Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Elche v Valencia takes place on 1 November 2026 · 17:30 at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero (Elche); Luis Bestard Servera will referee. We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Elche vs Valencia: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.45 | 3.40 | 3.36 |
| Market average | 2.33 | 3.30 | 3.15 |
| Lowest odds | 2.25 | 3.09 | 2.85 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.33 | 1.30 | 72.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.06 | 1.95 | 49.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.96 | 1.87 | 51.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.28 | 28.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.71 | 54.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.05 | 45.5% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 1/11/26, 17:06. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Elche 1–1 Valencia, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Elche 17th (10 points), Valencia 19th (9 points).
- Form in the competition: Elche 2W 4D 4L (14:17), Valencia 1W 3D 6L (7:17).
- H2H: 12 matches: Elche 3W 2D 7L, goals 11–20.
- Absences: Elche 1, Valencia 6.
Who will win Elche vs Valencia?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Elche vs Valencia: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Elche vs Valencia: injuries, suspensions, absences
Elche
- M. Aguadoankle injury · will miss the match
Valencia
- S. Canosknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Copeteabsence · will miss the match
- H. Elliottred card · will miss the match
- D. Lopezknee injury · will miss the match
- D. Otorbihamstring injury · will miss the match
- K. van Oevelenknee injury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Elche vs Valencia: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Alavés | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 11 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 12 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 13 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 10 | 2-5-3 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 10 | 3-2-5 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 | Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 | Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Elche
Home and away
Elche vs Valencia: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Elche: 17th, 10 points from 11 matches (2W 4D 5L). Valencia: 19th, 9 points (2W 3D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Elche 1.4 scored and 1.7 conceded, Valencia 0.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Elche: 2W 4D 4L, goals 14–17; Valencia: 1W 3D 6L, goals 7–17.
- Head to head. Head to head over 12 meetings: Elche 3 wins, Valencia 7 wins, plus 2 draws; goals 11–20.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.5%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.75), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 54% and over 2.5 goals is 49%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 12; Elche 3 wins, 2 draws, Valencia 7 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.6 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Elche 14–17, Valencia 7–17.
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 49%.
- Not available: Elche 1, Valencia 6.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 54%, odds up to 1.75). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Elche: M. Aguado. Not available for Valencia: S. Canos, J. Copete, H. Elliott, D. Lopez, D. Otorbi, K. van Oevelen. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Elche vs Valencia: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
ElcheLWDDWValenciaWLDDLElche vs Valencia: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Elche vs Valencia: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Elche vs Valencia?
On the result, our pick is Elche or draw (1X) (1.40); on goals, Both teams to score (1.75). Prefer less risk? Go for Elche or draw (1X).
Who will win Elche vs Valencia?
As we see it: Elche to win 41%, the draw 29%, Valencia to win 30%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
1 November 2026, 17:30, at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche. Referee: Luis Bestard Servera.
Who will be missing?
Elche: M. Aguado. Valencia: S. Canos, J. Copete, H. Elliott, D. Lopez, D. Otorbi, K. van Oevelen. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 49% chance (odds 2.06), against 51% for under 2.5 (odds 1.96).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 54% (odds 1.75).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (12.5%), 1–0 (10.4%), 0–1 (8.9%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.