.
- Not available: Bournemouth 0, Sunderland 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 51%, odds up to 1.85). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Bournemouth: no absences. Not available for Sunderland: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
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Bournemouth vs Sunderland: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
On the result, our pick is Bournemouth to win (2.14); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.81). Prefer less risk? Go for Bournemouth or draw (1X).
Who will win Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
As we see it: Bournemouth to win 46%, the draw 29%, Sunderland to win 25%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
18 October 2026, 14:00, at Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth. Referee: Craig Pawson, England.
Who will be missing?
Bournemouth: no absences. Sunderland: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 46% chance (odds 2.22), against 54% for under 2.5 (odds 1.81).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 51% (odds 1.85).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (12.5%), 1–0 (11.9%), 2–1 (9.1%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.