Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Cardiff v Birmingham takes place on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at Cardiff City Stadium (Cardiff); Tim Robinson, England will referee. We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Cardiff vs Birmingham: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.65 | 3.88 | 2.57 |
| Market average | 2.56 | 3.72 | 2.49 |
| Lowest odds | 2.43 | 3.60 | 2.45 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.14 | 82.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.56 | 1.50 | 62.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.63 | 2.48 | 37.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.43 | 2.28 | 41.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.45 | 1.42 | 65.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.88 | 2.67 | 34.8% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 13:58. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Cardiff 1–1 Birmingham, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Cardiff 17th (14 points), Birmingham 6th (23 points).
- Form in the competition: Cardiff 2W 5D 4L (18:17), Birmingham 5W 5D 1L (20:11).
- H2H: 24 matches: Cardiff 13W 8D 3L, goals 35–18.
- Absences: Cardiff 5, Birmingham 2.
Who will win Cardiff vs Birmingham?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Cardiff vs Birmingham: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Cardiff vs Birmingham: injuries, suspensions, absences
Cardiff
- C. Chambersknee injury · will miss the match
- D. Lawlorhamstring injury · will miss the match
- G. Oshored card · will miss the match
- R. Colwillankle injury · doubtful
- P. Ngnot in the squad · doubtful
Birmingham
- M. LeonardAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- Paik Seung-Hoabsence · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Cardiff vs Birmingham: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 |  Southampton | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Birmingham | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 |  QPR | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 |  Millwall | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 | Cardiff | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Cardiff
Home and away
Cardiff vs Birmingham: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Cardiff: 17th, 14 points from 13 matches (3W 5D 5L). Birmingham: 6th, 23 points (6W 5D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Cardiff 1.6 scored and 1.5 conceded, Birmingham 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Cardiff: 2W 5D 4L, goals 18–17; Birmingham: 5W 5D 1L, goals 20–11.
- Head to head. Head to head over 24 meetings: Cardiff 13 wins, Birmingham 3 wins, plus 8 draws; goals 35–18.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–2, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.4%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.45), with a probability of 65% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 65% and over 2.5 goals is 62%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 24; Cardiff 13 wins, 8 draws, Birmingham 3 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.2 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Cardiff 18–17, Birmingham 20–11.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 62%.
- Not available: Cardiff 5, Birmingham 2.
Alternative tip: Draw or Birmingham (X2)
Other option: Draw or Birmingham (X2) (probability 63%, odds up to 1.55). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Cardiff: C. Chambers, D. Lawlor, G. Osho, R. Colwill, P. Ng. Not available for Birmingham: M. Leonard, Paik Seung-Ho. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Cardiff vs Birmingham: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
CardiffLWDWLBirminghamWLWWWCardiff vs Birmingham: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Cardiff vs Birmingham: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Cardiff vs Birmingham?
On the result, our pick is Draw or Birmingham (X2) (1.55); on goals, Both teams to score (1.45). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Birmingham (X2).
Who will win Cardiff vs Birmingham?
As we see it: Cardiff to win 37%, the draw 25%, Birmingham to win 38%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
24 October 2026, 15:00, at Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff. Referee: Tim Robinson, England.
Who will be missing?
Cardiff: C. Chambers, D. Lawlor, G. Osho, R. Colwill, P. Ng. Birmingham: M. Leonard, Paik Seung-Ho. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 62% chance (odds 1.56), against 38% for under 2.5 (odds 2.63).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 65% (odds 1.45).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.4%), 1–2 (8.3%), 2–1 (8.3%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.