Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
1899 Hoffenheim and Bayer Leverkusen meet on 25 October 2026 · 14:30 at Prezero Arena (Sinsheim), under referee Daniel Siebert. Bayer Leverkusen (47%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 3.28 | 4.42 | 2.10 |
| Market average | 3.13 | 4.15 | 2.05 |
| Lowest odds | 3.00 | 3.90 | 2.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.09 | 1.06 | 88.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.29 | 73.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.60 | 3.51 | 26.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.86 | 1.76 | 54.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.30 | 1.29 | 72.5% |
| BTTS – no | 3.50 | 3.39 | 27.5% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 25/10/26, 13:38. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: 1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 Bayer Leverkusen, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: 1899 Hoffenheim 12th (9 points), Bayer Leverkusen 6th (13 points).
- Form in the competition: 1899 Hoffenheim 2W 0D 4L (11:14), Bayer Leverkusen 4W 1D 1L (16:9).
- H2H: 33 matches: 1899 Hoffenheim 10W 6D 17L, goals 47–59.
- Absences: 1899 Hoffenheim 4, Bayer Leverkusen 6.
Who will win 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: injuries, suspensions, absences
1899 Hoffenheim
- N. De Catknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Hajdarifoot injury · will miss the match
- P. Wimmerthigh injury · will miss the match
- B. Conteinjury · doubtful
Bayer Leverkusen
- E. Ben Seghirmuscle injury · will miss the match
- G. Douecalf injury · will miss the match
- K. Eichhornillness · will miss the match
- C. Kofanemuscle injury · will miss the match
- M. Terriermuscle injury · will miss the match
- M. Culbreathfoot injury · doubtful
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 | |
| 2 | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 | |
| 3 | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 | |
| 12 | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 | |
| 13 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 | |
| 14 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 | |
| 15 | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 | |
| 16 | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 | |
| 17 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 | |
| 18 | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
1899 Hoffenheim
Home and away
1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. 1899 Hoffenheim: 12th, 9 points from 8 matches (3W 0D 5L). Bayer Leverkusen: 6th, 13 points (4W 1D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: 1899 Hoffenheim 1.8 scored and 2.3 conceded, Bayer Leverkusen 2.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. 1899 Hoffenheim: 2W 0D 4L, goals 11–14; Bayer Leverkusen: 4W 1D 1L, goals 16–9.
- Head to head. Head to head over 33 meetings: 1899 Hoffenheim 10 wins, Bayer Leverkusen 17 wins, plus 6 draws; goals 47–59.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–2, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–2 (8.4%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.86), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 72% and over 2.5 goals is 73%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 33; 1899 Hoffenheim 10 wins, 6 draws, Bayer Leverkusen 17 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.2 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: 1899 Hoffenheim 11–14, Bayer Leverkusen 16–9.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 73%.
- Not available: 1899 Hoffenheim 4, Bayer Leverkusen 6.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 46%, odds up to 2.15). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for 1899 Hoffenheim: N. De Cat, A. Hajdari, P. Wimmer, B. Conte. Not available for Bayer Leverkusen: E. Ben Seghir, G. Doue, K. Eichhorn, C. Kofane, M. Terrier, M. Culbreath. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen?
On the result, our pick is Bayer Leverkusen to win (2.10); on goals, Over 3.5 goals (1.86). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Bayer Leverkusen (X2).
Who will win 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen?
As we see it: 1899 Hoffenheim to win 30%, the draw 23%, Bayer Leverkusen to win 47%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
25 October 2026, 14:30, at Prezero Arena, Sinsheim. Referee: Daniel Siebert.
Who will be missing?
1899 Hoffenheim: N. De Cat, A. Hajdari, P. Wimmer, B. Conte. Bayer Leverkusen: E. Ben Seghir, G. Doue, K. Eichhorn, C. Kofane, M. Terrier, M. Culbreath. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 73% chance (odds 1.32), against 27% for under 2.5 (odds 3.60).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 72% (odds 1.30).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–2 (8.4%), 1–1 (8.0%), 2–2 (7.1%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.
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