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La Liga · Matchweek 9 · 17 October 2026 · 20:00

Valencia vs Athletic Club tip, odds and prediction, 17 October 2026, La Liga

0–0
1Valencia3.34
XDraw3.43
2Athletic Club2.36

Top odds available · Updated 17/10/26, 18:13

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Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Valencia v Athletic Club takes place on 17 October 2026 · 20:00 at Estadio de Mestalla (Valdivia); Adrián Cordero Vega, Spain will referee. We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Valencia vs Athletic Club: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or Athletic Club (X2)
1.38
Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.81
70%chance of the result
54%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Valencia vs Athletic Club: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available3.343.432.36
Market average3.223.312.31
Lowest odds3.103.202.25
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.351.3370.3%
Over 2.5 goals2.152.0945.7%
Under 2.5 goals1.811.7654.3%
Over 3.5 goals3.753.6225.8%
BTTS – yes1.801.8051.7%
BTTS – no1.951.9348.3%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 17/10/26, 18:13. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.7%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Valencia 1–1 Athletic Club, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Valencia 19th (9 points), Athletic Club 7th (15 points).
  • Absences: Valencia 0, Athletic Club 0.

Who will win Valencia vs Athletic Club?

Valencia30%
Draw29%
Athletic Club41%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Valencia vs Athletic Club: more betting markets

Under 3.5 goals74.2% · fair odds 1.35 · best 1.29
Likely
Over 1.5 goals70.3% · fair odds 1.42 · best 1.35
Likely
Draw or Athletic Club (X2)70.3% · fair odds 1.42 · best 1.38
Likely
Under 2.5 goals54.3% · fair odds 1.84 · best 1.81
Possible
Both teams score: yes51.7% · fair odds 1.93 · best 1.80
Possible
Both teams score: no48.3% · fair odds 2.07 · best 1.95
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals45.7% · fair odds 2.19 · best 2.15
Outsider
Athletic Club to win41.4% · fair odds 2.42 · best 2.36
Outsider
Valencia to win29.7% · fair odds 3.37 · best 3.34
Outsider
Draw28.9% · fair odds 3.46 · best 3.43
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals25.8% · fair odds 3.88 · best 3.75
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.95 · Under 1.80
probability of over 47.9%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 1.98 · Under 1.77
probability of over 47.2%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.8%
0 : 111.6%
1 : 09.5%
1 : 28.6%
0 : 08.6%
0 : 27.9%

Valencia vs Athletic Club: injuries, suspensions, absences

Valencia

  • No reported absences

Athletic Club

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Valencia vs Athletic Club: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Barcelona1110-0-146:1230
2Atlético Madrid119-1-122:828
3Real Madrid119-0-228:1027
4Real Betis117-2-218:1523
5Real Sociedad116-1-420:2019
6Sevilla115-2-417:1917
7Athletic Club104-3-314:1015
8Villarreal113-3-515:1512
9Celta Vigo112-6-310:1012
10Alavés113-3-515:1712
11Rayo Vallecano103-3-415:2012
12Getafe113-3-58:1612
13Deportivo La Coruña102-5-313:1311
14Espanyol113-2-613:1411
15Osasuna103-2-510:2011
16Racing Santander113-2-615:2911
17Elche112-4-514:1810
18Levante112-4-516:2110
19Valencia112-3-68:179
20Málaga110-5-68:215

Recent matches

Valencia

1 NovWElche 0–1 Valencia
24 OctLValencia 1–2 Villarreal
17 OctDValencia 0–0 Athletic Club
11 OctDRacing Santander 2–2 Valencia
20 SeptLValencia 2–3 Real Sociedad

Athletic Club

1 NovWAthletic Club 2–1 Real Sociedad
25 OctWAthletic Club 4–0 Getafe
21 OctLLevante 3–1 Athletic Club
17 OctDValencia 0–0 Athletic Club
19 SeptDAthletic Club 0–0 Alavés

Home and away

Valencia at home6 matches: 0W 2D 4L, goals 3–11
Athletic Club away4 matches: 1W 1D 2L, goals 3–5

Valencia vs Athletic Club: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Valencia: 19th, 9 points from 11 matches (2W 3D 6L). Athletic Club: 7th, 15 points (4W 3D 3L).

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.8%). We see a fairly level contest.

On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.81), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 52% and over 2.5 goals is 46%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 46%.
  2. Not available: Valencia 0, Athletic Club 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 52%, odds up to 1.80). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Valencia: no absences. Not available for Athletic Club: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.7%

Valencia vs Athletic Club: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Valencia vs Athletic Club?

On the result, our pick is Draw or Athletic Club (X2) (1.38); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.81). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Athletic Club (X2).

Who will win Valencia vs Athletic Club?

As we see it: Valencia to win 30%, the draw 29%, Athletic Club to win 41%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

17 October 2026, 20:00, at Estadio de Mestalla, Valdivia. Referee: Adrián Cordero Vega, Spain.

Who will be missing?

Valencia: no absences. Athletic Club: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 46% chance (odds 2.15), against 54% for under 2.5 (odds 1.81).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 52% (odds 1.80).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (12.8%), 0–1 (11.6%), 1–0 (9.5%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Deportivo La Coruña vs Osasuna 2 NovSevilla vs Alavés 6 NovMálaga vs Racing Santander 7 NovEspanyol vs Deportivo La Coruña 7 NovOsasuna vs Athletic Club 7 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.