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Bundesliga · Matchweek 8 · 31 October 2026 · 14:30

Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart tip, odds and prediction, 31 October 2026, Bundesliga

1Bayer Leverkusen1.79
XDraw4.77
2VfB Stuttgart4.77

Top odds available · Updated 31/10/26, 14:09

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Played: final score 2–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Bayer Leverkusen entertain VfB Stuttgart on 31 October 2026 · 14:30 at BayArena (Bayer Leverkusen), with Benjamin Brand the man in the middle. Bayer Leverkusen (57%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: tip and prediction
Result
Bayer Leverkusen to win
1.79
Goals
Over 3.5 goals
1.84
Combo
Bayer Leverkusen & over 2.5 goals
2.17
46% · fair combo odds
57%chance of the result
54%goals tip: chance
2–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Bayer Leverkusen or draw (1X) – probability 78%, odds up to 1.25.

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Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.794.774.77
Market average1.684.464.34
Lowest odds1.623.823.28
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.101.0787.7%
Over 2.5 goals1.321.2973.0%
Under 2.5 goals3.603.4927.0%
Over 3.5 goals1.841.7753.8%
BTTS – yes1.361.3469.8%
BTTS – no3.303.0930.2%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 31/10/26, 14:09. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.4%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 VfB Stuttgart, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Bayer Leverkusen 6th (13 points), VfB Stuttgart 11th (9 points).
  • Form in the competition: Bayer Leverkusen 4W 1D 2L (16:12), VfB Stuttgart 2W 0D 5L (10:13).
  • H2H: 32 matches: Bayer Leverkusen 19W 9D 4L, goals 70–45.
  • Absences: Bayer Leverkusen 7, VfB Stuttgart 6.

Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?

Bayer Leverkusen57%
Draw21%
VfB Stuttgart22%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals87.7% · fair odds 1.14 · best 1.10
Likely
Bayer Leverkusen or draw (1X)78.0% · fair odds 1.28 · best 1.25
Likely
Over 2.5 goals73.0% · fair odds 1.37 · best 1.32
Likely
Both teams score: yes69.8% · fair odds 1.43 · best 1.36
Likely
Bayer Leverkusen to win56.6% · fair odds 1.77 · best 1.79
Possible
Over 3.5 goals53.8% · fair odds 1.86 · best 1.84
Possible
Under 3.5 goals46.2% · fair odds 2.17 · best 2.12
Outsider
Both teams score: no30.2% · fair odds 3.31 · best 3.30
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals27.0% · fair odds 3.70 · best 3.60
Outsider
VfB Stuttgart to win22.0% · fair odds 4.54 · best 4.77
Outsider
Draw21.3% · fair odds 4.69 · best 4.77
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.95 · Under 1.80
probability of over 48.1%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 2.13 · Under 1.67
probability of over 44.1%

Most likely correct scores

2 : 19.0%
1 : 17.6%
3 : 17.0%
2 : 26.5%
2 : 06.2%
1 : 25.5%

Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: injuries, suspensions, absences

Bayer Leverkusen

  • L. Badeabsence · will miss the match
  • E. Ben Seghirmuscle injury · will miss the match
  • M. Diabyhamstring injury · will miss the match
  • G. Douecalf injury · will miss the match
  • K. Eichhornillness · will miss the match
  • C. Kofanemuscle injury · will miss the match
  • M. Terriermuscle injury · will miss the match

VfB Stuttgart

  • J. Diehlmuscle injury · will miss the match
  • L. Sauermuscle injury · will miss the match
  • A. Stillergroin injury · will miss the match
  • T. Tomasmuscle injury · will miss the match
  • J. Vagnomanmuscle injury · will miss the match
  • D. Zagadoumuscle injury · will miss the match

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Bayern München85-3-027:818
2Borussia Dortmund85-3-014:618
3SC Freiburg85-1-218:1016
4RB Leipzig85-0-322:1115
5Werder Bremen84-3-117:1415
6Bayer Leverkusen84-1-318:1613
7SV Elversberg84-1-316:1613
8Eintracht Frankfurt83-2-313:1811
9FSV Mainz 0583-1-417:1710
10FC Augsburg82-3-318:159
11VfB Stuttgart83-0-514:159
121899 Hoffenheim83-0-514:169
131. FC Köln82-3-39:129
14SC Paderborn 0782-3-36:99
15Hamburger SV83-0-57:199
16Union Berlin81-4-37:197
17FC Schalke 0481-3-44:96
18Borussia Mönchengladbach81-1-611:224

