Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Valencia v Athletic Club takes place on 17 October 2026 · 20:00 at Estadio de Mestalla (Valdivia); Adrián Cordero Vega, Spain will referee. We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Valencia vs Athletic Club: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 3.34 | 3.43 | 2.36 |
| Market average | 3.22 | 3.31 | 2.31 |
| Lowest odds | 3.10 | 3.20 | 2.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.35 | 1.33 | 70.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.15 | 2.09 | 45.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.81 | 1.76 | 54.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.75 | 3.62 | 25.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.80 | 51.7% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.93 | 48.3% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 17/10/26, 18:13. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Valencia 1–1 Athletic Club, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Valencia 19th (9 points), Athletic Club 7th (15 points).
- Absences: Valencia 0, Athletic Club 0.
Who will win Valencia vs Athletic Club?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Valencia vs Athletic Club: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Valencia vs Athletic Club: injuries, suspensions, absences
Valencia
- No reported absences
Athletic Club
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Valencia vs Athletic Club: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 | |
| 2 | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 | |
| 3 | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 | |
| 4 | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 | |
| 5 | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 | |
| 6 | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 | |
| 7 | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 | |
| 8 | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 | |
| 9 | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 | |
| 10 | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 | |
| 11 | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 | |
| 12 | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 | |
| 13 | 10 | 2-5-3 | 13:13 | 11 | |
| 14 | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 | |
| 15 | 10 | 3-2-5 | 10:20 | 11 | |
| 16 | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 | |
| 17 | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 | |
| 18 | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 | |
| 19 | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 | |
| 20 | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Valencia
Home and away
Valencia vs Athletic Club: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Valencia: 19th, 9 points from 11 matches (2W 3D 6L). Athletic Club: 7th, 15 points (4W 3D 3L).
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.8%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.81), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 52% and over 2.5 goals is 46%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 46%.
- Not available: Valencia 0, Athletic Club 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 52%, odds up to 1.80). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Valencia: no absences. Not available for Athletic Club: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
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Valencia vs Athletic Club: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Valencia vs Athletic Club?
On the result, our pick is Draw or Athletic Club (X2) (1.38); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.81). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Athletic Club (X2).
Who will win Valencia vs Athletic Club?
As we see it: Valencia to win 30%, the draw 29%, Athletic Club to win 41%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
17 October 2026, 20:00, at Estadio de Mestalla, Valdivia. Referee: Adrián Cordero Vega, Spain.
Who will be missing?
Valencia: no absences. Athletic Club: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 46% chance (odds 2.15), against 54% for under 2.5 (odds 1.81).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 52% (odds 1.80).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (12.8%), 0–1 (11.6%), 1–0 (9.5%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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