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La Liga · Matchweek 12 · 7 November 2026 · 13:00

Málaga vs Racing Santander tip, odds and prediction, 7 November 2026, La Liga

1Málaga2.48
XDraw3.72
2Racing Santander2.92

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 12:54

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Málaga and Racing Santander meet on 7 November 2026 · 13:00 at Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga). We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Málaga vs Racing Santander: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Málaga or draw (1X)
1.46
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.52
66%chance of the result
63%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Málaga vs Racing Santander: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.483.722.92
Market average2.373.582.81
Lowest odds2.303.502.70
Megapari2.483.722.92
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.221.2078.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.731.6657.2%
Under 2.5 goals2.292.2342.8%
Over 3.5 goals2.642.5836.6%
BTTS – yes1.551.5261.0%
BTTS – no2.402.3839.0%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 12:54. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.7%.

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Megapari: prices for this match

Bet with Megapari →

Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 17:14. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Málaga 1–1 Racing Santander, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Málaga 20th (5 points), Racing Santander 16th (11 points).
  • Form in the competition: Málaga 0W 5D 6L (8:21), Racing Santander 3W 2D 5L (15:26).
  • H2H: 12 matches: Málaga 6W 3D 3L, goals 17–10.
  • Absences: Málaga 0, Racing Santander 0.

Who will win Málaga vs Racing Santander?

Málaga40%
Draw26%
Racing Santander34%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Málaga vs Racing Santander: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals78.0% · fair odds 1.28 · best 1.22
Likely
Málaga or draw (1X)66.3% · fair odds 1.51 · best 1.46
Likely
Under 3.5 goals63.4% · fair odds 1.58 · best 1.52
Likely
Both teams score: yes61.0% · fair odds 1.64 · best 1.55
Likely
Over 2.5 goals57.2% · fair odds 1.75 · best 1.73
Possible
Under 2.5 goals42.8% · fair odds 2.34 · best 2.29
Outsider
Málaga to win39.9% · fair odds 2.51 · best 2.48
Outsider
Both teams score: no39.0% · fair odds 2.56 · best 2.40
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals36.6% · fair odds 2.73 · best 2.64
Outsider
Racing Santander to win33.7% · fair odds 2.97 · best 2.92
Outsider
Draw26.4% · fair odds 3.78 · best 3.72
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.99 · Under 1.73
probability of over 46.4%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.4%
2 : 18.8%
1 : 08.1%
1 : 28.0%
0 : 17.3%
2 : 06.3%

Málaga vs Racing Santander: injuries, suspensions, absences

Málaga

  • No reported absences

Racing Santander

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Málaga vs Racing Santander: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Barcelona1110-0-146:1230
2Atlético Madrid119-1-122:828
3Real Madrid119-0-228:1027
4Real Betis117-2-218:1523
5Real Sociedad116-1-420:2019
6Sevilla115-2-417:1917
7Athletic Club104-3-314:1015
8Villarreal113-3-515:1512
9Celta Vigo112-6-310:1012
10Alavés113-3-515:1712
11Rayo Vallecano103-3-415:2012
12Getafe113-3-58:1612
13Deportivo La Coruña102-5-313:1311
14Espanyol113-2-613:1411
15Osasuna103-2-510:2011
16Racing Santander113-2-615:2911
17Elche112-4-514:1810
18Levante112-4-516:2110
19Valencia112-3-68:179
20Málaga110-5-68:215

Recent matches

Málaga

31 OctLReal Betis 2–1 Málaga
23 OctDAlavés 1–1 Málaga
18 OctLMálaga 2–5 Real Sociedad
9 OctDMálaga 1–1 Espanyol
20 SeptLGetafe 1–0 Málaga

Racing Santander

1 NovLRacing Santander 0–3 Real Madrid
24 OctWRacing Santander 2–1 Espanyol
18 OctLOsasuna 2–0 Racing Santander
11 OctDRacing Santander 2–2 Valencia
19 SeptLCelta Vigo 5–0 Racing Santander

Home and away

Málaga at home5 matches: 0W 3D 2L, goals 5–10
Racing Santander away5 matches: 0W 0D 5L, goals 4–18

Málaga vs Racing Santander: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Málaga: 20th, 5 points from 11 matches (0W 5D 6L). Racing Santander: 16th, 11 points (3W 2D 6L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Málaga 0.7 scored and 1.9 conceded, Racing Santander 1.5 scored and 2.6 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Málaga: 0W 5D 6L, goals 8–21; Racing Santander: 3W 2D 5L, goals 15–26.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 12 meetings: Málaga 6 wins, Racing Santander 3 wins, plus 3 draws; goals 17–10.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.4%). We expect goals and an open game.

The two signals clash: on table position the Racing Santander look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.52), with a probability of 63% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 61% and over 2.5 goals is 57%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 12; Málaga 6 wins, 3 draws, Racing Santander 3 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.3 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Málaga 8–21, Racing Santander 15–26.
  4. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 57%.
  5. Not available: Málaga 0, Racing Santander 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 61%, odds up to 1.55). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Málaga: no absences. Not available for Racing Santander: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Málaga vs Racing Santander: the numbers side by side

MálagaRacing Santander
33%Form67%
45%Attack55%
63%Defence37%
15%Head to head85%
22%Goals78%
40.2%Overall59.8%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

MálagaLDLDL
Racing SantanderLWLDL

Málaga vs Racing Santander: head to head

All matches
6Málaga
3Draws
3Racing Santander
24/5/26 · Málaga 1–1 Racing Santander
5/10/25 · Racing Santander 3–0 Málaga
1/2/25 · Racing Santander 2–1 Málaga
23/11/24 · Málaga 0–0 Racing Santander
5/3/23 · Málaga 0–1 Racing Santander
1/10/22 · Racing Santander 0–0 Málaga

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.7%

Málaga vs Racing Santander: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Málaga vs Racing Santander?

On the result, our pick is Málaga or draw (1X) (1.46); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.52). Prefer less risk? Go for Málaga or draw (1X).

Who will win Málaga vs Racing Santander?

As we see it: Málaga to win 40%, the draw 26%, Racing Santander to win 34%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

7 November 2026, 13:00, at Estadio La Rosaleda, Málaga.

Who will be missing?

Málaga: no absences. Racing Santander: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 57% chance (odds 1.73), against 43% for under 2.5 (odds 2.29).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 61% (odds 1.55).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (11.4%), 2–1 (8.8%), 1–0 (8.1%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Deportivo La Coruña vs Osasuna 2 NovSevilla vs Alavés 6 NovEspanyol vs Deportivo La Coruña 7 NovOsasuna vs Athletic Club 7 NovValencia vs Real Madrid 7 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.