Recent matches

Bayer Leverkusen

31 OctLBayer Leverkusen 2–4 VfB Stuttgart
25 OctL1899 Hoffenheim 3–0 Bayer Leverkusen
22 OctWOFI 0–2 Bayer Leverkusen
18 OctWBayer Leverkusen 2–1 SC Freiburg
15 OctWLech Poznań 0–4 Bayer Leverkusen

VfB Stuttgart

31 OctWBayer Leverkusen 2–4 VfB Stuttgart
23 OctLVfB Stuttgart 2–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach
20 OctDVfB Stuttgart 1–1 Atlético Madrid
17 OctLHamburger SV 1–0 VfB Stuttgart
14 OctWSlovan Bratislava 0–3 VfB Stuttgart

Home and away

Bayer Leverkusen at home4 matches: 3W 0D 1L, goals 10–5
VfB Stuttgart away5 matches: 2W 0D 3L, goals 8–10

Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Bayer Leverkusen: 6th, 13 points from 8 matches (4W 1D 3L). VfB Stuttgart: 11th, 9 points (3W 0D 5L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Bayer Leverkusen 2.3 scored and 1.7 conceded, VfB Stuttgart 1.4 scored and 1.9 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Bayer Leverkusen: 4W 1D 2L, goals 16–12; VfB Stuttgart: 2W 0D 5L, goals 10–13.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 32 meetings: Bayer Leverkusen 19 wins, VfB Stuttgart 4 wins, plus 9 draws; goals 70–45.

What to expect

We make Bayer Leverkusen the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.0%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.84), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 70% and over 2.5 goals is 73%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 32; Bayer Leverkusen 19 wins, 9 draws, VfB Stuttgart 4 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 3.6 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Bayer Leverkusen 16–12, VfB Stuttgart 10–13.
  4. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 73%.
  5. Not available: Bayer Leverkusen 7, VfB Stuttgart 6.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 46%, odds up to 2.12). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Bayer Leverkusen: L. Bade, E. Ben Seghir, M. Diaby, G. Doue, K. Eichhorn, C. Kofane, M. Terrier. Not available for VfB Stuttgart: J. Diehl, L. Sauer, A. Stiller, T. Tomas, J. Vagnoman, D. Zagadou. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: the numbers side by side

Bayer LeverkusenVfB Stuttgart
77%Form23%
67%Attack33%
44%Defence56%
38%Head to head62%
40%Goals60%
59.5%Overall40.5%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

Bayer LeverkusenLLWWW
VfB StuttgartWLLWL

Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: head to head

All matches
19Bayer Leverkusen
9Draws
4VfB Stuttgart
31/10/26 · Bayer Leverkusen 2–4 VfB Stuttgart
9/5/26 · VfB Stuttgart 3–1 Bayer Leverkusen
10/1/26 · Bayer Leverkusen 1–4 VfB Stuttgart
16/3/25 · VfB Stuttgart 3–4 Bayer Leverkusen
1/11/24 · Bayer Leverkusen 0–0 VfB Stuttgart
17/8/24 · Bayer Leverkusen 2–2 VfB Stuttgart

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.4%

Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?

On the result, our pick is Bayer Leverkusen to win (1.79); on goals, Over 3.5 goals (1.84). Prefer less risk? Go for Bayer Leverkusen or draw (1X).

Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?

As we see it: Bayer Leverkusen to win 57%, the draw 21%, VfB Stuttgart to win 22%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

31 October 2026, 14:30, at BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen. Referee: Benjamin Brand.

Who will be missing?

Bayer Leverkusen: L. Bade, E. Ben Seghir, M. Diaby, G. Doue, K. Eichhorn, C. Kofane, M. Terrier. VfB Stuttgart: J. Diehl, L. Sauer, A. Stiller, T. Tomas, J. Vagnoman, D. Zagadou. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 73% chance (odds 1.32), against 27% for under 2.5 (odds 3.60).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 70% (odds 1.36).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 2–1 (9.0%), 1–1 (7.6%), 3–1 (7.0%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.