Played: final score 2–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Bayer Leverkusen entertain VfB Stuttgart on 31 October 2026 · 14:30 at BayArena (Bayer Leverkusen), with Benjamin Brand the man in the middle. Bayer Leverkusen (57%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.79 | 4.77 | 4.77 |
| Market average | 1.68 | 4.46 | 4.34 |
| Lowest odds | 1.62 | 3.82 | 3.28 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.10 | 1.07 | 87.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.29 | 73.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.60 | 3.49 | 27.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.84 | 1.77 | 53.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.36 | 1.34 | 69.8% |
| BTTS – no | 3.30 | 3.09 | 30.2% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 31/10/26, 14:09. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 VfB Stuttgart, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Bayer Leverkusen 6th (13 points), VfB Stuttgart 11th (9 points).
- Form in the competition: Bayer Leverkusen 4W 1D 2L (16:12), VfB Stuttgart 2W 0D 5L (10:13).
- H2H: 32 matches: Bayer Leverkusen 19W 9D 4L, goals 70–45.
- Absences: Bayer Leverkusen 7, VfB Stuttgart 6.
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: injuries, suspensions, absences
Bayer Leverkusen
- L. Badeabsence · will miss the match
- E. Ben Seghirmuscle injury · will miss the match
- M. Diabyhamstring injury · will miss the match
- G. Douecalf injury · will miss the match
- K. Eichhornillness · will miss the match
- C. Kofanemuscle injury · will miss the match
- M. Terriermuscle injury · will miss the match
VfB Stuttgart
- J. Diehlmuscle injury · will miss the match
- L. Sauermuscle injury · will miss the match
- A. Stillergroin injury · will miss the match
- T. Tomasmuscle injury · will miss the match
- J. Vagnomanmuscle injury · will miss the match
- D. Zagadoumuscle injury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 | |
| 2 | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 | |
| 3 | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 | |
| 12 | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 | |
| 13 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 | |
| 14 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 | |
| 15 | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 | |
| 16 | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 | |
| 17 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 | |
| 18 | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
Bayer Leverkusen
Home and away
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Bayer Leverkusen: 6th, 13 points from 8 matches (4W 1D 3L). VfB Stuttgart: 11th, 9 points (3W 0D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Bayer Leverkusen 2.3 scored and 1.7 conceded, VfB Stuttgart 1.4 scored and 1.9 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Bayer Leverkusen: 4W 1D 2L, goals 16–12; VfB Stuttgart: 2W 0D 5L, goals 10–13.
- Head to head. Head to head over 32 meetings: Bayer Leverkusen 19 wins, VfB Stuttgart 4 wins, plus 9 draws; goals 70–45.
What to expect
We make Bayer Leverkusen the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.0%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.84), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 70% and over 2.5 goals is 73%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 32; Bayer Leverkusen 19 wins, 9 draws, VfB Stuttgart 4 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.6 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Bayer Leverkusen 16–12, VfB Stuttgart 10–13.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 73%.
- Not available: Bayer Leverkusen 7, VfB Stuttgart 6.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 46%, odds up to 2.12). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Bayer Leverkusen: L. Bade, E. Ben Seghir, M. Diaby, G. Doue, K. Eichhorn, C. Kofane, M. Terrier. Not available for VfB Stuttgart: J. Diehl, L. Sauer, A. Stiller, T. Tomas, J. Vagnoman, D. Zagadou. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?
On the result, our pick is Bayer Leverkusen to win (1.79); on goals, Over 3.5 goals (1.84). Prefer less risk? Go for Bayer Leverkusen or draw (1X).
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?
As we see it: Bayer Leverkusen to win 57%, the draw 21%, VfB Stuttgart to win 22%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
31 October 2026, 14:30, at BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen. Referee: Benjamin Brand.
Who will be missing?
Bayer Leverkusen: L. Bade, E. Ben Seghir, M. Diaby, G. Doue, K. Eichhorn, C. Kofane, M. Terrier. VfB Stuttgart: J. Diehl, L. Sauer, A. Stiller, T. Tomas, J. Vagnoman, D. Zagadou. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 73% chance (odds 1.32), against 27% for under 2.5 (odds 3.60).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 70% (odds 1.36).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–1 (9.0%), 1–1 (7.6%), 3–1 (7.0%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.
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