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Bundesliga · Matchweek 7 · 25 October 2026 · 14:30

1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen tip, odds and prediction, 25 October 2026, Bundesliga

11899 Hoffenheim3.28
XDraw4.42
2Bayer Leverkusen2.10

Top odds available · Updated 25/10/26, 13:38

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TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesTableAnalysisComparisonH2HFAQ

Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

1899 Hoffenheim and Bayer Leverkusen meet on 25 October 2026 · 14:30 at Prezero Arena (Sinsheim), under referee Daniel Siebert. Bayer Leverkusen (47%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: tip and prediction
Result
Bayer Leverkusen to win
2.10
Goals
Over 3.5 goals
1.86
47%chance of the result
54%goals tip: chance
1–2likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Bayer Leverkusen (X2) – probability 70%, odds up to 1.40.

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1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available3.284.422.10
Market average3.134.152.05
Lowest odds3.003.902.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.091.0688.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.321.2973.1%
Under 2.5 goals3.603.5126.9%
Over 3.5 goals1.861.7654.1%
BTTS – yes1.301.2972.5%
BTTS – no3.503.3927.5%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 25/10/26, 13:38. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.9%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: 1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 Bayer Leverkusen, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: 1899 Hoffenheim 12th (9 points), Bayer Leverkusen 6th (13 points).
  • Form in the competition: 1899 Hoffenheim 2W 0D 4L (11:14), Bayer Leverkusen 4W 1D 1L (16:9).
  • H2H: 33 matches: 1899 Hoffenheim 10W 6D 17L, goals 47–59.
  • Absences: 1899 Hoffenheim 4, Bayer Leverkusen 6.

Who will win 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen?

1899 Hoffenheim30%
Draw23%
Bayer Leverkusen47%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals88.0% · fair odds 1.14 · best 1.09
Likely
Over 2.5 goals73.1% · fair odds 1.37 · best 1.32
Likely
Both teams score: yes72.5% · fair odds 1.38 · best 1.30
Likely
Draw or Bayer Leverkusen (X2)69.6% · fair odds 1.44 · best 1.40
Likely
Over 3.5 goals54.1% · fair odds 1.85 · best 1.86
Possible
Bayer Leverkusen to win46.5% · fair odds 2.15 · best 2.10
Outsider
Under 3.5 goals45.9% · fair odds 2.18 · best 2.15
Outsider
1899 Hoffenheim to win30.4% · fair odds 3.29 · best 3.28
Outsider
Both teams score: no27.5% · fair odds 3.63 · best 3.50
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals26.9% · fair odds 3.72 · best 3.60
Outsider
Draw23.0% · fair odds 4.34 · best 4.42
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 2.02 · Under 1.73
probability of over 46.2%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.73 · Under 2.04
probability of over 54.1%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 28.4%
1 : 18.0%
2 : 27.1%
2 : 16.8%
1 : 35.9%
2 : 35.0%

1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: injuries, suspensions, absences

1899 Hoffenheim

  • N. De Catknee injury · will miss the match
  • A. Hajdarifoot injury · will miss the match
  • P. Wimmerthigh injury · will miss the match
  • B. Conteinjury · doubtful

Bayer Leverkusen

  • E. Ben Seghirmuscle injury · will miss the match
  • G. Douecalf injury · will miss the match
  • K. Eichhornillness · will miss the match
  • C. Kofanemuscle injury · will miss the match
  • M. Terriermuscle injury · will miss the match
  • M. Culbreathfoot injury · doubtful

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Bayern München85-3-027:818
2Borussia Dortmund85-3-014:618
3SC Freiburg85-1-218:1016
4RB Leipzig85-0-322:1115
5Werder Bremen84-3-117:1415
6Bayer Leverkusen84-1-318:1613
7SV Elversberg84-1-316:1613
8Eintracht Frankfurt83-2-313:1811
9FSV Mainz 0583-1-417:1710
10FC Augsburg82-3-318:159
11VfB Stuttgart83-0-514:159
121899 Hoffenheim83-0-514:169
131. FC Köln82-3-39:129
14SC Paderborn 0782-3-36:99
15Hamburger SV83-0-57:199
16Union Berlin81-4-37:197
17FC Schalke 0481-3-44:96
18Borussia Mönchengladbach81-1-611:224

