Bet with MINO CASINO →Birmingham v Millwall takes place on 3 November 2026 · 20:00 at St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham); David Webb will referee. We back Birmingham (48%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Birmingham vs Millwall: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.02 | 3.70 | 3.75 |
| Market average | 1.97 | 3.59 | 3.62 |
| Lowest odds | 1.91 | 3.40 | 3.48 |
| Megapari | 1.98 | 3.60 | 3.48 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.23 | 75.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.83 | 1.77 | 53.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.05 | 2.02 | 46.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.08 | 2.89 | 32.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.65 | 56.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.12 | 43.8% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:15. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.2%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Birmingham 1–1 Millwall, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Birmingham 6th (23 points), Millwall 12th (18 points).
- Form in the competition: Birmingham 6W 5D 2L (23:13), Millwall 5W 3D 5L (23:21).
- H2H: 24 matches: Birmingham 8W 8D 8L, goals 35–26.
- Absences: Birmingham 3, Millwall 7.
Who will win Birmingham vs Millwall?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Birmingham vs Millwall: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Birmingham vs Millwall: injuries, suspensions, absences
Birmingham
- M. LeonardAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- Paik Seung-Hoabsence · will miss the match
- A. Priskeabsence · doubtful
Millwall
- T. Arconteankle injury · will miss the match
- C. De Norremuscle injury · will miss the match
- L. Jensenmuscle injury · will miss the match
- F. Marschallinjury · will miss the match
- J. Metcalfeabsence · will miss the match
- M. Servaisnot in the squad · will miss the match
- M. Luongoknee injury · doubtful
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Birmingham vs Millwall: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 |  Southampton | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Birmingham | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 |  QPR | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 | Millwall | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Birmingham
Home and away
Birmingham vs Millwall: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Birmingham: 6th, 23 points from 13 matches (6W 5D 2L). Millwall: 12th, 18 points (5W 3D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Birmingham 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded, Millwall 1.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Birmingham: 6W 5D 2L, goals 23–13; Millwall: 5W 3D 5L, goals 23–21.
- Head to head. Head to head over 24 meetings: Birmingham 8 wins, Millwall 8 wins, plus 8 draws; goals 35–26.
What to expect
We make Birmingham the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.5%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.67), with a probability of 56% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 56% and over 2.5 goals is 53%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 24; Birmingham 8 wins, 8 draws, Millwall 8 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.5 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Birmingham 23–13, Millwall 23–21.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 53%.
- Not available: Birmingham 3, Millwall 7.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 56%, odds up to 1.67). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Birmingham: M. Leonard, Paik Seung-Ho, A. Priske. Not available for Millwall: T. Arconte, C. De Norre, L. Jensen, F. Marschall, J. Metcalfe, M. Servais, M. Luongo. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Birmingham vs Millwall: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
BirminghamWLWWWMillwallWLDLWBirmingham vs Millwall: head to head
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Birmingham vs Millwall: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Birmingham vs Millwall?
On the result, our pick is Birmingham to win (2.02); on goals, Both teams to score (1.67). Prefer less risk? Go for Birmingham or draw (1X).
Who will win Birmingham vs Millwall?
As we see it: Birmingham to win 48%, the draw 26%, Millwall to win 26%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
3 November 2026, 20:00, at St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham. Referee: David Webb.
Who will be missing?
Birmingham: M. Leonard, Paik Seung-Ho, A. Priske. Millwall: T. Arconte, C. De Norre, L. Jensen, F. Marschall, J. Metcalfe, M. Servais, M. Luongo. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 53% chance (odds 1.83), against 47% for under 2.5 (odds 2.05).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 56% (odds 1.67).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.5%), 1–0 (10.0%), 2–1 (9.5%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.