Bet with MINO CASINO →Valencia v Real Madrid takes place on 7 November 2026 · 20:00 at Estadio de Mestalla (Valencia). We back Real Madrid (72%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Valencia vs Real Madrid: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 9.00 | 6.50 | 1.36 |
| Market average | 8.42 | 5.80 | 1.31 |
| Lowest odds | 7.50 | 5.50 | 1.25 |
| Megapari | 9.00 | 5.85 | 1.36 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.11 | 1.09 | 85.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.41 | 1.39 | 67.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.09 | 2.90 | 32.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.10 | 2.01 | 47.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.65 | 56.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.13 | 43.6% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:55. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.7%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 14:46. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Valencia 0–2 Real Madrid, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Valencia 19th (9 points), Real Madrid 3rd (27 points).
- Form in the competition: Valencia 2W 3D 6L (8:17), Real Madrid 9W 0D 2L (28:10).
- H2H: 34 matches: Valencia 6W 9D 19L, goals 42–77.
- Absences: Valencia 0, Real Madrid 0.
Who will win Valencia vs Real Madrid?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Valencia vs Real Madrid: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Valencia vs Real Madrid: injuries, suspensions, absences
Valencia
- No reported absences
Real Madrid
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Valencia vs Real Madrid: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Alavés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 11 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 12 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 13 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 10 | 2-5-3 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 10 | 3-2-5 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 | Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Valencia
Home and away
Valencia vs Real Madrid: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Valencia: 19th, 9 points from 11 matches (2W 3D 6L). Real Madrid: 3rd, 27 points (9W 0D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Valencia 0.7 scored and 1.5 conceded, Real Madrid 2.5 scored and 0.9 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Valencia: 2W 3D 6L, goals 8–17; Real Madrid: 9W 0D 2L, goals 28–10.
- Head to head. Head to head over 34 meetings: Valencia 6 wins, Real Madrid 19 wins, plus 9 draws; goals 42–77.
What to expect
We make Real Madrid the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–3, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–2 (9.8%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.67), with a probability of 56% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 56% and over 2.5 goals is 68%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 34; Valencia 6 wins, 9 draws, Real Madrid 19 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.5 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Valencia 8–17, Real Madrid 28–10.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 68%.
- Not available: Valencia 0, Real Madrid 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 56%, odds up to 1.67). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Valencia: no absences. Not available for Real Madrid: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Valencia vs Real Madrid: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
ValenciaWLDDLReal MadridWWWWLValencia vs Real Madrid: head to head
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Valencia vs Real Madrid: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Valencia vs Real Madrid?
On the result, our pick is Real Madrid to win (1.36); on goals, Both teams to score (1.67). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Real Madrid (X2).
Who will win Valencia vs Real Madrid?
As we see it: Valencia to win 11%, the draw 16%, Real Madrid to win 72%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
7 November 2026, 20:00, at Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia.
Who will be missing?
Valencia: no absences. Real Madrid: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 68% chance (odds 1.41), against 32% for under 2.5 (odds 3.09).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 56% (odds 1.67).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 0–2 (9.8%), 1–2 (9.3%), 0–3 (8.3%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.