Recent matches

1899 Hoffenheim

31 OctLWerder Bremen 2–0 1899 Hoffenheim
25 OctW1899 Hoffenheim 3–0 Bayer Leverkusen
22 OctW1899 Hoffenheim 3–0 Lyon
18 OctWBorussia Mönchengladbach 1–2 1899 Hoffenheim
15 OctL1899 Hoffenheim 2–3 Beşiktaş

Bayer Leverkusen

31 OctLBayer Leverkusen 2–4 VfB Stuttgart
25 OctL1899 Hoffenheim 3–0 Bayer Leverkusen
22 OctWOFI 0–2 Bayer Leverkusen
18 OctWBayer Leverkusen 2–1 SC Freiburg
15 OctWLech Poznań 0–4 Bayer Leverkusen

Home and away

1899 Hoffenheim at home4 matches: 2W 0D 2L, goals 9–7
Bayer Leverkusen away4 matches: 1W 1D 2L, goals 8–11

1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. 1899 Hoffenheim: 12th, 9 points from 8 matches (3W 0D 5L). Bayer Leverkusen: 6th, 13 points (4W 1D 3L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: 1899 Hoffenheim 1.8 scored and 2.3 conceded, Bayer Leverkusen 2.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. 1899 Hoffenheim: 2W 0D 4L, goals 11–14; Bayer Leverkusen: 4W 1D 1L, goals 16–9.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 33 meetings: 1899 Hoffenheim 10 wins, Bayer Leverkusen 17 wins, plus 6 draws; goals 47–59.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–2, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–2 (8.4%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.86), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 72% and over 2.5 goals is 73%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 33; 1899 Hoffenheim 10 wins, 6 draws, Bayer Leverkusen 17 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 3.2 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: 1899 Hoffenheim 11–14, Bayer Leverkusen 16–9.
  4. Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 73%.
  5. Not available: 1899 Hoffenheim 4, Bayer Leverkusen 6.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 46%, odds up to 2.15). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for 1899 Hoffenheim: N. De Cat, A. Hajdari, P. Wimmer, B. Conte. Not available for Bayer Leverkusen: E. Ben Seghir, G. Doue, K. Eichhorn, C. Kofane, M. Terrier, M. Culbreath. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: the numbers side by side

1899 HoffenheimBayer Leverkusen
32%Form68%
39%Attack61%
35%Defence65%
40%Head to head60%
38%Goals63%
36.5%Overall63.7%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

1899 HoffenheimLWWLL
Bayer LeverkusenLLWWW

1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: head to head

All matches
101899 Hoffenheim
6Draws
17Bayer Leverkusen
25/10/26 · 1899 Hoffenheim 3–0 Bayer Leverkusen
17/1/26 · 1899 Hoffenheim 1–0 Bayer Leverkusen
23/8/25 · Bayer Leverkusen 1–2 1899 Hoffenheim
2/2/25 · Bayer Leverkusen 3–1 1899 Hoffenheim
14/9/24 · 1899 Hoffenheim 1–4 Bayer Leverkusen
30/3/24 · Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 1899 Hoffenheim

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.9%

1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen?

On the result, our pick is Bayer Leverkusen to win (2.10); on goals, Over 3.5 goals (1.86). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Bayer Leverkusen (X2).

Who will win 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen?

As we see it: 1899 Hoffenheim to win 30%, the draw 23%, Bayer Leverkusen to win 47%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

25 October 2026, 14:30, at Prezero Arena, Sinsheim. Referee: Daniel Siebert.

Who will be missing?

1899 Hoffenheim: N. De Cat, A. Hajdari, P. Wimmer, B. Conte. Bayer Leverkusen: E. Ben Seghir, G. Doue, K. Eichhorn, C. Kofane, M. Terrier, M. Culbreath. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 73% chance (odds 1.32), against 27% for under 2.5 (odds 3.60).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 72% (odds 1.30).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–2 (8.4%), 1–1 (8.0%), 2–2 (7.1%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach 6 NovFSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München 7 NovBorussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg 7 NovRB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg 7 NovSC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt 7 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.