Bet with MINO CASINO →Bayer Leverkusen entertain Marseille on 5 November 2026 · 20:00 at BayArena (Leverkusen). Bayer Leverkusen (67%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.45 | 5.41 | 7.00 |
| Market average | 1.41 | 4.94 | 6.53 |
| Lowest odds | 1.36 | 4.34 | 5.70 |
| Megapari | 1.45 | 5.12 | 6.84 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.16 | 1.13 | 83.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.45 | 64.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.78 | 2.66 | 35.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.19 | 2.14 | 44.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.64 | 57.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.17 | 43.0% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 03:28. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.7%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 Marseille, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Bayer Leverkusen 2nd (9 points), Marseille 34th (0 points).
- Form in the competition: Bayer Leverkusen 3W 0D 0L (8:0), Marseille 0W 0D 3L (1:6).
- Absences: Bayer Leverkusen 0, Marseille 0.
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille: injuries, suspensions, absences
Bayer Leverkusen
- No reported absences
Marseille
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 3 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 4 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 5 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3-0-0 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2-1-0 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lyon | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 13 |  Rennes | 3 | 1-2-0 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Lillestrøm | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 32 |  Lech Poznań | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 33 |  Plzeň | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 | Marseille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0-0-3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Recent matches
Bayer Leverkusen
Home and away
Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Bayer Leverkusen: 2nd, 9 points from 3 matches (3W 0D 0L). Marseille: 34th, 0 points (0W 0D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Bayer Leverkusen 2.7 scored and 0.0 conceded, Marseille 0.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Bayer Leverkusen: 3W 0D 0L, goals 8–0; Marseille: 0W 0D 3L, goals 1–6.
What to expect
We make Bayer Leverkusen the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.8%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), with a probability of 65% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 57% and over 2.5 goals is 65%.
Main points of the prediction
- This competition, scored–conceded: Bayer Leverkusen 8–0, Marseille 1–6.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 65%.
- Not available: Bayer Leverkusen 0, Marseille 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 57%, odds up to 1.67). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Bayer Leverkusen: no absences. Not available for Marseille: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Bayer LeverkusenWWWMarseilleLLLReturns calculator
Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille?
On the result, our pick is Bayer Leverkusen to win (1.45); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Bayer Leverkusen or draw (1X).
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille?
As we see it: Bayer Leverkusen to win 67%, the draw 19%, Marseille to win 14%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
5 November 2026, 20:00, at BayArena, Leverkusen.
Who will be missing?
Bayer Leverkusen: no absences. Marseille: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 65% chance (odds 1.50), against 35% for under 2.5 (odds 2.78).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 57% (odds 1.67).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–1 (9.8%), 2–0 (9.8%), 1–1 (8.5%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.